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Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 81.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
81.5%
- ▥
BTTS No
71.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Smouha SC Win 33.7%
Draw 47.8%
Ghazl El Mehalla Win 18.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Smouha SC0.84
Ghazl El Mehalla0.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Smouha SC Smouha SC
WWDLW
1 GF / 4 GA
Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla
WLDWL
1 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.2
Average Goals Scored
0.2
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
0
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
2
2.4
Shots on Goal
1.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Smouha SC Smouha SC 5 matches
Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 5 matches
Smouha SC Statistic Ghazl El Mehalla
1 Wins 0
1 Draws 1
3 Losses 4
1 Goals For 1
4 Goals Against 9
0.2 Avg Goals Scored 0.2
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
0 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 3
0 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 4
2.4 Shots On Goal 1.8
8.4 Total Shots 10
3.4 Corners 3.8
47.8% Ball Possession 45.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Smouha SC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 16 with 4 points compared to Ghazl El Mehalla in 20 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Smouha SC expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Ghazl El Mehalla in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ghazl El Mehalla having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ghazl El Mehalla. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Smouha SC Analysis

Smouha SC sit 16 with 4 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 1:4 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mohamed Saeed (1 goals), with creative support from Samir Fekri (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ghazl El Mehalla Analysis

Ghazl El Mehalla approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 1 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 1:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Abdel Kader Yehia (1 goals), with creative support from F. Nechat Djabri (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Smouha SC won 7 times, Ghazl El Mehalla won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:11 from Smouha SC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.5%)
Predicted formations: Smouha SC 4-1-4-1 / Ghazl El Mehalla 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Smouha SC wins 7, draws 5, Ghazl El Mehalla wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 9:1 8 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 8:1 7 13
W W W W D
3 5 4 1 0 9:3 6 13
W D W W W
4 5 4 0 1 10:3 7 12
W W W W L
5 5 3 1 1 7:4 3 10
W W L W D
6 5 3 1 1 6:3 3 10
W W W L D
7 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D W L L
8 5 2 1 2 8:8 0 7
W W L L D
9 5 2 1 2 5:5 0 7
L D L W W
10 5 2 1 2 4:5 -1 7
W L W L D
11 5 1 3 1 5:5 0 6
L D D D W
12 5 2 0 3 5:7 -2 6
L L L W W
13 5 2 0 3 4:7 -3 6
L W W L L
14 5 1 2 2 4:5 -1 5
L L D W D
15 5 1 1 3 6:9 -3 4
L W D L L
16 5 1 1 3 1:4 -3 4
W L L D L
17 5 1 0 4 1:8 -7 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 3:6 -3 2
L L L D D
19 5 0 2 3 1:5 -4 2
L L L D D
20 5 0 1 4 1:9 -8 1
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)