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MACEDONIA › FIRST LEAGUE
18.04.2026 11:00
Shkupi 1927
Match Timeline
Vardar Skopje
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
G. Zakaric
Vardar Skopje
🟨
18'
I. Puleio
Vardar Skopje
⚽
44'
D. Babunski
Vardar Skopje
⚽
45'
D. Velkovski
Vardar Skopje
⚽
56'
D. Todorovski
Vardar Skopje
🔄
59'
M. Manevski ↔ E. Spahiu
Vardar Skopje
🔄
59'
G. Zakaric ↔ F. Cvetkovski
Vardar Skopje
🔄
64'
N. Nuhija ↔ F. Ljamalari
Shkupi 1927
🔄
64'
S. Ferati ↔ B. Mustafa
Shkupi 1927
🔄
64'
E. Rustemi ↔ B. Zumberi
Shkupi 1927
🔄
71'
A. Ziberi ↔ B. Fadili
Shkupi 1927
🔄
71'
D. Todorovski ↔ F. Duranski
Vardar Skopje
🔄
71'
D. Velkovski ↔ I. Olaosebikan
Vardar Skopje
⚽
73'
S. Cvetkovic
Vardar Skopje
🔄
75'
S. Chajani ↔ T. Kerimi
Shkupi 1927
🔄
77'
I. Puleio ↔ A. Cvetkovski
Vardar Skopje
⚽
83'
E. Spahiu
Vardar Skopje
⚽
90'
A. Omeragic
Vardar Skopje

Shkupi 1927 vs Vardar Skopje Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
100%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
50.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Shkupi 1927 Win 0%
Draw 0%
Vardar Skopje Win 100%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shkupi 19270.68
Vardar Skopje2.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shkupi 1927 Shkupi 1927
WWDLW
14 GF / 91 GA
Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje
WLDWL
65 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
0.54
Average Goals Scored
2.1
3.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
11
BTTS Yes
17
20
Over 2.5
19
1.33
Shots on Goal
2.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shkupi 1927 Shkupi 1927 26 matches
Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje 31 matches
Shkupi 1927 Statistic Vardar Skopje
0 Wins 22
1 Draws 6
25 Losses 3
14 Goals For 65
91 Goals Against 28
0.54 Avg Goals Scored 2.1
3.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
11 BTTS Yes 17
24 Over 1.5 21
20 Over 2.5 19
13 Over 3.5 12
0 Clean Sheets 11
15 Failed To Score 5
1.33 Shots On Goal 2.14
2 Total Shots 4.57
0.33 Corners 2
11.3% Ball Possession 20.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Vardar Skopje's more proactive style and Shkupi 1927's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Vardar Skopje. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Shkupi 1927 have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Vardar Skopje carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 65 points while Shkupi 1927 sit 12 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vardar Skopje having the stronger overall control.

Shkupi 1927 Analysis

Shkupi 1927 sit 12 with 1 points after 27 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 26 defeats, and the 14:88 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Ribeiro (5 goals), S. Muharem (5 goals), E. Shuku (3 goals), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vardar Skopje Analysis

Vardar Skopje approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 65 points after 27 outings. The return of 20 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 58:20, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Mato (12 goals), A. Omeragikj (10 goals), G. Zakaric (6 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 9 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Shkupi 1927 won 5 times, Vardar Skopje won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:27 from Shkupi 1927's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.29 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (100%)
H2H summary: Shkupi 1927 wins 5, draws 2, Vardar Skopje wins 7

Standings

1. MFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 26 5 2 80:21 59 83
W W W W W
2 33 23 5 5 67:30 37 74
L W W D L
3 33 19 5 9 68:28 40 62
L L L L W
4 33 16 5 12 59:36 23 53
L L L D L
5 33 14 6 13 59:47 12 48
W D W D L
6 33 13 7 13 50:53 -3 46
W W D D W
7 33 11 9 13 40:54 -14 42
L D D L W
8 33 10 10 13 41:42 -1 40
D W D W D
9 33 10 10 13 46:56 -10 40
L W L D W
10 33 9 7 17 42:57 -15 34
W D L W W
11 33 9 6 18 45:58 -13 33
L W D D L
12 33 0 1 32 15:130 -115 1
L L L L L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation