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MACEDONIA › FIRST LEAGUE
09.10.2026 15:00

Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Shkendija Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Shkëndija Haraçinë Win 26.1%
Draw 5.1%
Shkendija Win 68.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shkëndija Haraçinë1.09
Shkendija1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shkëndija Haraçinë Shkëndija Haraçinë
WWDLW
16 GF / 15 GA
Shkendija Shkendija
WLDWL
47 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
7
BTTS Yes
14
4
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shkëndija Haraçinë Shkëndija Haraçinë 15 matches
Shkendija Shkendija 25 matches
Shkëndija Haraçinë Statistic Shkendija
7 Wins 13
4 Draws 5
4 Losses 7
16 Goals For 47
15 Goals Against 28
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
7 BTTS Yes 14
10 Over 1.5 21
4 Over 2.5 17
1 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0.6
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 1.4
0% Ball Possession 20.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Shkendija's more proactive style and Shkëndija Haraçinë's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Shkendija having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Shkendija carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 19 points while Shkëndija Haraçinë sit 5 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Shkendija. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Shkëndija Haraçinë Analysis

Shkëndija Haraçinë come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 13 points after 8 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with a 6:9 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shkendija Analysis

Shkendija come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 19 points after 8 matches. With 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 20:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Shkëndija Haraçinë won 0 times, Shkendija won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Shkëndija Haraçinë's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
H2H summary: Shkëndija Haraçinë wins 0, draws 0, Shkendija wins 3

Standings

First League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 20:8 12 19
W D L W W
2 8 5 2 1 19:5 14 17
W D W W L
3 8 4 2 2 14:8 6 14
W D W D W
4 8 3 4 1 17:7 10 13
D D W D D
5 8 4 1 3 6:9 -3 13
L W W W L
6 8 3 1 4 11:13 -2 10
W D L L W
7 8 2 3 3 13:10 3 9
D D L L L
8 8 2 2 4 6:19 -13 8
L D L D W
9 8 1 1 6 7:25 -18 4
L D W L L
10 8 0 3 5 3:12 -9 3
L L L D D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL