IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Tallaght Stadium
Referee: R. Harvey
Shamrock Rovers
Match Timeline
Dundalk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
D. Watts
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
12'
C. Kilduff
Dundalk
🟨
13'
M. Kovalevskis
Shamrock Rovers
15'
R. Cornwall · Assist: T. Grivosti
Dundalk
19'
M. Noonan · Assist: D. Watts
Shamrock Rovers
27'
D. Horgan
Dundalk
🟨
36'
C. O'Sullivan
Shamrock Rovers
38'
J. Afolabi
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
43'
M. Healy
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
45'
S. Bradley
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
46'
M. Kovalevskis ↔ M. Asamoah
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
46'
C. O'Sullivan ↔ A. Matthews
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
47'
C. Dillon
Dundalk
🔄
49'
M. Animasahun ↔ D. McDaid
Dundalk
🔄
49'
R. Teahan ↔ H. Groome
Dundalk
🔄
50'
D. Watts ↔ J. Byrne
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
59'
M. Healy ↔ C. Barrett
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
60'
J. Afolabi ↔ A. Greene
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
62'
C. Dillon ↔ L. Gaxha
Dundalk
🟨
70'
J. Byrne
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
73'
B. Burns
Dundalk
🟨
81'
C. Barrett
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
85'
T. Clarke ↔ A. M. Keogh
Dundalk
🟨
89'
K. Buckley
Dundalk

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.4%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
88.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shamrock Rovers Win 64.4%
Draw 3.7%
Dundalk Win 31.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shamrock Rovers1.64
Dundalk1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
WWDLW
60 GF / 29 GA
Dundalk Dundalk
WLDWL
46 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.64
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
17
BTTS Yes
21
16
Over 2.5
17
4.26
Shots on Goal
5.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 34 matches
Dundalk Dundalk 28 matches
Shamrock Rovers Statistic Dundalk
21 Wins 10
6 Draws 10
7 Losses 8
60 Goals For 46
29 Goals Against 41
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
17 BTTS Yes 21
25 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 10
13 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 2
4.26 Shots On Goal 5.42
11.84 Total Shots 15.62
4.1 Corners 5.85
52.6% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shamrock Rovers expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Dundalk in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dundalk having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dundalk. Shamrock Rovers arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 50 points compared to Dundalk in 4 on 36, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Dundalk arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Shamrock Rovers Analysis

Shamrock Rovers come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 50 points after 25 matches. The return of 15 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 40:22, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through G. Burke (5 goals), J. McGovern (3 goals), J. Byrne (2 goals), with creative support from J. McGovern (2 assists), J. Byrne (2 assists), Victor Ozhianvuna (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Dundalk Analysis

Dundalk sit 4 with 36 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats with a 39:37 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Daryl Horgan (5 goals), Tyreke Wilson (4 goals), G. Arubi (4 goals), with creative support from Daryl Horgan (3 assists), Eoin Kenny (3 assists), Tyreke Wilson (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shamrock Rovers won 8 times, Dundalk won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:10 from Shamrock Rovers's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Shamrock Rovers 3-5-2 / Dundalk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Shamrock Rovers wins 8, draws 2, Dundalk wins 5
Stats
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk Dundalk
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
1 Corner Kicks 7
15 Fouls 25
1 Offsides 0
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 4
11 Shots insidebox 5
3 Shots outsidebox 8
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
406 Total passes 351
299 Passes accurate 259
2.66 expected_goals 1.72
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Shamrock Rovers
Formation
Dundalk
Ed McGinty
Ed McGinty
Tunmise Sobowale
Tunmise Sobowale
Lee Grace
Lee Grace
Cory O'Sullivan
Cory O'Sullivan
Max Kovaleskis
Max Kovaleskis
John O'Sullivan
John O'Sullivan
Matthew Healy
Matthew Healy
Dylan Watts
🎯
Dylan Watts
Luke O'Regan
Luke O'Regan
Michael Noonan
Michael Noonan
Jonathan Afolabi
Jonathan Afolabi
Enda Minogue
Enda Minogue
Mayowa Animasahun
Mayowa Animasahun
Robert Cornwall
Robert Cornwall
Tom Grivosti
🎯
Tom Grivosti
Trevor Clarke
Trevor Clarke
Aodh Dervin
Aodh Dervin
Keith Buckley
Keith Buckley
Bobby Burns
Bobby Burns
Ronan Teahan
Ronan Teahan
Cian Dillon
Cian Dillon
Daryl Horgan
Daryl Horgan
Shamrock Rovers 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
Ed McGinty
G
22
Tunmise Sobowale
D
5
Lee Grace
D
27
Cory O'Sullivan
↓ 46' 🟨 36'
D
38
Max Kovaleskis
M
26
John O'Sullivan
M
8
Matthew Healy
↓ 59' 🟨 43'
M
7
Dylan Watts
⚽ 3' 🎯 19' ↓ 50'
M
17
Luke O'Regan
M
31
Michael Noonan
⚽ 19'
F
18
Jonathan Afolabi
⚽ 38' ↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
2
Adam Matthews
↑ 46'
D
15
Maleace Asamoah
↑ 46'
F
29
Jack Byrne
↑ 50' 🟨 70'
M
33
Cian Barrett
↑ 59' 🟨 81'
M
9
Aaron Greene
↑ 60'
F
41
Alex Noonan
G
24
William Fitzgerald
F
11
Jake Mulraney
M
34
Ben Mahon
F
Dundalk 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
Enda Minogue
G
4
Mayowa Animasahun
↓ 49'
D
24
Robert Cornwall
⚽ 15'
D
44
Tom Grivosti
🎯 15'
D
15
Trevor Clarke
↓ 85'
M
6
Aodh Dervin
M
18
Keith Buckley
🟨 89'
M
3
Bobby Burns
🟨 73'
M
11
Ronan Teahan
↓ 49'
F
9
Cian Dillon
↓ 62' 🟨 47'
F
7
Daryl Horgan
⚽ 27'
F
Substitutes
8
Harry Groome
↑ 49'
M
27
Declan McDaid
↑ 49'
M
10
Leonardo Gaxha
↑ 62'
F
23
Aaron Keogh
↑ 85'
M
20
Peter Cherrie
G
13
Conor Kearns
G
19
Sean Spaight
D
12
Luke Mulligan
D
25
Shay Casey
M
Last matches: Shamrock Rovers
20.08.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
KuPS
1
1
D
13.08.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1
5
L
04.08.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3
1
W
31.07.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
0
0
D
28.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia
2
1
W
21.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
5
1
W
07.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
0
2
L
03.07.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
2
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Hibernian
1
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
3
1
W
22.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
1
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
25.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
3
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
4
1
W
Last matches: Dundalk
21.08.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
1
2
L
31.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
10.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
2
L
03.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
26.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
2
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
1
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
1
D
15.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
1
3
L
04.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
3
3
D
01.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
3
2
W
20.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
1
1
D
H2H: Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk
07.08.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
3
2
W
15.05.26
H2H
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
L
23.02.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
27.10.24
H2H
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
W
04.07.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
W
17.05.24
H2H
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
L
16.02.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
25.08.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
W
23.07.23
H2H
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
L
30.06.23
H2H
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
2
0
L
02.06.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
2
0
W
31.03.23
H2H
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
0
4
W
21.08.22
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
3
0
W
17.06.22
H2H
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
L
18.04.22
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
W
Last matches: Shamrock Rovers
20.08.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
KuPS
1
1
D
04.08.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3
1
W
28.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia
2
1
W
14.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
5
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Hibernian
1
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
3
1
W
22.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
1
D
29.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
22.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
4
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
3
2
W
20.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
2
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
0
W
23.02.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Treaty United
3
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Longford Town
6
0
W
18.12.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Hamrun Spartans
3
1
W
H2H at home: Shamrock Rovers
07.08.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
3
2
W
23.02.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
04.07.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
W
16.02.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
25.08.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
W
02.06.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
2
0
W
21.08.22
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
3
0
W
18.04.22
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
W
Last matches: Dundalk
24.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
19.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
1
0
W
22.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Drogheda United
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Dundalk
Waterford
3
3
D
25.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shelbourne
3
2
W
20.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Bohemians
1
1
D
06.03.26
Pre
Dundalk
Galway United
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pre
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
0
4
L
23.02.26
Pre
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
Dundalk
Derry City
2
2
D
20.01.26
Fri
Dundalk
Shelbourne
1
2
L
16.01.26
Fri
Dundalk
UCD
5
1
W
H2H away: Dundalk
07.08.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
3
2
L
23.02.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
04.07.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
L
16.02.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
25.08.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
L
02.06.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
2
0
L
21.08.22
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
3
0
L
18.04.22
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
0
L

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 6 5 43:24 19 54
W D W W D
2 28 14 8 6 45:23 22 50
W W D D D
3 28 13 8 7 47:34 13 47
W L D W W
4 28 9 10 9 43:43 0 37
L L D D L
5 26 8 10 8 36:38 -2 34
L L W D L
6 28 7 12 9 38:37 1 33
L W D L W
7 27 8 9 10 35:41 -6 33
W D D D W
8 28 6 11 11 37:48 -11 29
D W W D D
9 28 6 10 12 31:45 -14 28
L D D D W
10 28 5 8 15 23:45 -22 23
D L D D L
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation