BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Serra Branca
Match Timeline
Juazeirense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
78'
Anderson Ligeiro
Serra Branca
90+7'
Kayan
Serra Branca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 73.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
73.1%
-
BTTS No
70.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Serra Branca Win 34.7%
Draw 27%
Juazeirense Win 38.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Serra Branca1.08
Juazeirense1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Serra Branca Serra Branca
WWDLW
12 GF / 8 GA
Juazeirense Juazeirense
WLDWL
12 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.2
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
6
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Serra Branca Serra Branca 10 matches
Juazeirense Juazeirense 10 matches
Serra Branca Statistic Juazeirense
3 Wins 5
6 Draws 2
1 Losses 3
12 Goals For 12
8 Goals Against 9
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
6 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Juazeirense. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Juazeirense having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Serra Branca Analysis

Serra Branca come into this tie placed 3 in their league with 15 points from 10 matches. With 3 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses plus a goal ratio of 12:8, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Kayan (3 goals), Clayton (2 goals), Diego Ceara (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Juazeirense Analysis

Juazeirense come into this tie placed 2 in their league with 17 points from 10 matches. With 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses plus a goal ratio of 12:9, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Diki (5 goals), A. Pardal (3 goals), Bravo (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Serra Branca won 1 times, Juazeirense won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from Serra Branca's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.1%)
H2H summary: Serra Branca wins 1, draws 0, Juazeirense wins 0
Last matches: Serra Branca
14.06.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Sergipe
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Retrô
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Decisão
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Treze
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Lagarto
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Lagarto
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Treze
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Decisão
3
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Retrô
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Sergipe
1
1
D
Last matches: Juazeirense
14.06.26
Ser
Juazeirense
CSE
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Juazeirense
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Juazeirense
Jacuipense
2
2
D
16.05.26
Ser
Juazeirense
ASA
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Juazeirense
CSA
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Juazeirense
CSA
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Juazeirense
ASA
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Juazeirense
Jacuipense
3
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Juazeirense
Atlético Alagoinhas
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Juazeirense
CSE
3
1
W
10.08.25
Ser
Juazeirense
America-RN
0
2
L
03.08.25
Ser
Juazeirense
America-RN
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Juazeirense
ASA
0
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Juazeirense
Sergipe
0
0
D
13.07.25
Ser
Juazeirense
Barcelona BA
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Juazeirense
Jequié
2
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
Juazeirense
União Carmolandense
0
1
L
15.06.25
Ser
Juazeirense
Penedense
0
0
D
11.06.25
Ser
Juazeirense
Lagarto
2
1
W
31.05.25
Ser
Juazeirense
Lagarto
1
3
L
H2H: Serra Branca vs Juazeirense
21.06.26
H2H
Serra Branca
Juazeirense
2
0
W
Last matches: Serra Branca
31.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Retrô
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Treze
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Lagarto
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Decisão
3
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Serra Branca
Sergipe
1
1
D
H2H at home: Serra Branca
21.06.26
H2H
Serra Branca
Juazeirense
2
0
W
Last matches: Juazeirense
14.06.26
Ser
Juazeirense
CSE
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Juazeirense
Jacuipense
2
2
D
16.05.26
Ser
Juazeirense
ASA
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Juazeirense
CSA
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Juazeirense
Atlético Alagoinhas
2
1
W
10.08.25
Ser
Juazeirense
America-RN
0
2
L
27.07.25
Ser
Juazeirense
ASA
0
3
L
13.07.25
Ser
Juazeirense
Barcelona BA
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Juazeirense
União Carmolandense
0
1
L
15.06.25
Ser
Juazeirense
Penedense
0
0
D
31.05.25
Ser
Juazeirense
Lagarto
1
3
L
11.05.25
Ser
Juazeirense
Jequié
3
2
W
27.04.25
Ser
Juazeirense
Sergipe
0
0
D
H2H away: Juazeirense
21.06.26
H2H
Serra Branca
Juazeirense
2
0
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)