🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Lumen Field
Referee: C. Penso
Seattle Sounders
Match Timeline
St. Louis City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
C. Roldan · Assist: A. Rusnak
Seattle Sounders
37'
C. Roldan · Assist: A. Rusnak
Seattle Sounders
🔄
46'
P. Arriola ↔ P. Rothrock
Seattle Sounders
49'
A. Rusnak
Seattle Sounders
🔄
53'
A. Rusnak ↔ J. Ferreira
Seattle Sounders
🔄
53'
H. Dotson ↔ J. Morris
Seattle Sounders
🔄
60'
A. Roldan ↔ P. Kingston
Seattle Sounders
🔄
63'
S. Becher ↔ S. Cordova
St. Louis City
🔄
63'
C. Teuchert ↔ S. Jeong
St. Louis City
🔄
63'
Rafael Santos ↔ T. Totland
St. Louis City
🔄
80'
D. Musovski ↔ O. De Rosario
Seattle Sounders
🔄
81'
C. Wallem ↔ B. McSorley
St. Louis City
86'
O. De Rosario · Assist: J. Ferreira
Seattle Sounders
🔄
89'
M. Hartel ↔ E. Lowen
St. Louis City
90'
E. Lowen
St. Louis City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 90.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 56.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
90.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
56.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Seattle Sounders Win 90.2%
Draw 0%
St. Louis City Win 9.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Seattle Sounders1.6
St. Louis City0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WWDLW
23 GF / 11 GA
St. Louis City St. Louis City
WLDWL
10 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
0.91
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
5
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
4
3.9
Shots on Goal
5.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 14 matches
St. Louis City St. Louis City 11 matches
Seattle Sounders Statistic St. Louis City
10 Wins 2
1 Draws 4
3 Losses 5
23 Goals For 10
11 Goals Against 17
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
5 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 4
3.9 Shots On Goal 5.14
10.5 Total Shots 13.29
3.8 Corners 6.43
49.1% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Seattle Sounders's more proactive style and St. Louis City's more cautious structure. Seattle Sounders appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward St. Louis City. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Seattle Sounders arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 13 points compared to St. Louis City in 14 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors St. Louis City. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Seattle Sounders expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and St. Louis City in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St. Louis City having the stronger overall control.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 13 points from 6 games, Seattle Sounders bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 6:2 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on P. Rothrock (3 goals), A. Rusnak (1 goals), C. Roldan (1 goals), with creative support from J. Ferreira (2 assists), P. Rothrock (1 assists), A. Rusnak (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Y. Gomez Andrade, Kim Kee-Hee, R. Sailor unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

St. Louis City Analysis

With 6 points from 7 games and a place of 14, St. Louis City still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 6:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Hartel (2 goals), B. McSorley (1 goals), Christopher Durkin (1 goals), with creative support from D. Edelman (2 assists), S. Becher (1 assists), L. MacNaughton (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Celio Pompeu unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Seattle Sounders won 7 times, St. Louis City won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:4 from Seattle Sounders's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1 / St. Louis City 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Seattle Sounders 6, St. Louis City 3
H2H summary: Seattle Sounders wins 7, draws 0, St. Louis City wins 1
Stats
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City St. Louis City
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
5 Corner Kicks 8
9 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Goal 2
2 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 5
10 Shots insidebox 10
3 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
510 Total passes 496
441 Passes accurate 425
1.71 expected_goals 0.60
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Seattle Sounders
Formation
St. Louis City
A. Thomas
A. Thomas
K. Kossa-Rienzi
K. Kossa-Rienzi
A. Roldan
A. Roldan
A. Lopez
A. Lopez
Nouhou
Nouhou
H. Dotson
H. Dotson
C. Roldan
⚽ 2
C. Roldan
S. Brunell
S. Brunell
A. Rusnak
🎯
A. Rusnak
P. Arriola
P. Arriola
D. Musovski
D. Musovski
R. Burki
R. Burki
L. MacNaughton
L. MacNaughton
T. Baumgartl
T. Baumgartl
D. Polvara
D. Polvara
C. Wallem
C. Wallem
C. Durkin
C. Durkin
D. Edelman
D. Edelman
Rafael Santos
Rafael Santos
C. Teuchert
C. Teuchert
S. Becher
S. Becher
M. Hartel
M. Hartel
Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
26
A. Thomas
G
85
K. Kossa-Rienzi
D
16
A. Roldan
↓ 60'
D
35
A. Lopez
D
5
Nouhou
D
31
H. Dotson
↓ 53'
M
7
C. Roldan
⚽ 22' ⚽ 37'
M
37
S. Brunell
M
11
A. Rusnak
⚽ 49' 🎯 22' 🎯 37' ↓ 53'
M
17
P. Arriola
↓ 46'
M
19
D. Musovski
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
24
S. Frei
G
9
J. Ferreira
🎯 86' ↑ 53'
F
95
O. De Rosario
⚽ 86' ↑ 80'
F
13
J. Morris
↑ 53'
F
14
P. Rothrock
↑ 46'
F
45
P. Kingston
↑ 60'
M
33
C. Baker
D
39
S. Hawkins
D
St. Louis City 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
R. Burki
G
5
L. MacNaughton
D
32
T. Baumgartl
D
21
D. Polvara
D
6
C. Wallem
↓ 81'
M
8
C. Durkin
M
24
D. Edelman
M
20
Rafael Santos
↓ 63'
M
36
C. Teuchert
↓ 63'
F
11
S. Becher
↓ 63'
F
17
M. Hartel
↓ 89'
F
Substitutes
39
B. Lundt
G
16
S. Cordova
↑ 63'
F
10
E. Lowen
⚽ 90' ↑ 89'
M
77
S. Jeong
↑ 63'
F
28
M. Perez
M
27
F. Fall
D
14
T. Totland
↑ 63'
D
4
M. Mbacke
D
80
B. McSorley
↑ 81'
F
Last matches: Seattle Sounders
25.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
17.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
10.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Diego
1
1
D
02.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas City
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
FC Dallas
2
1
W
16.04.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
0
2
L
05.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo
1
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
19.03.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
1
0
W
13.03.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
3
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
23.02.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Colorado Rapids
2
0
W
15.02.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
Louisville City
3
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
3
L
05.02.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
Hammarby FF
3
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
IF Brommapojkarna
3
0
W
Last matches: St. Louis City
23.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Austin
3
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
DC United
1
1
D
14.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
2
1
W
10.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
1
0
W
03.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Austin
0
2
L
26.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
2
3
L
12.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
FC Dallas
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
New York City FC
1
1
D
22.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
New England Revolution
3
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
0
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
02.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
San Diego
0
2
L
21.02.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Charlotte
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
St. Louis City
Austin
1
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
St. Louis City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
1
3
L
H2H: Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City
19.04.26
H2H
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
4
1
W
08.03.26
H2H
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
0
1
W
04.05.25
H2H
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
4
1
W
16.03.25
H2H
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
1
0
L
18.07.24
H2H
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
2
0
W
26.05.24
H2H
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
1
2
W
22.10.23
H2H
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
0
2
W
09.04.23
H2H
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
3
0
W
Last matches: Seattle Sounders
17.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
10.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Diego
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
FC Dallas
2
1
W
16.04.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
19.03.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
1
W
23.02.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Colorado Rapids
2
0
W
15.02.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
Louisville City
3
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
Hammarby FF
3
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
IF Brommapojkarna
3
0
W
H2H at home: Seattle Sounders
19.04.26
H2H
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
4
1
W
04.05.25
H2H
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
4
1
W
18.07.24
H2H
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
2
0
W
09.04.23
H2H
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
3
0
W
Last matches: St. Louis City
16.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
DC United
1
1
D
10.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
1
0
W
03.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Austin
0
2
L
12.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
FC Dallas
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
New York City FC
1
1
D
15.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
0
2
L
02.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
San Diego
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
1
3
L
H2H away: St. Louis City
19.04.26
H2H
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
4
1
L
04.05.25
H2H
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
4
1
L
18.07.24
H2H
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
2
0
L
09.04.23
H2H
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
3
0
L

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 2 2 34:12 22 32
W L W D D
2 15 10 2 3 34:15 19 32
W L L D D
3 14 8 2 4 26:19 7 26
D W W L W
4 15 7 4 4 30:22 8 25
W W L W W
5 15 7 3 5 24:17 7 24
W L L L D
6 13 7 3 3 17:11 6 24
L L W D D
7 14 7 1 6 19:23 -4 22
D W L W W
8 15 6 4 5 18:22 -4 22
D L L D W
9 15 5 5 5 22:22 0 20
D W L W D
10 15 4 5 6 30:27 3 17
L D W D D
11 15 5 1 9 25:24 1 16
L L W L L
12 14 4 4 6 16:20 -4 16
W D W W L
13 14 4 2 8 22:28 -6 14
L L D W L
14 15 3 5 7 19:31 -12 14
L L L D W
15 14 3 2 9 14:36 -22 11
L W W L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Seattle Sounders 6 missing
-
Y. Gomez Andrade
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
Kim Kee-Hee
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
R. Sailor
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
P. de La Vega
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Hawkins
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT
-
N. Petkovic
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
St. Louis City 3 missing
-
E. Lowen
Questionable Illness
OUT
-
Celio Pompeu
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Orozco
Missing Fixture Concussion
OUT