🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Lumen Field
Referee: A. Villarreal
Seattle Sounders
Match Timeline
San Diego
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
M. Ingvartsen · Assist: O. Valakari
San Diego
🟨
51'
Jesús Ferreira
Seattle Sounders
🟨
56'
Snyder Brunell
Seattle Sounders
🟨
57'
Cristian Roldán
Seattle Sounders
🔄
63'
S. Brunell ↔ D. Musovski
Seattle Sounders
🔄
63'
K. Kossa-Rienzi ↔ P. Kingston
Seattle Sounders
🔄
65'
Nouhou ↔ A. Lopez
Seattle Sounders
🔄
74'
A. Pellegrino ↔ A. Mighten
San Diego
🟨
75'
Alex Mighten
San Diego
🟨
78'
Oscar Verhoeven
San Diego
80'
D. Musovski · Assist: C. Roldan
Seattle Sounders
🔄
86'
D. Vazquez ↔ A. Alvarado Jr
San Diego
🔄
86'
L. Bombino ↔ K. Sargeant
San Diego

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Seattle Sounders Win 100%
Draw 0%
San Diego Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Seattle Sounders1.73
San Diego1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WWDLW
30 GF / 14 GA
San Diego San Diego
WLDWL
28 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.75
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
8
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
11
4.85
Shots on Goal
4.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 17 matches
San Diego San Diego 16 matches
Seattle Sounders Statistic San Diego
12 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
3 Losses 7
30 Goals For 28
14 Goals Against 27
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
8 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 4
4.85 Shots On Goal 4.07
11.77 Total Shots 10
4.31 Corners 4.6
51.1% Ball Possession 58.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Seattle Sounders's more proactive style and San Diego's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Seattle Sounders arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 20 points compared to San Diego in 12 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. San Diego arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Seattle Sounders expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and San Diego in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Diego having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward San Diego.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 20 points from 9 games, Seattle Sounders bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 13:5, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through P. Rothrock (4 goals), C. Roldan (3 goals), A. Rusnak (2 goals), with creative support from A. Rusnak (3 assists), J. Ferreira (3 assists), J. Morris (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

San Diego Analysis

San Diego approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 12 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats with a 19:19 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Ingvartsen (7 goals), A. Dreyer (5 goals), O. Valakari (3 goals), with creative support from A. Dreyer (5 assists), M. Ingvartsen (2 assists), L. Morgan (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Seattle Sounders won 1 times, San Diego won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Seattle Sounders's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1 / San Diego 4-3-3
Missing players: Seattle Sounders 5, San Diego 6
H2H summary: Seattle Sounders wins 1, draws 1, San Diego wins 1
Stats
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
San Diego San Diego
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
13
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
4
8 Corner Kicks 2
9 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 1
47% Ball Possession 53%
26 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Goal 5
13 Shots off Goal 6
8 Blocked Shots 4
19 Shots insidebox 11
7 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
527 Total passes 624
455 Passes accurate 545
2.53 expected_goals 1.86
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Seattle Sounders
Formation
San Diego
A. Thomas
A. Thomas
K. Kossa-Rienzi
K. Kossa-Rienzi
A. Roldan
A. Roldan
J. Ragen
J. Ragen
Nouhou
Nouhou
J. Ferreira
J. Ferreira
C. Roldan
🎯
C. Roldan
S. Brunell
S. Brunell
P. Rothrock
P. Rothrock
J. Morris
J. Morris
A. Rusnak
A. Rusnak
D. Ferree
D. Ferree
O. Verhoeven
O. Verhoeven
C. McVey
C. McVey
M. Duah
M. Duah
L. Bombino
L. Bombino
O. Valakari
🎯
O. Valakari
A. Godoy
A. Godoy
D. Vazquez
D. Vazquez
A. Dreyer
A. Dreyer
M. Ingvartsen
M. Ingvartsen
A. Pellegrino
A. Pellegrino
Seattle Sounders 4-4-2
Starting XI
26
A. Thomas
G
85
K. Kossa-Rienzi
↓ 63'
D
16
A. Roldan
D
25
J. Ragen
D
5
Nouhou
↓ 65'
D
9
J. Ferreira
🟨 51'
M
7
C. Roldan
🎯 80' 🟨 57'
M
37
S. Brunell
↓ 63' 🟨 56'
M
14
P. Rothrock
M
13
J. Morris
F
11
A. Rusnak
F
Substitutes
24
S. Frei
G
20
Kim Kee-Hee
D
31
H. Dotson
M
95
O. De Rosario
F
35
A. Lopez
↑ 65'
D
90
S. Gomez
M
17
P. Arriola
F
19
D. Musovski
⚽ 80' ↑ 63'
F
45
P. Kingston
↑ 63'
M
San Diego 4-3-3
Starting XI
18
D. Ferree
G
33
O. Verhoeven
🟨 78'
D
97
C. McVey
D
26
M. Duah
D
27
L. Bombino
↓ 86'
D
8
O. Valakari
🎯 18'
M
20
A. Godoy
M
19
D. Vazquez
↓ 86'
M
10
A. Dreyer
F
7
M. Ingvartsen
⚽ 18'
F
90
A. Pellegrino
↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
98
J. Jackson
G
70
A. Alvarado Jr
↑ 86'
F
29
A. Saidi
F
22
W. Eisner
D
25
I. Pilcher
D
77
A. Mighten
↑ 74' 🟨 75'
F
15
P. Soma
M
5
K. Sargeant
↑ 86'
14
B. B. Zamble
F
Last matches: Seattle Sounders
25.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
17.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
02.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas City
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
FC Dallas
2
1
W
19.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
4
1
W
16.04.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
0
2
L
05.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo
1
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
19.03.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
1
0
W
13.03.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
3
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
23.02.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Colorado Rapids
2
0
W
15.02.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
Louisville City
3
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
3
L
05.02.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
Hammarby FF
3
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
IF Brommapojkarna
3
0
W
Last matches: San Diego
24.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
4
L
17.05.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
14.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Austin
5
0
W
03.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
4
L
12.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
2
L
05.04.26
Maj
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
0
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
2
D
19.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
0
4
L
15.03.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Dallas
3
3
D
12.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
3
2
W
08.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
02.03.26
Maj
San Diego
St. Louis City
2
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
San Diego
CF Montreal
5
0
W
11.02.26
CON
San Diego
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
04.02.26
CON
San Diego
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
2
0
W
H2H: Seattle Sounders vs San Diego
10.05.26
H2H
Seattle Sounders
San Diego
1
1
D
29.05.25
H2H
Seattle Sounders
San Diego
1
0
W
06.04.25
H2H
San Diego
Seattle Sounders
3
0
L
Last matches: Seattle Sounders
17.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
26.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
FC Dallas
2
1
W
19.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
4
1
W
16.04.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
19.03.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
1
W
23.02.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Colorado Rapids
2
0
W
15.02.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
Louisville City
3
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
Hammarby FF
3
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
IF Brommapojkarna
3
0
W
H2H at home: Seattle Sounders
10.05.26
H2H
Seattle Sounders
San Diego
1
1
D
29.05.25
H2H
Seattle Sounders
San Diego
1
0
W
Last matches: San Diego
23.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
4
L
05.04.26
Maj
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
0
3
L
19.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
0
4
L
15.03.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Dallas
3
3
D
08.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
11.02.26
CON
San Diego
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
H2H away: San Diego
10.05.26
H2H
Seattle Sounders
San Diego
1
1
D
29.05.25
H2H
Seattle Sounders
San Diego
1
0
L

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 2 2 34:12 22 32
W L W D D
2 15 10 2 3 34:15 19 32
W L L D D
3 14 8 2 4 26:19 7 26
D W W L W
4 15 7 4 4 30:22 8 25
W W L W W
5 15 7 3 5 24:17 7 24
W L L L D
6 13 7 3 3 17:11 6 24
L L W D D
7 14 7 1 6 19:23 -4 22
D W L W W
8 15 6 4 5 18:22 -4 22
D L L D W
9 15 5 5 5 22:22 0 20
D W L W D
10 15 4 5 6 30:27 3 17
L D W D D
11 15 5 1 9 25:24 1 16
L L W L L
12 14 4 4 6 16:20 -4 16
W D W W L
13 14 4 2 8 22:28 -6 14
L L D W L
14 15 3 5 7 19:31 -12 14
L L L D W
15 14 3 2 9 14:36 -22 11
L W W L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Seattle Sounders 5 missing
-
Y. Gomez Andrade
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Kim Kee-Hee
Questionable Calf Injury
OUT
-
R. Sailor
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
P. de La Vega
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
N. Petkovic
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
San Diego 6 missing
-
A. Reyes
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
P. Sisniega
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
-
W. Kumado
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
J. Tverskov
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
C. J. dos Santos
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
L. Morgan
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT