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GERMANY › 2. BUNDESLIGA
08.05.2026 16:30
Home Deluxe Arena
Referee: R. Braun
SC Paderborn 07
Match Timeline
Karlsruher SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Philipp Förster
Karlsruher SC
🟨
14'
Christoph Kobald
Karlsruher SC
⚽
20'
F. Bilbija
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
46'
Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↔ A. Muller
Karlsruher SC
🟨
48'
Andreas Müller
Karlsruher SC
🔄
58'
L. Ben Farhat ↔ F. Schleusener
Karlsruher SC
🔄
58'
S. Jung ↔ R. Pinto Pedrosa
Karlsruher SC
🔄
59'
N. Batzner ↔ S. Michel
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
73'
S. Castaneda ↔ S. Klaas
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
73'
F. Bilbija ↔ R. Muller
SC Paderborn 07
⚽
75'
F. Schleusener · Assist: P. Forster
Karlsruher SC
⚽
79'
S. Fukuda · Assist: D. Herold
Karlsruher SC
🔄
83'
J. Sticker ↔ N. Mohr
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
83'
S. Marino ↔ K. Okpala
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
85'
P. Forster ↔ D. Burnic
Karlsruher SC
⚽
85'
S. Klaas
SC Paderborn 07
🟨
90+10'
Marvin Wanitzek
Karlsruher SC
🟨
90+7'
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
Karlsruher SC
🔄
90+8'
S. Fukuda ↔ L. Opitz
Karlsruher SC

SC Paderborn 07 vs Karlsruher SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 89.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
89.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
SC Paderborn 07 Win 89.8%
Draw 0%
Karlsruher SC Win 10.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
SC Paderborn 071.78
Karlsruher SC1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
WWDLW
55 GF / 43 GA
Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC
WLDWL
50 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.72
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
22
BTTS Yes
19
20
Over 2.5
24
5.44
Shots on Goal
4.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 32 matches
Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 32 matches
SC Paderborn 07 Statistic Karlsruher SC
17 Wins 12
7 Draws 7
8 Losses 13
55 Goals For 50
43 Goals Against 60
1.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
22 BTTS Yes 19
28 Over 1.5 27
20 Over 2.5 24
8 Over 3.5 17
8 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 10
5.44 Shots On Goal 4.09
15.44 Total Shots 11.91
5.25 Corners 4.5
53.5% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights SC Paderborn 07's more proactive style and Karlsruher SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Karlsruher SC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Karlsruher SC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SC Paderborn 07 expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Karlsruher SC in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Karlsruher SC having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

SC Paderborn 07 Analysis

SC Paderborn 07 arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 58 points after 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, while the 55:43 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Bilbija (14 goals), Laurin Curda (7 goals), Steffen Tigges (6 goals), with creative support from Laurin Curda (7 assists), Raphael Obermair (7 assists), Mika Baur (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Karlsruher SC Analysis

Karlsruher SC sit 8 with 43 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 50:60 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Wanitzek (15 goals), F. Schleusener (10 goals), L. Ben Farhat (6 goals), with creative support from M. Wanitzek (7 assists), David Herold (6 assists), F. Schleusener (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SC Paderborn 07 won 5 times, Karlsruher SC won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:17 from SC Paderborn 07's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: SC Paderborn 07 5-3-2 / Karlsruher SC 3-5-2
H2H summary: SC Paderborn 07 wins 5, draws 6, Karlsruher SC wins 4

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga