GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Home Deluxe Arena
Referee: R. Braun
SC Paderborn 07
Match Timeline
Karlsruher SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Philipp Förster
Karlsruher SC
🟨
14'
Christoph Kobald
Karlsruher SC
20'
F. Bilbija
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
46'
Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↔ A. Muller
Karlsruher SC
🟨
48'
Andreas Müller
Karlsruher SC
🔄
58'
L. Ben Farhat ↔ F. Schleusener
Karlsruher SC
🔄
58'
S. Jung ↔ R. Pinto Pedrosa
Karlsruher SC
🔄
59'
N. Batzner ↔ S. Michel
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
73'
S. Castaneda ↔ S. Klaas
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
73'
F. Bilbija ↔ R. Muller
SC Paderborn 07
75'
F. Schleusener · Assist: P. Forster
Karlsruher SC
79'
S. Fukuda · Assist: D. Herold
Karlsruher SC
🔄
83'
J. Sticker ↔ N. Mohr
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
83'
S. Marino ↔ K. Okpala
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
85'
P. Forster ↔ D. Burnic
Karlsruher SC
85'
S. Klaas
SC Paderborn 07
🟨
90+10'
Marvin Wanitzek
Karlsruher SC
🟨
90+7'
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
Karlsruher SC
🔄
90+8'
S. Fukuda ↔ L. Opitz
Karlsruher SC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 89.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
89.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
SC Paderborn 07 Win 89.8%
Draw 0%
Karlsruher SC Win 10.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
SC Paderborn 071.78
Karlsruher SC1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
WWDLW
55 GF / 43 GA
Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC
WLDWL
50 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.72
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
22
BTTS Yes
19
20
Over 2.5
24
5.44
Shots on Goal
4.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 32 matches
Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 32 matches
SC Paderborn 07 Statistic Karlsruher SC
17 Wins 12
7 Draws 7
8 Losses 13
55 Goals For 50
43 Goals Against 60
1.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
22 BTTS Yes 19
28 Over 1.5 27
20 Over 2.5 24
8 Over 3.5 17
8 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 10
5.44 Shots On Goal 4.09
15.44 Total Shots 11.91
5.25 Corners 4.5
53.5% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights SC Paderborn 07's more proactive style and Karlsruher SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Karlsruher SC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Karlsruher SC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SC Paderborn 07 expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Karlsruher SC in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Karlsruher SC having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

SC Paderborn 07 Analysis

SC Paderborn 07 arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 58 points after 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, while the 55:43 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Bilbija (14 goals), Laurin Curda (7 goals), Steffen Tigges (6 goals), with creative support from Laurin Curda (7 assists), Raphael Obermair (7 assists), Mika Baur (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Karlsruher SC Analysis

Karlsruher SC sit 8 with 43 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 50:60 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Wanitzek (15 goals), F. Schleusener (10 goals), L. Ben Farhat (6 goals), with creative support from M. Wanitzek (7 assists), David Herold (6 assists), F. Schleusener (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SC Paderborn 07 won 5 times, Karlsruher SC won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:17 from SC Paderborn 07's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: SC Paderborn 07 5-3-2 / Karlsruher SC 3-5-2
H2H summary: SC Paderborn 07 wins 5, draws 6, Karlsruher SC wins 4
Stats
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 1
8 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 1
12 Shots insidebox 5
7 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
470 Total passes 495
382 Passes accurate 402
2.39 expected_goals 1.60
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07
Formation
Karlsruher SC
D. Seimen
D. Seimen
M. Hansen
M. Hansen
T. Scheller
T. Scheller
C. Brackelmann
C. Brackelmann
L. Curda
L. Curda
M. Baur
M. Baur
S. Castaneda
S. Castaneda
J. Sticker
J. Sticker
N. Batzner
N. Batzner
F. Bilbija
F. Bilbija
S. Marino
S. Marino
C. Bernat
C. Bernat
C. Kobald
C. Kobald
M. Franke
M. Franke
N. Rapp
N. Rapp
S. Jung
S. Jung
P. Forster
🎯
P. Forster
Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
M. Wanitzek
M. Wanitzek
D. Herold
🎯
D. Herold
S. Fukuda
S. Fukuda
L. Ben Farhat
L. Ben Farhat
SC Paderborn 07 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
41
D. Seimen
G
22
M. Hansen
D
25
T. Scheller
D
4
C. Brackelmann
D
17
L. Curda
M
14
M. Baur
M
5
S. Castaneda
↓ 73'
M
3
J. Sticker
↓ 83'
M
9
N. Batzner
↓ 59'
F
7
F. Bilbija
⚽ 20' ↓ 73'
F
30
S. Marino
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Schubert
G
11
S. Michel
↑ 59'
F
8
D. Kinsombi
M
28
L. Copado
F
20
F. Gotze
D
26
S. Klaas
⚽ 85' ↑ 73'
M
24
N. Mohr
↑ 83'
D
10
K. Okpala
↑ 83'
2
R. Muller
↑ 73'
M
Karlsruher SC 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
C. Bernat
G
22
C. Kobald
🟨 14'
D
28
M. Franke
D
6
N. Rapp
D
2
S. Jung
↓ 58'
M
11
P. Forster
🎯 75' ↓ 85' 🟨 10'
M
8
Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
↓ 46'
M
10
M. Wanitzek
🟨 90+10'
M
20
D. Herold
🎯 79'
M
13
S. Fukuda
⚽ 79' ↓ 90+8'
F
19
L. Ben Farhat
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
30
R. Himmelmann
G
24
F. Schleusener
⚽ 75' ↑ 58'
F
9
R. Simic
F
7
D. Burnic
↑ 85'
M
16
A. Muller
↑ 46' 🟨 48'
M
21
M. Waschenbach
M
15
P. Scholl
D
17
L. Opitz
↑ 90+8'
M
36
R. Pinto Pedrosa
↑ 58' 🟨 90+7'
D
Last matches: SC Paderborn 07
25.05.26
Bun
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
2
1
W
21.05.26
Bun
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
0
0
D
17.05.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Darmstadt 98
2
0
W
03.05.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Elversberg
1
5
L
26.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
2
3
L
18.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Hannover 96
1
1
D
12.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Magdeburg
4
3
W
05.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
0
W
21.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
W
14.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Arminia Bielefeld
2
2
D
07.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
1
D
28.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2
1
W
22.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Hertha BSC
5
2
W
15.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Bochum
0
0
D
07.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Nürnberg
2
1
W
01.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
2
L
25.01.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
18.01.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Holstein Kiel
0
2
L
08.01.26
Fri
SC Paderborn 07
Charleroi
3
2
W
19.12.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Darmstadt 98
2
2
D
Last matches: Karlsruher SC
17.05.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
VfL Bochum
1
2
L
03.05.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
SV Darmstadt 98
2
1
W
25.04.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
Hannover 96
1
3
L
17.04.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
SV Elversberg
0
3
L
10.04.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
Arminia Bielefeld
4
1
W
05.04.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
FC Schalke 04
0
1
L
26.03.26
Fri
Karlsruher SC
SV Wehen
0
1
L
20.03.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3
1
W
15.03.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
3
L
08.03.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
Dynamo Dresden
3
3
D
01.03.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
1. FC Magdeburg
3
1
W
21.02.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
Holstein Kiel
3
1
W
13.02.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
1. FC Nürnberg
1
5
L
08.02.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
1
D
01.02.26
Fri
Karlsruher SC
TSV Steinbach
4
2
W
31.01.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
Eintracht Braunschweig
0
1
L
24.01.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
Hertha BSC
2
2
D
17.01.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
Preußen Münster
2
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Karlsruher SC
Slavia Praha
1
1
D
20.12.25
2.
Karlsruher SC
VfL Bochum
2
2
D
H2H: SC Paderborn 07 vs Karlsruher SC
08.05.26
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
2
2
D
13.12.25
H2H
Karlsruher SC
SC Paderborn 07
0
4
W
18.05.25
H2H
Karlsruher SC
SC Paderborn 07
3
0
L
21.12.24
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
1
2
L
13.04.24
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
1
1
D
05.11.23
H2H
Karlsruher SC
SC Paderborn 07
0
3
W
27.01.23
H2H
Karlsruher SC
SC Paderborn 07
0
1
W
17.07.22
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
5
0
W
10.04.22
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
2
2
D
31.10.21
H2H
Karlsruher SC
SC Paderborn 07
2
4
W
19.03.21
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
2
2
D
28.11.20
H2H
Karlsruher SC
SC Paderborn 07
1
0
L
28.04.18
H2H
Karlsruher SC
SC Paderborn 07
0
0
D
24.11.17
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
0
2
L
01.03.16
H2H
Karlsruher SC
SC Paderborn 07
0
0
D
Last matches: SC Paderborn 07
25.05.26
Bun
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
2
1
W
26.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
2
3
L
12.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Magdeburg
4
3
W
21.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
W
07.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
1
D
22.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Hertha BSC
5
2
W
07.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Nürnberg
2
1
W
25.01.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
08.01.26
Fri
SC Paderborn 07
Charleroi
3
2
W
19.12.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Darmstadt 98
2
2
D
06.12.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Elversberg
1
2
L
22.11.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Hannover 96
0
2
L
02.11.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
1
W
18.10.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Arminia Bielefeld
4
3
W
27.09.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2
0
W
12.09.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Bochum
1
0
W
23.08.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
2
L
02.08.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Holstein Kiel
2
1
W
10.05.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Magdeburg
2
1
W
26.04.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Elversberg
1
1
D
H2H at home: SC Paderborn 07
08.05.26
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
2
2
D
21.12.24
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
1
2
L
13.04.24
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
1
1
D
17.07.22
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
5
0
W
10.04.22
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
2
2
D
19.03.21
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
2
2
D
24.11.17
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
0
2
L
Last matches: Karlsruher SC
17.04.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
SV Elversberg
0
3
L
05.04.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
FC Schalke 04
0
1
L
15.03.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
3
L
01.03.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
1. FC Magdeburg
3
1
W
13.02.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
1. FC Nürnberg
1
5
L
31.01.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
Eintracht Braunschweig
0
1
L
17.01.26
2.
Karlsruher SC
Preußen Münster
2
0
W
20.12.25
2.
Karlsruher SC
VfL Bochum
2
2
D
06.12.25
2.
Karlsruher SC
SV Darmstadt 98
2
3
L
28.11.25
2.
Karlsruher SC
Hannover 96
0
3
L
08.11.25
2.
Karlsruher SC
Arminia Bielefeld
0
4
L
24.10.25
2.
Karlsruher SC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4
1
W
04.10.25
2.
Karlsruher SC
Dynamo Dresden
3
3
D
21.09.25
2.
Karlsruher SC
Holstein Kiel
0
3
L
30.08.25
2.
Karlsruher SC
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0
0
D
10.08.25
2.
Karlsruher SC
Hertha BSC
0
0
D
11.05.25
2.
Karlsruher SC
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
2
D
27.04.25
2.
Karlsruher SC
Hamburger SV
2
1
W
13.04.25
2.
Karlsruher SC
Preußen Münster
1
1
D
29.03.25
2.
Karlsruher SC
Hertha BSC
1
3
L
H2H away: Karlsruher SC
08.05.26
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
2
2
D
21.12.24
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
1
2
W
13.04.24
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
1
1
D
17.07.22
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
5
0
L
10.04.22
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
2
2
D
19.03.21
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
2
2
D
24.11.17
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
0
2
W

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga