GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Home Deluxe Arena
Referee: M. Jollenbeck
SC Paderborn 07
Match Timeline
FC Schalke 04
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
L. Curda · Assist: M. Baur
SC Paderborn 07
26'
S. Marino
SC Paderborn 07
35'
D. Ljubicic · Assist: M. N'Diaye
FC Schalke 04
40'
A. Aouchiche
FC Schalke 04
🔄
66'
R. Muller ↔ S. Tigges
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
80'
S. Marino ↔ K. Okpala
SC Paderborn 07
83'
D. Ljubicic
FC Schalke 04
🔄
85'
F. Bilbija ↔ S. Michel
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
85'
J. Sticker ↔ N. Batzner
SC Paderborn 07
🔄
86'
D. Ljubicic ↔ A. Gantenbein
FC Schalke 04
🔄
86'
M. N'Diaye ↔ V. Becker
FC Schalke 04
🔄
88'
M. Sylla ↔ J. Bachmann
FC Schalke 04
🟨
90+1'
Adil Aouchiche
FC Schalke 04
🔄
90+1'
A. Aouchiche ↔ C. Gomis
FC Schalke 04

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.2%
-
Probability Distribution
SC Paderborn 07 Win 55.2%
Draw 4.4%
FC Schalke 04 Win 40.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
SC Paderborn 071.39
FC Schalke 041.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
WWDLW
52 GF / 35 GA
FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04
WLDWL
45 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
20
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
14
5.47
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 30 matches
FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 30 matches
SC Paderborn 07 Statistic FC Schalke 04
17 Wins 18
7 Draws 7
6 Losses 5
52 Goals For 45
35 Goals Against 26
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
20 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 19
18 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 12
4 Failed To Score 5
5.47 Shots On Goal 5
15.63 Total Shots 14.27
5.17 Corners 5
53.6% Ball Possession 44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FC Schalke 04. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SC Paderborn 07 expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and FC Schalke 04 in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Schalke 04 having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

SC Paderborn 07 Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 58 points from 30 games, SC Paderborn 07 bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 17 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 51:34, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by F. Bilbija (14 goals), Laurin Curda (6 goals), Steffen Tigges (6 goals), with creative support from Laurin Curda (7 assists), Raphael Obermair (7 assists), Mika Baur (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

FC Schalke 04 Analysis

FC Schalke 04 come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 61 points after 30 matches. They have recorded 18 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a 41:25 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on K. Karaman (13 goals), M. Sylla (7 goals), E. Dzeko (6 goals), with creative support from K. Karaman (5 assists), S. El-Faouzi (5 assists), E. Dzeko (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, SC Paderborn 07 won 2 times, FC Schalke 04 won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:25 from SC Paderborn 07's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.42 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: SC Paderborn 07 3-4-2-1 / FC Schalke 04 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: SC Paderborn 07 wins 2, draws 2, FC Schalke 04 wins 8
Stats
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
7 Corner Kicks 2
12 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 3
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 7
7 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 2
13 Shots insidebox 10
1 Shots outsidebox 1
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
366 Total passes 461
272 Passes accurate 376
1.32 expected_goals 2.28
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07
Formation
FC Schalke 04
D. Seimen
D. Seimen
T. Scheller
T. Scheller
F. Gotze
F. Gotze
C. Brackelmann
C. Brackelmann
L. Curda
L. Curda
M. Baur
🎯
M. Baur
S. Castaneda
S. Castaneda
F. Bilbija
F. Bilbija
J. Sticker
J. Sticker
S. Marino
S. Marino
R. Muller
R. Muller
L. Karius
L. Karius
T. Becker
T. Becker
M. Ayhan
M. Ayhan
H. Kurucay
H. Kurucay
M. N'Diaye
🎯
M. N'Diaye
S. El-Faouzi
S. El-Faouzi
R. Schallenberg
R. Schallenberg
A. Aouchiche
A. Aouchiche
D. Ljubicic
⚽ 2
D. Ljubicic
M. Sylla
M. Sylla
K. Karaman
K. Karaman
SC Paderborn 07 3-5-2
Starting XI
41
D. Seimen
G
25
T. Scheller
D
20
F. Gotze
D
4
C. Brackelmann
D
17
L. Curda
⚽ 13'
M
14
M. Baur
🎯 13'
M
5
S. Castaneda
M
7
F. Bilbija
↓ 85'
M
3
J. Sticker
↓ 85'
M
30
S. Marino
⚽ 26' ↓ 80'
F
2
R. Muller
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Schubert
G
11
S. Michel
↑ 85'
F
8
D. Kinsombi
M
27
S. Tigges
↑ 66'
F
26
S. Klaas
M
9
N. Batzner
↑ 85'
M
22
M. Hansen
M
24
N. Mohr
D
10
K. Okpala
↑ 80'
FC Schalke 04 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
L. Karius
G
5
T. Becker
D
43
M. Ayhan
D
4
H. Kurucay
D
16
M. N'Diaye
🎯 35' ↓ 86'
D
23
S. El-Faouzi
M
6
R. Schallenberg
M
24
A. Aouchiche
⚽ 40' ↓ 90+1' 🟨 90+1'
M
21
D. Ljubicic
⚽ 35' ⚽ 83' ↓ 86'
F
9
M. Sylla
↓ 88'
F
19
K. Karaman
F
Substitutes
22
K. Muller
G
14
J. Bachmann
↑ 88'
M
18
C. Antwi-Adjei
F
2
F. Sanchez
D
37
M. Gruger
M
3
D. Leonard
D
17
A. Gantenbein
↑ 86'
D
7
C. Gomis
↑ 90+1'
F
33
V. Becker
↑ 86'
D
Last matches: SC Paderborn 07
25.05.26
Bun
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
2
1
W
21.05.26
Bun
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
0
0
D
17.05.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Darmstadt 98
2
0
W
08.05.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
2
2
D
03.05.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Elversberg
1
5
L
18.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Hannover 96
1
1
D
12.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Magdeburg
4
3
W
05.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
0
W
21.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
W
14.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Arminia Bielefeld
2
2
D
07.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
1
D
28.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2
1
W
22.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Hertha BSC
5
2
W
15.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Bochum
0
0
D
07.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Nürnberg
2
1
W
01.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
2
L
25.01.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
18.01.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Holstein Kiel
0
2
L
08.01.26
Fri
SC Paderborn 07
Charleroi
3
2
W
19.12.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Darmstadt 98
2
2
D
Last matches: FC Schalke 04
17.05.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
0
W
09.05.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
1. FC Nürnberg
0
3
L
02.05.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
0
W
19.04.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
Preußen Münster
4
1
W
12.04.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
SV Elversberg
2
1
W
05.04.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
Karlsruher SC
1
0
W
26.03.26
Fri
FC Schalke 04
FC Schweinfurt 05
0
2
L
21.03.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
SV Darmstadt 98
1
1
D
15.03.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
Hannover 96
2
2
D
06.03.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
Arminia Bielefeld
1
0
W
28.02.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
1
D
21.02.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
1. FC Magdeburg
5
3
W
15.02.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
Holstein Kiel
2
1
W
07.02.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
Dynamo Dresden
2
2
D
31.01.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
VfL Bochum
0
2
L
25.01.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2
2
D
17.01.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
Hertha BSC
0
0
D
10.01.26
Fri
FC Schalke 04
VfL Osnabrück
2
0
W
21.12.25
2.
FC Schalke 04
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
2
L
14.12.25
2.
FC Schalke 04
1. FC Nürnberg
1
0
W
H2H: SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04
26.04.26
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
2
3
L
28.11.25
H2H
FC Schalke 04
SC Paderborn 07
2
1
L
02.05.25
H2H
FC Schalke 04
SC Paderborn 07
0
2
W
06.12.24
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
2
4
L
09.03.24
H2H
FC Schalke 04
SC Paderborn 07
3
3
D
29.09.23
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
3
1
W
18.02.22
H2H
FC Schalke 04
SC Paderborn 07
2
0
L
12.09.21
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
0
1
L
08.02.20
H2H
FC Schalke 04
SC Paderborn 07
1
1
D
15.09.19
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
1
5
L
16.05.15
H2H
FC Schalke 04
SC Paderborn 07
1
0
L
17.12.14
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
1
2
L
Last matches: SC Paderborn 07
25.05.26
Bun
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg
2
1
W
08.05.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
2
2
D
12.04.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Magdeburg
4
3
W
21.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Dynamo Dresden
2
1
W
07.03.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
1
D
22.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Hertha BSC
5
2
W
07.02.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Nürnberg
2
1
W
25.01.26
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
08.01.26
Fri
SC Paderborn 07
Charleroi
3
2
W
19.12.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Darmstadt 98
2
2
D
06.12.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Elversberg
1
2
L
22.11.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Hannover 96
0
2
L
02.11.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
1
W
18.10.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Arminia Bielefeld
4
3
W
27.09.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2
0
W
12.09.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
VfL Bochum
1
0
W
23.08.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1
2
L
02.08.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
Holstein Kiel
2
1
W
10.05.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Magdeburg
2
1
W
26.04.25
2.
SC Paderborn 07
SV Elversberg
1
1
D
H2H at home: SC Paderborn 07
26.04.26
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
2
3
L
06.12.24
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
2
4
L
29.09.23
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
3
1
W
12.09.21
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
0
1
L
15.09.19
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
1
5
L
17.12.14
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
1
2
L
Last matches: FC Schalke 04
09.05.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
1. FC Nürnberg
0
3
L
12.04.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
SV Elversberg
2
1
W
26.03.26
Fri
FC Schalke 04
FC Schweinfurt 05
0
2
L
21.03.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
SV Darmstadt 98
1
1
D
28.02.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
1
D
15.02.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
Holstein Kiel
2
1
W
31.01.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
VfL Bochum
0
2
L
17.01.26
2.
FC Schalke 04
Hertha BSC
0
0
D
10.01.26
Fri
FC Schalke 04
VfL Osnabrück
2
0
W
21.12.25
2.
FC Schalke 04
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
2
L
05.12.25
2.
FC Schalke 04
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2
0
W
22.11.25
2.
FC Schalke 04
Preußen Münster
0
0
D
01.11.25
2.
FC Schalke 04
Karlsruher SC
1
2
L
17.10.25
2.
FC Schalke 04
Hannover 96
3
0
W
05.10.25
2.
FC Schalke 04
Arminia Bielefeld
2
1
W
20.09.25
2.
FC Schalke 04
1. FC Magdeburg
2
0
W
31.08.25
2.
FC Schalke 04
Dynamo Dresden
1
0
W
09.08.25
2.
FC Schalke 04
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
1
L
10.05.25
2.
FC Schalke 04
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0
2
L
27.04.25
2.
FC Schalke 04
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1
2
L
H2H away: FC Schalke 04
26.04.26
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
2
3
W
06.12.24
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
2
4
W
29.09.23
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
3
1
L
12.09.21
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
0
1
W
15.09.19
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
1
5
W
17.12.14
H2H
SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
1
2
W

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga