GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Europa-Park-Stadion
Referee: Sascha Stegemann, Germany
SC Freiburg
Match Timeline
RB Leipzig
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
J. Beste
SC Freiburg
26'
I. Matanovic · Assist: J. Manzambi
SC Freiburg
33'
A. Ouedraogo · Assist: Y. Diomande
RB Leipzig
47'
M. Ginter · Assist: J. Makengo
SC Freiburg
🔄
60'
J. Beste ↔ V. Grifo
SC Freiburg
🔄
60'
N. Hofler ↔ L. Kubler
SC Freiburg
🔄
63'
B. Henrichs ↔ R. Baku
RB Leipzig
🔄
63'
B. Gruda ↔ A. Nusa
RB Leipzig
🔄
72'
J. Manzambi ↔ L. Holer
SC Freiburg
🔄
72'
M. Ginter ↔ B. Ogbus
SC Freiburg
🔄
73'
C. Harder ↔ Romulo Cardoso
RB Leipzig
🔄
73'
N. Seiwald ↔ T. Gomis
RB Leipzig
75'
D. Scherhant · Assist: I. Matanovic
SC Freiburg
🟨
77'
Christoph Baumgartner
RB Leipzig
🔄
80'
Y. Diomande ↔ J. Bakayoko
RB Leipzig
🔄
86'
I. Matanovic ↔ M. Philipp
SC Freiburg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
SC Freiburg Win 41.4%
Draw 9.4%
RB Leipzig Win 49.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
SC Freiburg1.44
RB Leipzig1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
WWDLW
72 GF / 66 GA
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
WLDWL
65 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.97
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
27
BTTS Yes
20
28
Over 2.5
23
4.49
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 47 matches
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 matches
SC Freiburg Statistic RB Leipzig
21 Wins 20
10 Draws 5
16 Losses 8
72 Goals For 65
66 Goals Against 43
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.97
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
27 BTTS Yes 20
36 Over 1.5 28
28 Over 2.5 23
16 Over 3.5 15
11 Clean Sheets 11
12 Failed To Score 3
4.49 Shots On Goal 6
12.68 Total Shots 15.85
4.28 Corners 5.39
48.5% Ball Possession 53.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by RB Leipzig's more proactive style and SC Freiburg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward RB Leipzig. RB Leipzig carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 65 points while SC Freiburg sit 7 on 44, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SC Freiburg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and RB Leipzig in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward RB Leipzig having the stronger overall control. RB Leipzig look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

SC Freiburg Analysis

SC Freiburg sit 7 with 44 points after 33 league matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 47:56 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Matanovic (10 goals), V. Grifo (7 goals), Johan Manzambi (5 goals), with creative support from V. Grifo (4 assists), Matthias Ginter (4 assists), Johan Manzambi (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

RB Leipzig Analysis

RB Leipzig come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 65 points after 33 matches. The return of 20 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 65:43, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through C. Baumgartner (13 goals), Yan Diomande (12 goals), Romulo Cardoso (10 goals), with creative support from C. Baumgartner (8 assists), Yan Diomande (8 assists), D. Raum (7 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SC Freiburg won 1 times, RB Leipzig won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:32 from SC Freiburg's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
Predicted formations: SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1 / RB Leipzig 4-3-3
Missing players: SC Freiburg 1, RB Leipzig 4
H2H summary: SC Freiburg wins 1, draws 5, RB Leipzig wins 9
Stats
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
1 Corner Kicks 2
13 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 1
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 3
9 Shots insidebox 10
2 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Goalkeeper Saves 1
346 Total passes 490
280 Passes accurate 429
1.41 expected_goals 1.24
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

SC Freiburg
Formation
RB Leipzig
N. Atubolu
N. Atubolu
P. Treu
P. Treu
M. Ginter
M. Ginter
P. Lienhart
P. Lienhart
J. Makengo
🎯
J. Makengo
M. Eggestein
M. Eggestein
N. Hofler
N. Hofler
J. Beste
J. Beste
J. Manzambi
🎯
J. Manzambi
D. Scherhant
D. Scherhant
I. Matanovic
🎯
I. Matanovic
P. Gulacsi
P. Gulacsi
B. Henrichs
B. Henrichs
W. Orban
W. Orban
C. Lukeba
C. Lukeba
M. Finkgrafe
M. Finkgrafe
A. Ouedraogo
A. Ouedraogo
N. Seiwald
N. Seiwald
C. Baumgartner
C. Baumgartner
B. Gruda
B. Gruda
C. Harder
C. Harder
Y. Diomande
🎯
Y. Diomande
SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
N. Atubolu
G
29
P. Treu
D
28
M. Ginter
⚽ 47' ↓ 72'
D
3
P. Lienhart
D
33
J. Makengo
🎯 47'
D
8
M. Eggestein
M
27
N. Hofler
↓ 60'
M
19
J. Beste
⚽ 24' ↓ 60'
M
44
J. Manzambi
🎯 26' ↓ 72'
M
7
D. Scherhant
⚽ 75'
M
31
I. Matanovic
⚽ 26' 🎯 75' ↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
21
F. Muller
G
32
V. Grifo
↑ 60'
M
17
L. Kubler
↑ 60'
D
9
L. Holer
↑ 72'
F
26
M. Philipp
↑ 86'
F
43
B. Ogbus
↑ 72'
D
30
C. Gunter
D
5
A. Jung
D
22
C. Irie
F
RB Leipzig 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
P. Gulacsi
G
39
B. Henrichs
↓ 63'
D
4
W. Orban
D
23
C. Lukeba
D
35
M. Finkgrafe
D
20
A. Ouedraogo
⚽ 33'
M
13
N. Seiwald
↓ 73'
M
14
C. Baumgartner
🟨 77'
M
10
B. Gruda
↓ 63'
F
11
C. Harder
↓ 73'
F
49
Y. Diomande
🎯 33' ↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
26
M. Vandevoordt
G
9
J. Bakayoko
↑ 80'
F
40
Romulo Cardoso
↑ 73'
F
5
E. Bitshiabu
D
27
T. Gomis
↑ 73'
F
24
X. Schlager
M
17
R. Baku
↑ 63'
D
7
A. Nusa
↑ 63'
M
6
E. Banzuzi
M
Last matches: SC Freiburg
20.05.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
0
3
L
10.05.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Hamburger SV
2
3
L
07.05.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
SC Braga
3
1
W
03.05.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
30.04.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
SC Braga
1
2
L
26.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
0
4
L
19.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
1. FC Heidenheim
2
1
W
16.04.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
3
1
W
12.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
FSV Mainz 05
1
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
3
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Bayern München
2
3
L
22.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Genk
5
1
W
15.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
0
1
L
12.03.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Genk
0
1
L
07.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
3
3
D
01.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
2
L
22.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2
1
W
14.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
1899 Hoffenheim
0
3
L
07.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Werder Bremen
1
0
W
Last matches: RB Leipzig
29.05.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Mamelodi Sundowns
1
3
L
09.05.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
02.05.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
1
4
L
24.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
3
1
W
18.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
1
W
11.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
2
1
W
20.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
1899 Hoffenheim
5
0
W
15.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
0
1
L
07.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
2
1
W
01.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
2
1
W
21.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
2
2
D
15.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln
2
1
W
31.01.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
27.01.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
1
1
D
24.01.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
1. FC Heidenheim
3
0
W
17.01.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
1
5
L
14.01.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
2
0
W
20.12.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
1
3
L
H2H: SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
16.05.26
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
4
1
W
14.01.26
H2H
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
2
0
L
08.03.25
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
0
0
D
26.10.24
H2H
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
3
1
L
06.04.24
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1
4
L
12.11.23
H2H
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
3
1
L
06.05.23
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
0
1
L
02.05.23
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1
5
L
09.11.22
H2H
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
3
1
L
21.05.22
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1
1
D
05.03.22
H2H
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
1
1
D
16.10.21
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1
1
D
06.03.21
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
0
3
L
07.11.20
H2H
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
3
0
L
16.05.20
H2H
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
1
1
D
Last matches: SC Freiburg
20.05.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
0
3
L
07.05.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
SC Braga
3
1
W
03.05.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
19.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
1. FC Heidenheim
2
1
W
09.04.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
3
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Bayern München
2
3
L
19.03.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Genk
5
1
W
15.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
0
1
L
07.03.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
3
3
D
22.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2
1
W
07.02.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Werder Bremen
1
0
W
25.01.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
1. FC Köln
2
1
W
22.01.26
UEF
SC Freiburg
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1
0
W
10.01.26
Bun
SC Freiburg
Hamburger SV
2
1
W
14.12.25
Bun
SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
1
1
D
11.12.25
UEF
SC Freiburg
Red Bull Salzburg
1
0
W
30.11.25
Bun
SC Freiburg
FSV Mainz 05
4
0
W
09.11.25
Bun
SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
23.10.25
UEF
SC Freiburg
Utrecht
2
0
W
19.10.25
Bun
SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
2
D
H2H at home: SC Freiburg
16.05.26
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
4
1
W
08.03.25
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
0
0
D
06.04.24
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1
4
L
06.05.23
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
0
1
L
02.05.23
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1
5
L
21.05.22
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1
1
D
16.10.21
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1
1
D
06.03.21
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
0
3
L
Last matches: RB Leipzig
29.05.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Mamelodi Sundowns
1
3
L
02.05.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
1
4
L
18.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
1
W
04.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
2
1
W
15.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
0
1
L
01.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
2
1
W
08.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln
2
1
W
27.01.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
1
1
D
24.01.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
1. FC Heidenheim
3
0
W
12.12.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
1
3
L
28.11.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
0
D
08.11.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
1899 Hoffenheim
1
3
L
25.10.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
6
0
W
04.10.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
1
1
D
27.09.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
1
0
W
13.09.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
1
0
W
22.08.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
0
6
L
H2H away: RB Leipzig
16.05.26
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
4
1
L
08.03.25
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
0
0
D
06.04.24
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1
4
W
06.05.23
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
0
1
W
02.05.23
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1
5
W
21.05.22
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1
1
D
16.10.21
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
1
1
D
06.03.21
H2H
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
0
3
W

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

SC Freiburg 1 missing
-
Y. Suzuki
Missing Fixture Broken collarbone
OUT
RB Leipzig 4 missing
-
V. Gebel
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
L. Zingerle
Missing Fixture Wrist Injury
OUT
-
D. Raum
Missing Fixture Rest
OUT
-
A. Thomas
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT