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NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
26.07.2026 15:00
Sarpsborg Stadion
Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes, Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Match Timeline
Ham-Kam
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Markus Johnsgard
Ham-Kam
⚽
29'
A. Nibe
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
33'
Daniel Karlsbakk
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
46'
F. Sjolstad ↔ H. Opsahl
Ham-Kam
🟨
52'
Anton Ekeroth
Ham-Kam
🟨
58'
Anders Hiim
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
61'
D. Benjamin ↔ B. Isufi
Ham-Kam
🔄
68'
A. Nibe ↔ O. Skarsem
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
68'
C. Niyukuri ↔ M. Lode
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
70'
M. Johnsgard ↔ D. Al Saed
Ham-Kam
🟨
71'
Halvor Rodolen Opsahl
Ham-Kam
🔄
78'
A. Sher ↔ N. Williams
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
84'
Bjorn Utvik
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
84'
D. Karlsbakk ↔ E. Wichne
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
84'
S. Sorli ↔ J. Berget
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
87'
P. Metcalfe ↔ S. Nilsen
Ham-Kam

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sarpsborg 08 FF Win 51.8%
Draw 11.1%
Ham-Kam Win 37.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sarpsborg 08 FF1.54
Ham-Kam1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
WWDLW
36 GF / 32 GA
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
WLDWL
36 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
13
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
15
4.23
Shots on Goal
4.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 24 matches
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 22 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF Statistic Ham-Kam
12 Wins 9
4 Draws 5
8 Losses 8
36 Goals For 36
32 Goals Against 35
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
13 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 20
14 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 2
4.23 Shots On Goal 4.15
11.77 Total Shots 10.62
5 Corners 4
44.8% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Ham-Kam. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarpsborg 08 FF expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Ham-Kam in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ham-Kam having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Sarpsborg 08 FF Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Sarpsborg 08 FF have collected 18 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 14:16 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Daniel Karlsbakk (3 goals), Victor Emanuel Halvorsen (2 goals), Claus Niyukuri (1 goals), with creative support from Claus Niyukuri (3 assists), Sondre Sörli (2 assists), Sander Christiansen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ham-Kam Analysis

Ham-Kam sit 7 with 18 points after 12 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 20:22 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mame Alassane Niang (5 goals), Henrik Udahl (4 goals), Aksel Baran Potur (3 goals), with creative support from Patrick Metcalfe (3 assists), Martin Gjone (2 assists), Viðar Ari Jónsson (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 9 times, Ham-Kam won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:23 from Sarpsborg 08 FF's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-4-2 / Ham-Kam 5-3-2
Missing players: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2, Ham-Kam 1
H2H summary: Sarpsborg 08 FF wins 9, draws 3, Ham-Kam wins 3

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W W W D W
2 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W L W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 22 10 4 8 40:31 9 34
D W W W L
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 22 9 2 11 39:34 5 29
L W L L D
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 22 6 6 10 22:28 -6 24
D W L D D
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 22 5 4 13 22:43 -21 19
L L L W D
16 21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen