Login Register
13.09.2026 17:45
Estadio Eva Perón
Referee: Felipe Viola, Argentina
Sarmiento Junin
Match Timeline
Belgrano Cordoba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Juan Manuel Insaurralde
Sarmiento Junin
🟨
17'
Mauricio Martínez
Sarmiento Junin
VAR
29'
Cristian Zabala
Sarmiento Junin
⚽
33'
Junior Marabel
Sarmiento Junin
⚽
33'
J. Marabel
Sarmiento Junin
🟨
39'
Nicolás Fernández
Belgrano Cordoba
🟨
53'
Santiago Salle
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
57'
J. Herrera ↔ Diego Churin
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
64'
F. Ricca ↔ A. Sporle
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
64'
S. Longo ↔ L. Passerini
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
68'
J. Contrera ↔ G. Arturia
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
72'
R. Hernandes ↔ F. Gonzalez
Belgrano Cordoba
🟨
79'
Diego Churin
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
80'
S. Salle ↔ T. Santamaria
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
80'
J. Marabel ↔ E. Gimenez
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
80'
J. Mavilla ↔ G. Gonzalez
Sarmiento Junin
🔄
84'
N. Fernandez ↔ L. Gutierrez
Belgrano Cordoba
VAR
90+5'
Alcides Benítez
Belgrano Cordoba
⚽
90'
L. Passerini
Belgrano Cordoba

Sarmiento Junin vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.05
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95%
1.40 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.05 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.50 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.35 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sarmiento Junin Win 48.8%
Draw 5%
Belgrano Cordoba Win 46.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sarmiento Junin0.98
Belgrano Cordoba1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
WWDLW
29 GF / 34 GA
Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba
WLDWL
37 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
11
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
11
3.92
Shots on Goal
3.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 26 matches
Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 31 matches
Sarmiento Junin Statistic Belgrano Cordoba
12 Wins 14
1 Draws 10
13 Losses 7
29 Goals For 37
34 Goals Against 24
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
11 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 15
7 Failed To Score 9
3.92 Shots On Goal 3.89
10.63 Total Shots 12.46
3.79 Corners 3.75
45.1% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Belgrano Cordoba's more proactive style and Sarmiento Junin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Belgrano Cordoba. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarmiento Junin expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Belgrano Cordoba in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Belgrano Cordoba having the stronger overall control. Sarmiento Junin come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Sarmiento Junin Analysis

So far, Sarmiento Junin have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 19 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, while the 13:20 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Marabel (6 goals), Mauricio Leonel Martínez (2 goals), C. Zabala (1 goals), with creative support from J. Marabel (3 assists), C. Zabala (1 assists), P. Magnín (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Belgrano Cordoba Analysis

Belgrano Cordoba arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 26 points after 16 matches. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 17:13 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Fernández (5 goals), J. Mavilla (3 goals), F. González (3 goals), with creative support from L. Passerini (3 assists), N. Fernández (2 assists), L. Zelarayán (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Sarmiento Junin won 1 times, Belgrano Cordoba won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:12 from Sarmiento Junin's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Sarmiento Junin 4-4-2 / Belgrano Cordoba 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sarmiento Junin wins 1, draws 3, Belgrano Cordoba wins 3

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
D W W L W
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L W W W D
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
W L D D W
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
D W W D L
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W W D D D
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D D D W W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W W W D D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
W W L L L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
W L D D D
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L L L D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L D W L W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D D D L L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L L L W D
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L W L
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L L D
Knockout Phase