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TURKEY › 1. LIG
26.04.2026 13:00
Yusuf Ziya Onis
Referee: E. Mertoglu
Sarıyer
Match Timeline
Esenler Erokspor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
28'
O. Ulas ↔ F. Nzaba
Esenler Erokspor
VAR
41'
André Poko
Sarıyer
🔄
46'
E. Korkmaz ↔ E. Gedik
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
63'
H. Catakovic ↔ O. Kayode
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
63'
R. Niyaz ↔ O. Beyaz
Esenler Erokspor
🟨
73'
Dimitri Cavaré
Esenler Erokspor
⚽
75'
M. Silva · Assist: E. Korkmazoglu
Sarıyer
🔄
76'
M. Okyar ↔ A. Karaman
Esenler Erokspor
🟨
78'
Hayrullah Bilazer
Esenler Erokspor
🟨
82'
Emeka Eze
Sarıyer
🔄
84'
M. Camara ↔ B. Kor
Sarıyer
🔄
84'
E. Eze ↔ O. Yilmaz
Sarıyer
🟨
89'
Mert Furkan Bayram
Sarıyer
🟨
90+6'
André Poko
Sarıyer
🟨
90+3'
Marcos Silva
Sarıyer
🟨
90+6'
Mame Mor Faye
Esenler Erokspor
🔄
90'
P. M. Dembele ↔ F. Ozer
Sarıyer
🔄
90'
H. E. Yesilyurt ↔ H. Traore
Sarıyer
🔄
90+5'
M. Silva ↔ O. Sol
Sarıyer

Sarıyer vs Esenler Erokspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 54.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
67.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
54.7%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sarıyer Win 38.2%
Draw 9.7%
Esenler Erokspor Win 52.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sarıyer1.1
Esenler Erokspor1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sarıyer Sarıyer
WWDLW
44 GF / 50 GA
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor
WLDWL
85 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
2.24
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1
14
BTTS Yes
22
21
Over 2.5
23
4.14
Shots on Goal
4.97

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sarıyer Sarıyer 38 matches
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 38 matches
Sarıyer Statistic Esenler Erokspor
14 Wins 22
7 Draws 10
17 Losses 6
44 Goals For 85
50 Goals Against 38
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 2.24
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1
14 BTTS Yes 22
29 Over 1.5 32
21 Over 2.5 23
7 Over 3.5 16
14 Clean Sheets 14
14 Failed To Score 5
4.14 Shots On Goal 4.97
11.58 Total Shots 12.78
4.36 Corners 5.25
47.9% Ball Possession 57.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Esenler Erokspor's more proactive style and Sarıyer's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Esenler Erokspor. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarıyer expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Esenler Erokspor in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Esenler Erokspor having the stronger overall control. Esenler Erokspor carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 73 points while Sarıyer sit 13 on 46, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Sarıyer Analysis

So far, Sarıyer have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 46 points from 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 7 draws, and 16 losses, while the 41:41 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. M. Dembele (7 goals), M. Camara (5 goals), J. Anziani (4 goals), with creative support from M. Camara (6 assists), P. M. Dembele (2 assists), J. Anziani (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Esenler Erokspor Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 73 points from 36 games, Esenler Erokspor bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 21 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 77:32, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by O. Kayode (17 goals), H. Catakovic (14 goals), M. Faye (10 goals), with creative support from Amilton (11 assists), E. Alic (7 assists), H. Catakovic (6 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Sarıyer won 1 times, Esenler Erokspor won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Sarıyer's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.4%)
Predicted formations: Sarıyer 4-1-4-1 / Esenler Erokspor 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sarıyer wins 1, draws 2, Esenler Erokspor wins 0

Standings

1. Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 23 12 3 82:27 55 81
D D D W W
2 38 21 11 6 81:42 39 74
D D L D D
3 38 21 11 6 81:35 46 74
L D L W W
4 38 21 8 9 63:39 24 71
W W L W D
5 38 18 10 10 71:39 32 64
L W W L D
6 38 16 15 7 58:33 25 63
L D W D D
7 38 16 12 10 73:43 30 60
L W W L D
8 38 16 12 10 47:34 13 60
W D W D D
9 38 16 7 15 57:56 1 55
W L W W W
10 38 14 11 13 47:43 4 53
L W L L W
11 38 13 13 12 57:55 2 52
W W W W L
12 38 15 7 16 44:44 0 52
W W L W D
13 38 13 11 14 52:54 -2 50
D L D W L
14 38 13 10 15 52:47 5 49
L L W L W
15 38 14 6 18 61:57 4 48
W L W L L
16 38 13 7 18 47:51 -4 46
L W L D W
17 38 11 6 21 44:75 -31 39
L W L D L
18 38 8 10 20 45:72 -27 34
L L D L L
19 38 2 8 28 33:102 -69 14
W L D L W
20 38 1 3 34 22:169 -147 -57
L L L L L
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