Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Vasco DA Gama Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Paulo1.28
Vasco DA Gama1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sao Paulo
WWDLW
33 GF / 34 GA
Vasco DA Gama
WLDWL
36 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
16
BTTS Yes
18
11
Over 2.5
17
4.17
Shots on Goal
5.46
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sao Paulo
29 matches
Vasco DA Gama
28 matches
| Sao Paulo | Statistic | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 9 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 13 | Losses | 12 |
| 33 | Goals For | 36 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.17 | Shots On Goal | 5.46 |
| 13.34 | Total Shots | 17.79 |
| 6.86 | Corners | 6 |
| 53.1% | Ball Possession | 53.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 7 times, Vasco DA Gama won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Sao Paulo 3-4-2-1 / Vasco DA Gama 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Sao Paulo wins 7, draws 2, Vasco DA Gama wins 6
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 57:25 | 32 | 61 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48:21 | 27 | 60 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48:36 | 12 | 51 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | 11 | 50 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 43:36 | 7 | 46 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 39:34 | 5 | 44 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 42 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37:47 | -10 | 38 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:33 | 1 | 37 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 |
Sao Paulo
Home
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 36 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 36 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 |
Vasco DA Gama
Away
|
28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 15 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30:34 | -4 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 24 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29:57 | -28 | 18 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B