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BRAZIL › SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Sao Paulo
FT
1 - 0
Mirassol
Estádio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa
Referee: R. Claus
Sao Paulo
Match Timeline
Mirassol
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
41'
Danielzinho
Sao Paulo
🟨
45+4'
Jose Aldo
Mirassol
🟨
45+5'
Nathan Fogaca
Mirassol
🔄
65'
Jose Aldo ↔ Neto Moura
Mirassol
🔄
65'
Shaylon ↔ Denilson
Mirassol
🔄
66'
Cauly ↔ Lucca Marques
Sao Paulo
🔄
76'
D. Bobadilla ↔ Luan Silva
Sao Paulo
⚽
76'
Luciano · Assist: Wendell
Sao Paulo
🔄
81'
Eduardo ↔ Everton Galdino
Mirassol
🔄
81'
Lucas Oliveira ↔ Tiquinho Soares
Mirassol
🔄
84'
Alesson ↔ Edson Carioca
Mirassol
🔄
88'
Luciano ↔ Matheus Doria
Sao Paulo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
59.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.4%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sao Paulo Win 69.7%
Draw 0%
Mirassol Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Paulo1.38
Mirassol1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
WWDLW
16 GF / 11 GA
Mirassol Mirassol
WLDWL
14 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.08
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
6
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
7
3.83
Shots on Goal
4.62

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 12 matches
Mirassol Mirassol 13 matches
Sao Paulo Statistic Mirassol
6 Wins 3
2 Draws 3
4 Losses 7
16 Goals For 14
11 Goals Against 19
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
6 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 5
3.83 Shots On Goal 4.62
11.17 Total Shots 14.31
5.83 Corners 5.92
54.3% Ball Possession 54%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 4 times, Mirassol won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1 / Mirassol 3-5-2
Missing players: Sao Paulo 6, Mirassol 3
H2H summary: Sao Paulo wins 4, draws 2, Mirassol wins 4
Stats
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Mirassol Mirassol
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
11
Blocked Shots
2
12 Corner Kicks 4
11 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 7
11 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 6
10 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 0
418 Total passes 381
355 Passes accurate 303
1.02 expected_goals 1.09
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sao Paulo
Formation
Mirassol
Rafael
Rafael
Lucas Ramon
Lucas Ramon
R. Toloi
R. Toloi
Sabino
Sabino
Wendell
🎯
Wendell
D. Bobadilla
↓
D. Bobadilla
Danielzinho
Danielzinho
Artur
Artur
Luciano
⚽ ↓
Luciano
Cauly
↓
Cauly
Jonathan Calleri
Jonathan Calleri
Walter
Walter
Joao Victor
Joao Victor
Lucas Oliveira
↓
Lucas Oliveira
Willian Machado
Willian Machado
Igor Formiga
Igor Formiga
Shaylon
↓
Shaylon
Eduardo
↓
Eduardo
Jose Aldo
↓
Jose Aldo
Reinaldo
Reinaldo
Alesson
↓
Alesson
Andre Luis
Andre Luis
Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
Rafael
G
19
Lucas Ramon
2
R. Toloi
D
35
Sabino
D
18
Wendell
🎯 76'
D
16
D. Bobadilla
↓ 76'
M
94
Danielzinho
🟨 41'
M
37
Artur
M
10
Luciano
⚽ 76' ↓ 88'
M
80
Cauly
↓ 66'
M
9
Jonathan Calleri
F
Substitutes
31
Carlos Coronel
G
21
C. Soares
D
4
Matheus Doria
↑ 88'
D
17
Andre Silva
F
33
Luan Silva
↑ 76'
M
30
Felipe Negrucci
M
54
Luis Osorio
D
46
Pedro Ferreira
M
45
Lucca Marques
↑ 66'
F
34
P. dos Santos
F
14
G. Tapia
F
56
N. Bosshardt
D
Mirassol 3-5-2
Starting XI
22
Walter
G
34
Joao Victor
D
2
Lucas Oliveira
↓ 81'
D
3
Willian Machado
D
32
Igor Formiga
M
7
Shaylon
↓ 65'
M
33
Eduardo
↓ 81'
M
21
Jose Aldo
↓ 65' 🟨 45+4'
M
6
Reinaldo
M
77
Alesson
↓ 84'
F
99
Andre Luis
F
Substitutes
23
Alex Muralha
G
25
Neto Moura
↑ 65'
97
Rodrigues
D
17
Everton Galdino
↑ 81'
F
27
A. Galeano
F
9
Nathan Fogaca
🟨 45+5'
F
95
Edson Carioca
↑ 84'
F
12
Victor Luis
D
20
Daniel Borges
D
29
Tiquinho Soares
↑ 81'
F
10
Chico Kim
M
8
Denilson
↑ 65'
M
Last matches: Sao Paulo
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
Last matches: Mirassol
30.05.26
Ser
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
0
1
L
26.05.26
CON
Mirassol
Lanus
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Mirassol
Fluminense
1
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Mirassol
Always Ready
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Mirassol
Corinthians
2
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Mirassol
Always Ready
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Mirassol
Internacional
2
1
W
15.04.26
CON
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Mirassol
Bahia
1
2
L
08.04.26
CON
Mirassol
Lanus
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Mirassol
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
01.04.26
Ser
Mirassol
Botafogo
2
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Mirassol
Vitoria
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Mirassol
Coritiba
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Mirassol
Palmeiras
0
1
L
11.03.26
Ser
Mirassol
Santos
2
2
D
11.02.26
Ser
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
2
2
D
H2H: Sao Paulo vs Mirassol
26.04.26
H2H
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
11.01.26
H2H
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
3
0
L
19.10.25
H2H
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
3
0
L
24.05.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
0
2
L
05.02.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
4
1
W
23.01.24
H2H
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
13.03.22
H2H
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
0
3
W
17.05.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
4
0
W
09.05.21
H2H
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
30.07.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
2
3
L
Last matches: Sao Paulo
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
H2H at home: Sao Paulo
26.04.26
H2H
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
24.05.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
0
2
L
05.02.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
4
1
W
17.05.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
4
0
W
30.07.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
2
3
L
Last matches: Mirassol
30.05.26
Ser
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
0
1
L
26.05.26
CON
Mirassol
Lanus
0
1
L
20.05.26
CON
Mirassol
Always Ready
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
1
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Mirassol
Internacional
2
1
W
15.04.26
CON
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
0
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Mirassol
Botafogo
2
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Mirassol
Vitoria
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Mirassol
Palmeiras
0
1
L
04.02.26
Ser
Mirassol
Remo
2
2
D
H2H away: Mirassol
26.04.26
H2H
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
L
24.05.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
0
2
W
05.02.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
4
1
L
17.05.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
4
0
L
30.07.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
2
3
W

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Palmeiras
18 12 5 1 30:13 17 41
?
2
Flamengo
17 10 4 3 31:16 15 34
?
3
Fluminense
18 9 4 5 28:23 5 31
?
4
Atletico Paranaense
18 9 3 6 24:18 6 30
?
5
RB Bragantino
18 9 2 7 25:19 6 29
?
6
Bahia
17 7 5 5 25:23 2 26
?
7
Coritiba
18 7 5 6 24:24 0 26
?
8
Sao Paulo Home
18 7 4 7 23:20 3 25
?
9
Atletico-MG
18 7 3 8 22:23 -1 24
?
10
Corinthians
18 6 6 6 18:19 -1 24
?
11
Cruzeiro
18 6 6 6 24:28 -4 24
?
12
Botafogo
17 6 4 7 31:31 0 22
?
13
Vitoria
17 6 4 7 21:25 -4 22
?
14
Internacional
18 5 6 7 21:22 -1 21
?
15
Santos
18 5 6 7 26:29 -3 21
?
16
Gremio
18 5 6 7 20:23 -3 21
?
17
Vasco DA Gama
18 5 5 8 22:29 -7 20
?
18
Remo
18 4 6 8 21:29 -8 18
?
19
Mirassol Away
17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
?
20
Chapecoense-sc
17 1 6 10 17:33 -16 9
?
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Sao Paulo 6 missing
-
E. Diaz
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
Lucas Moura
Missing Fixture Broken rib
OUT
-
Ryan Francisco
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Franco
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
Pablo Maia
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Marcos Antonio
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Mirassol 3 missing
-
Igor Carius
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Negueba
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Yuri Lara
Questionable Injury
OUT