Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sao Paulo
13 matches
Bahia
14 matches
| Sao Paulo | Statistic | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 7 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 17 | Goals For | 19 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.62 | Shots On Goal | 4.86 |
| 11.62 | Total Shots | 12.5 |
| 6.31 | Corners | 5 |
| 54.2% | Ball Possession | 54.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Bahia. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sao Paulo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Bahia in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bahia having the stronger overall control.
Placed 4 with 23 points from 13 outings, Sao Paulo continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 17:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jonathan Calleri (6 goals), Luciano (4 goals), Ferreira (3 goals), with creative support from Marcos Antonio (2 assists), Wendell (2 assists), Luciano (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
From their first 12 matches, Bahia have collected 21 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 17:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luciano Juba (5 goals), Everaldo (3 goals), Willian Jose (3 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (2 assists), Everton Ribeiro (2 assists), Luciano Juba (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 6 times, Bahia won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:10 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Sao Paulo
8
7
3
7
7
6
Lineups
Sao Paulo
Remo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Internacional
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Santos
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Bahia
Botafogo
Bahia
Coritiba
Bahia
Gremio
Bahia
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Santos
Bahia
Flamengo
Bahia
Mirassol
Bahia
Palmeiras
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Remo
Bahia
RB Bragantino
Bahia
Internacional
Bahia
Vitoria
Bahia
O'Higgins
Bahia
O'Higgins
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Fluminense
Bahia
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Bahia
Coritiba
Bahia
Flamengo
Bahia
Mirassol
Bahia
Remo
Bahia
Internacional
Bahia
O'Higgins
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Corinthians
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Away
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 |
Sao Paulo
Home
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
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