Santos vs Gremio Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Santos Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gremio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santos1.49
Gremio1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santos
WWDLW
46 GF / 41 GA
Gremio
WLDWL
37 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.34
20
BTTS Yes
20
19
Over 2.5
16
4.07
Shots on Goal
3.72
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Santos
29 matches
Gremio
32 matches
| Santos | Statistic | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 9 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 9 | Losses | 14 |
| 46 | Goals For | 37 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.07 | Shots On Goal | 3.72 |
| 13.32 | Total Shots | 11.52 |
| 5.36 | Corners | 4.1 |
| 49.9% | Ball Possession | 49.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santos won 5 times, Gremio won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Santos's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Santos 4-2-3-1 / Gremio 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Santos wins 5, draws 5, Gremio wins 5
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 43 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Santos
Home
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:33 | 1 | 37 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 36 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30:34 | -4 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 |
Gremio
Away
|
29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 19 | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 24 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29:57 | -28 | 18 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B