Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
95.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
81.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
63.1%
|
- |
Santos
Fluminense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Santos
11 matches
Fluminense
13 matches
| Santos | Statistic | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 14 | Goals For | 19 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.46 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 6.46 |
| 12.73 | Total Shots | 16.23 |
| 5.55 | Corners | 5.85 |
| 48.3% | Ball Possession | 61.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Fluminense's more proactive style and Santos's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Fluminense. Fluminense carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 20 points while Santos sit 15 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Santos expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Fluminense in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fluminense having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Santos sit 15 with 13 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 14:16, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Gabriel Barbosa (3 goals), Neymar (3 goals), Moises (2 goals), with creative support from Neymar (2 assists), Gabriel Barbosa (1 assists), Moises (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with Vinicius Lira, Gabriel Menino, Mayke, G. Escobar unavailable.
Placed 4 with 20 points from 11 outings, Fluminense continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 18:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on John Kennedy (4 goals), Agustín Canobbio (3 goals), Hércules (3 goals), with creative support from L. Acosta (3 assists), J. Savarino (2 assists), Rene (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with G. Cano, Nonato, Matheus Reis, A. Canobbio, Martinelli unavailable.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santos won 4 times, Fluminense won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from Santos's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Santos
4
3
1
6
2
1
Lineups
Santos
Vitoria
Santos
Gremio
Santos
Coritiba
Santos
RB Bragantino
Santos
Palmeiras
Santos
Bahia
Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Flamengo
Santos
Remo
Santos
Cruzeiro
Santos
Internacional
Santos
Corinthians
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Sao Paulo
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Mirassol
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Vitoria
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Flamengo
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Coritiba
Fluminense
Corinthians
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Remo
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Santos
Vitoria
Santos
Coritiba
Santos
RB Bragantino
Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Remo
Santos
Internacional
Santos
Corinthians
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Mirassol
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Coritiba
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Remo
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Bahia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
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| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
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|
|
| 3 |
Fluminense
Away
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 |
Santos
Home
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
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