CHILE PRIMERA B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 63.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
63.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Santiago Wanderers Win 37.9%
Draw 25.5%
Magallanes Win 36.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santiago Wanderers1.77
Magallanes1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers
WWDLW
43 GF / 39 GA
Magallanes Magallanes
WLDWL
42 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.96
16
BTTS Yes
21
16
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 26 matches
Magallanes Magallanes 27 matches
Santiago Wanderers Statistic Magallanes
10 Wins 9
8 Draws 5
8 Losses 13
43 Goals For 42
39 Goals Against 53
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.96
16 BTTS Yes 21
23 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 19
13 Over 3.5 13
6 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Magallanes having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Magallanes.

Santiago Wanderers Analysis

Santiago Wanderers arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 35 points after 20 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 36:21 reflects mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Magallanes Analysis

Magallanes approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 32 points after 20 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a 36:35 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Santiago Wanderers won 4 times, Magallanes won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:15 from Santiago Wanderers's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.5%)
H2H summary: Santiago Wanderers wins 4, draws 1, Magallanes wins 5
Last matches: Santiago Wanderers
16.08.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
D. Puerto Montt
1
1
D
13.08.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Antofagasta
0
0
D
08.08.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
05.08.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Union La Calera
0
4
L
02.08.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
1
W
25.07.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Union San Felipe
2
0
W
05.07.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Universidad de Chile
2
3
L
28.06.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Union La Calera
0
4
L
21.06.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Universidad de Chile
1
4
L
06.06.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Copiapo
0
1
L
30.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Union Espanola
2
2
D
23.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Rangers de Talca
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Curico Unido
3
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Cobreloa
5
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Temuco
2
2
D
28.04.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Iquique
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
3
2
W
12.04.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
San Luis
3
1
W
28.03.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
D. Puerto Montt
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Antofagasta
2
2
D
Last matches: Magallanes
15.08.26
Pri
Magallanes
Rangers de Talca
3
2
W
12.08.26
Pri
Magallanes
Cobreloa
2
2
D
09.08.26
Pri
Magallanes
Deportes Temuco
4
3
W
02.08.26
Pri
Magallanes
Union Espanola
3
2
W
26.07.26
Pri
Magallanes
San Marcos de Arica
0
2
L
11.07.26
Cop
Magallanes
A. Italiano
0
1
L
04.07.26
Cop
Magallanes
Palestino
1
2
L
27.06.26
Cop
Magallanes
A. Italiano
1
2
L
20.06.26
Cop
Magallanes
Palestino
1
4
L
07.06.26
Pri
Magallanes
Antofagasta
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Magallanes
Deportes Iquique
4
3
W
25.05.26
Pri
Magallanes
San Luis
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Magallanes
Recoleta
3
2
W
09.05.26
Pri
Magallanes
D. Puerto Montt
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Magallanes
Deportes Copiapo
2
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Magallanes
Union San Felipe
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Magallanes
Santiago Wanderers
2
3
L
11.04.26
Pri
Magallanes
Deportes Santa Cruz
2
2
D
30.03.26
Pri
Magallanes
Rangers de Talca
3
2
W
23.03.26
Pri
Magallanes
Cobreloa
1
1
D
H2H: Santiago Wanderers vs Magallanes
18.04.26
H2H
Magallanes
Santiago Wanderers
2
3
W
01.11.25
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
1
2
L
21.06.25
H2H
Magallanes
Santiago Wanderers
0
0
D
11.08.24
H2H
Magallanes
Santiago Wanderers
2
1
L
31.03.24
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
2
3
L
12.08.22
H2H
Magallanes
Santiago Wanderers
0
1
W
03.04.22
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
0
2
L
06.10.19
H2H
Magallanes
Santiago Wanderers
0
2
W
14.04.19
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
2
1
W
13.10.18
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
0
0
D
25.02.18
H2H
Magallanes
Santiago Wanderers
3
0
L
Last matches: Santiago Wanderers
16.08.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
D. Puerto Montt
1
1
D
08.08.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
05.08.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Union La Calera
0
4
L
25.07.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Union San Felipe
2
0
W
05.07.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Universidad de Chile
2
3
L
30.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Union Espanola
2
2
D
10.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Cobreloa
5
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Temuco
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
San Luis
3
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Antofagasta
2
2
D
09.03.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
2
W
21.02.26
Pri
Santiago Wanderers
Recoleta
0
2
L
07.02.26
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Union San Felipe
3
1
W
16.07.25
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
D. La Serena
1
5
L
08.06.25
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Antofagasta
3
0
W
12.05.25
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Union San Felipe
0
1
L
24.03.25
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Limache
0
2
L
03.02.25
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Colo Colo
1
0
W
06.07.24
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
Palestino
2
2
D
23.06.24
Cop
Santiago Wanderers
U. Catolica
1
0
W
H2H at home: Santiago Wanderers
01.11.25
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
1
2
L
31.03.24
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
2
3
L
03.04.22
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
0
2
L
14.04.19
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
2
1
W
13.10.18
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
0
0
D
Last matches: Magallanes
15.08.26
Pri
Magallanes
Rangers de Talca
3
2
W
09.08.26
Pri
Magallanes
Deportes Temuco
4
3
W
26.07.26
Pri
Magallanes
San Marcos de Arica
0
2
L
27.06.26
Cop
Magallanes
A. Italiano
1
2
L
20.06.26
Cop
Magallanes
Palestino
1
4
L
07.06.26
Pri
Magallanes
Antofagasta
0
0
D
25.05.26
Pri
Magallanes
San Luis
1
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
Magallanes
D. Puerto Montt
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Magallanes
Union San Felipe
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Magallanes
Deportes Santa Cruz
2
2
D
23.03.26
Pri
Magallanes
Cobreloa
1
1
D
10.03.26
Pri
Magallanes
Union Espanola
2
1
W
23.02.26
Pri
Magallanes
Curico Unido
2
1
W
31.01.26
Cop
Magallanes
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
4
L
24.01.26
Fri
Magallanes
O'Higgins
1
3
L
01.07.25
Cop
Magallanes
Nublense
0
2
L
09.05.25
Cop
Magallanes
Santiago Morning
2
1
W
09.02.25
Cop
Magallanes
Recoleta
1
0
W
02.02.25
Cop
Magallanes
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
13.11.24
Cop
Magallanes
Nublense
1
2
L
H2H away: Magallanes
01.11.25
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
1
2
W
31.03.24
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
2
3
W
03.04.22
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
0
2
W
14.04.19
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
2
1
L
13.10.18
H2H
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
0
0
D

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 10 8 2 38:22 16 38
W D D D W
2 20 9 8 3 36:21 15 35
D D D W W
3 20 8 8 4 31:25 6 32
W D D D W
4 20 9 5 6 36:35 1 32
W D W W L
5 20 8 7 5 33:21 12 31
D D W W L
6 20 9 4 7 22:20 2 31
D L D W W
7 20 9 4 7 28:27 1 31
W W L L W
8 20 7 9 4 24:16 8 30
L L D D W
9 20 8 6 6 30:29 1 30
W L D W D
10 20 7 6 7 30:30 0 27
D W D L L
11 20 6 7 7 32:29 3 25
D D L L L
12 20 4 10 6 27:26 1 22
D W D D W
13 20 4 8 8 18:32 -14 20
L L D D L
14 20 5 5 10 15:35 -20 20
L W D L L
15 20 3 7 10 24:36 -12 16
L W D L L
16 20 0 6 14 16:36 -20 6
L L D D D