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Santiago Wanderers vs Curico Unido Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.9%
Odds 1.94
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.9%
1.94 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Santiago Wanderers Win 86.9%
Draw 6.6%
Curico Unido Win 6.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santiago Wanderers1.5
Curico Unido1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers
WWDLW
48 GF / 46 GA
Curico Unido Curico Unido
WLDWL
33 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.51
18
BTTS Yes
17
19
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 32 matches
Curico Unido Curico Unido 35 matches
Santiago Wanderers Statistic Curico Unido
13 Wins 9
8 Draws 12
11 Losses 14
48 Goals For 33
46 Goals Against 53
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.51
18 BTTS Yes 17
26 Over 1.5 25
19 Over 2.5 17
13 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Santiago Wanderers's more proactive style and Curico Unido's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Curico Unido having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Curico Unido. Santiago Wanderers arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 44 points compared to Curico Unido in 13 on 27, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Santiago Wanderers Analysis

With 44 points from 26 games and a place of 3, Santiago Wanderers still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 41:28, reflects mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Curico Unido Analysis

Curico Unido sit 13 with 27 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 22:39, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Santiago Wanderers won 4 times, Curico Unido won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Santiago Wanderers's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.82 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.4%)
H2H summary: Santiago Wanderers wins 4, draws 4, Curico Unido wins 3

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 9 4 44:27 17 48
W W D L W
2 26 13 8 5 41:29 12 47
W W W W W
3 26 12 8 6 41:28 13 44
L L L W W
4 26 12 7 7 42:38 4 43
W W D D L
5 26 11 8 7 44:26 18 41
W L D L W
6 26 11 8 7 38:34 4 41
W D W W D
7 26 10 9 7 33:24 9 39
W W L W L
8 26 10 7 9 40:39 1 37
W W D L L
9 26 10 6 10 32:34 -2 36
L D L D L
10 26 10 4 12 26:34 -8 34
L L L W L
11 26 8 8 10 40:36 4 32
L D W L W
12 26 7 10 9 35:30 5 31
W W L L L
13 26 6 9 11 22:39 -17 27
L L W L D
14 26 4 10 12 27:40 -13 22
L D W D D
15 26 5 7 14 16:44 -28 22
L L L D D
16 26 4 6 16 23:42 -19 18
L L W W W