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BRAZIL › SERIE C
16.05.2026 20:00
Referee: M. Pereira
Santa Cruz
Match Timeline
Volta Redonda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
Pedro Favela
Santa Cruz
🟥
11'
Bruno Barra
Volta Redonda
🟨
19'
Everaldo
Santa Cruz
🟨
34'
MV
Volta Redonda
🟨
43'
Eurico
Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
Eurico ↔ Edson Miranda
Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
Everaldo ↔ Marcos Andre
Santa Cruz
🟨
56'
Wagninho
Volta Redonda
🔄
57'
Caetano ↔ Fabricio
Volta Redonda
🔄
57'
Luciano Naninho ↔ Fellipinho
Volta Redonda
🔄
61'
Silva ↔ Fabinho
Santa Cruz
🟨
63'
Fabinho
Santa Cruz
🔄
69'
Ze Mario ↔ Alex Ruan
Santa Cruz
🟨
73'
Alan
Volta Redonda
🔄
75'
MV ↔ Marquinhos
Volta Redonda
🔄
75'
Ygor Catatau ↔ O. Blanco
Volta Redonda
🔄
78'
Tiago Marques ↔ Eron
Santa Cruz
🔄
79'
Alan ↔ Rafael Castro
Volta Redonda
⚽
81'
Marcos Andre
Santa Cruz
🟨
83'
Marcos Andre
Santa Cruz
🟨
83'
Vitinho
Santa Cruz

Santa Cruz vs Volta Redonda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Santa Cruz Win 61.8%
Draw 38.2%
Volta Redonda Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santa Cruz0.74
Volta Redonda0.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
WWDLW
4 GF / 6 GA
Volta Redonda Volta Redonda
WLDWL
3 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.57
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 7 matches
Volta Redonda Volta Redonda 6 matches
Santa Cruz Statistic Volta Redonda
2 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
4 Losses 3
4 Goals For 3
6 Goals Against 6
0.57 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Volta Redonda. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Volta Redonda having the stronger overall control. Santa Cruz have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Santa Cruz Analysis

With 4 points from 5 games and a place of 17, Santa Cruz still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 2:4, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Marcos Andre (1 goals), Ronald (1 goals), Saulo (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Volta Redonda Analysis

Volta Redonda sit 16 with 5 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 3:6 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on O. Blanco (1 goals), Pedro Costa (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Santa Cruz won 2 times, Volta Redonda won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Santa Cruz's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
H2H summary: Santa Cruz wins 2, draws 1, Volta Redonda wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
W D D L L
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D D L D
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W L D W W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W D D W L
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L D D L W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L D W D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
D W L D L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
L D D W W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation