BRAZIL › SERIE C
03.10.2026 20:00
Santa Cruz
Match Timeline
Maringá
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
Adeilson
Maringá
🟨
2'
Everaldo
Santa Cruz
🔄
40'
Eurico ↔ Edson Miranda
Santa Cruz
🟨
45+1'
Matheus Vinicius
Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
Thiago Ennes ↔ Willian Junior
Santa Cruz
⚽
51'
Pedro Favela
Santa Cruz
🔄
59'
Caique Calito ↔ Julio Rodrigues
Maringá
🟨
60'
Wendel Lomar
Maringá
🟨
60'
Edson Miranda
Santa Cruz
🔄
64'
Ronald ↔ Joao Pedro
Santa Cruz
🔄
74'
Eron ↔ Matheus Cadorini
Santa Cruz
🔄
74'
Everaldo ↔ Arilson
Santa Cruz
🔄
76'
Ronald Camarao ↔ Serginho
Maringá
🔄
76'
Jhow Alecxander ↔ Gabriel Souza
Maringá
🔄
90+3'
Silva ↔ Fabinho
Santa Cruz

Santa Cruz vs Maringá Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 47.7%
Odds 3.07
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
47.7%
3.07 ▥
BTTS No
56%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
1.51 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.13 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
7.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Santa Cruz Win 36%
Draw 16.3%
Maringá Win 47.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santa Cruz1.14
Maringá1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
WWDLW
24 GF / 17 GA
Maringá Maringá
WLDWL
35 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.52
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
9
BTTS Yes
13
4
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 24 matches
Maringá Maringá 23 matches
Santa Cruz Statistic Maringá
11 Wins 10
6 Draws 7
7 Losses 6
24 Goals For 35
17 Goals Against 31
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
9 BTTS Yes 13
11 Over 1.5 17
4 Over 2.5 12
2 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Maringá. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maringá having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Santa Cruz Analysis

So far, Santa Cruz have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 29 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 20:15 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Maringá Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 30 points from 19 games, Maringá bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:30, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Santa Cruz won 1 times, Maringá won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Santa Cruz's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.7%)
H2H summary: Santa Cruz wins 1, draws 1, Maringá wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
D D L L L
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D L D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
L D W W D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
D D W L W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D L W L
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D W D D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
W L D L L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D D W W W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation