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BRAZIL › SERIE C
15.08.2026 22:30
Santa Cruz
Match Timeline
Maranhão
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Vitinho
Santa Cruz
🟨
22'
Everaldo
Santa Cruz
⚽
34'
Felipe Cruz
Maranhão
🟨
37'
Vander
Maranhão
🟨
46'
Edson Miranda
Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
Vitinho ↔ Cassiano
Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
Alex Ruan ↔ Ze Mario
Santa Cruz
🟨
54'
Jean
Maranhão
🔄
61'
Edson Miranda ↔ Patrick Allan
Santa Cruz
🔄
63'
Luis Gustavo ↔ Richarles
Maranhão
🔄
67'
Eron ↔ Tiago Marques
Santa Cruz
🔄
72'
Jorge Rocha ↔ Rafael Teixeira
Maranhão
🔄
72'
Will ↔ Mauricio
Maranhão
🔄
76'
Everaldo ↔ Jhoninha
Santa Cruz
🟨
77'
Pedro Favela
Santa Cruz
🔄
80'
Felipe Cruz ↔ Erverson
Maranhão
🟨
81'
Rafael Teixeira
Maranhão

Santa Cruz vs Maranhão Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.4%
- ▥
BTTS No
60.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Santa Cruz Win 68.4%
Draw 6.1%
Maranhão Win 25.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santa Cruz0.98
Maranhão0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
WWDLW
17 GF / 14 GA
Maranhão Maranhão
WLDWL
13 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.81
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
7
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 17 matches
Maranhão Maranhão 16 matches
Santa Cruz Statistic Maranhão
7 Wins 5
4 Draws 6
6 Losses 5
17 Goals For 13
14 Goals Against 15
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
7 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Santa Cruz's more proactive style and Maranhão's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maranhão having the stronger overall control. Santa Cruz arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 24 points compared to Maranhão in 16 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Maranhão. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Santa Cruz Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 24 points from 15 games, Santa Cruz bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a 15:11 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Maranhão Analysis

With 18 points from 15 games and a place of 16, Maranhão still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats with a 11:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Santa Cruz won 1 times, Maranhão won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Santa Cruz's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
H2H summary: Santa Cruz wins 1, draws 1, Maranhão wins 1

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
W D D L L
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D D L D
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
D W L D W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
D W D D W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L D D L W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L D W D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
D W L D L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
L D D W W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation