ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
03.10.2026 18:00
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
San Miguel
Match Timeline
Atletico Mitre
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
43'
D. Abello ↔ B. Mieres
Atletico Mitre
🔄
46'
M. Vazquez ↔ M. Maldonado
Atletico Mitre
🟨
49'
I. Ramirez
San Miguel
🟨
55'
K. Ceceri
San Miguel
⚽
56'
M. Machado
Atletico Mitre
🟨
57'
D. Adin
San Miguel
🟨
61'
O. Garrido
Atletico Mitre
🔄
65'
L. Desabato ↔ B. Nasta
San Miguel
🔄
65'
J. Ferrero ↔ M. Serra
San Miguel
🔄
65'
D. Adin ↔ F. Almeida
San Miguel
🟨
67'
P. Minissale
Atletico Mitre
🔄
67'
O. Garrido ↔ S. Rodriguez
Atletico Mitre
🔄
74'
P. Minissale ↔ A. Lopez
Atletico Mitre
🔄
74'
S. Rosales ↔ J. Zarate
Atletico Mitre
🔄
76'
E. De la Cruz ↔ M. Oses
San Miguel
🔄
84'
I. Ramirez ↔ T. Jerez
San Miguel
🟨
90+1'
B. Mieres
Atletico Mitre
⚽
90+4'
A. Lopez · Assist: M. Maldonado
Atletico Mitre

San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 72%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
72%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
San Miguel Win 40.2%
Draw 31.9%
Atletico Mitre Win 28%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Miguel0.97
Atletico Mitre1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Miguel San Miguel
WWDLW
25 GF / 39 GA
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre
WLDWL
27 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
0.87
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
15
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Miguel San Miguel 32 matches
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre 31 matches
San Miguel Statistic Atletico Mitre
6 Wins 6
13 Draws 14
13 Losses 11
25 Goals For 27
39 Goals Against 39
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
15 BTTS Yes 14
23 Over 1.5 22
11 Over 2.5 12
2 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 11
12 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atletico Mitre having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. San Miguel have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico Mitre.

San Miguel Analysis

With 31 points from 30 games and a place of 16, San Miguel still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 13 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 24:34, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Mitre Analysis

With 32 points from 30 games and a place of 14, Atletico Mitre still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 14 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 27:37, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, San Miguel won 0 times, Atletico Mitre won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:4 from San Miguel's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (72%)
H2H summary: San Miguel wins 0, draws 0, Atletico Mitre wins 1

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 7 7 36:27 9 61
L W W D D
2 32 17 7 8 51:32 19 58
W L L W W
3 32 16 8 8 42:29 13 56
W D W W W
4 32 14 11 7 46:28 18 53
W D W L W
5 32 14 10 8 39:25 14 52
W D W L L
6 32 12 10 10 25:21 4 46
L L L D D
7 32 12 9 11 29:27 2 45
L W W W L
8 32 11 12 9 27:28 -1 45
W W L D L
9 32 9 13 10 25:23 2 40
L W L D D
10 32 9 10 13 30:33 -3 37
D L W D W
11 32 8 13 11 25:29 -4 37
D L W W D
12 32 9 10 13 28:36 -8 37
W W L W D
13 32 9 10 13 29:39 -10 37
D D L L L
14 32 7 14 11 29:39 -10 35
W L L D D
15 32 6 15 11 20:29 -9 33
D D L D D
16 32 6 15 11 18:28 -10 33
L D D L W
17 32 6 13 13 25:38 -13 31
L L D D L
18 32 7 8 17 22:35 -13 29
L W W L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation