CHILE PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Carlos Dittborn
San Marcos de Arica
Match Timeline
Union San Felipe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
10'
B. Riveros ↔ N. Brun
Union San Felipe
🟨
19'
J. Rivera
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
46'
B. Sagredo ↔ N. Donadell
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
46'
P. Munoz ↔ A. Fontana
Union San Felipe
🔄
63'
E. Benavides ↔ A. Abalos
San Marcos de Arica
71'
L. Garcia
Union San Felipe
🔄
72'
C. Suarez ↔ L. Martinez
Union San Felipe
🔄
73'
B. Gonzalez ↔ R. Diaz Orostegui
Union San Felipe
🔄
74'
M. Iturra ↔ N. Orrego
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
74'
A. Maidana ↔ B. Monroy
San Marcos de Arica
🟨
83'
A. Cazula
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
89'
B. Aravena ↔ O. Henriquez
Union San Felipe

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 77.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
77.7%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
54.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Marcos de Arica Win 54.4%
Draw 23.2%
Union San Felipe Win 22.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Marcos de Arica1.32
Union San Felipe0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica
WWDLW
25 GF / 26 GA
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe
WLDWL
20 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
11
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica 24 matches
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 24 matches
San Marcos de Arica Statistic Union San Felipe
7 Wins 6
10 Draws 6
7 Losses 12
25 Goals For 20
26 Goals Against 42
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
11 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 19
7 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by San Marcos de Arica's more proactive style and Union San Felipe's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Union San Felipe having the stronger overall control. San Marcos de Arica arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 29 points compared to Union San Felipe in 14 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Union San Felipe. Union San Felipe arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

San Marcos de Arica Analysis

Placed 3 with 29 points from 17 outings, San Marcos de Arica continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 22:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Union San Felipe Analysis

Union San Felipe approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 16 points from 17 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 14:34, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, San Marcos de Arica won 5 times, Union San Felipe won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from San Marcos de Arica's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.92 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (77.7%)
Predicted formations: San Marcos de Arica - / Union San Felipe 4-4-2
H2H summary: San Marcos de Arica wins 5, draws 3, Union San Felipe wins 5

Lineups

San Marcos de Arica
Formation
Union San Felipe
R. Saracho
R. Saracho
A. Barrios
A. Barrios
J. Rivera
J. Rivera
A. Cazula
A. Cazula
C. Guerra
C. Guerra
B. Sagredo
B. Sagredo
M. Iturra
M. Iturra
G. Reyes
G. Reyes
A. Maidana
A. Maidana
E. Benavides
E. Benavides
C. Melivilu Fuentes
C. Melivilu Fuentes
L. Canete
L. Canete
C. Suarez
C. Suarez
N. Palmieri
N. Palmieri
V. Perales
V. Perales
D. Fuentes
D. Fuentes
L. Garcia
L. Garcia
B. Gonzalez
B. Gonzalez
V. Sanchez
V. Sanchez
B. Aravena
B. Aravena
P. Munoz
P. Munoz
B. Riveros
B. Riveros
San Marcos de Arica 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
R. Saracho
8
A. Barrios
5
J. Rivera
🟨 19'
23
A. Cazula
🟨 83'
14
C. Guerra
10
B. Sagredo
↓ 46'
4
M. Iturra
↓ 74'
16
G. Reyes
19
A. Maidana
↓ 74'
33
E. Benavides
↓ 63'
9
C. Melivilu Fuentes
Substitutes
39
V. Gallegos
17
M. Moya Godoy
21
N. Orrego
↑ 74'
22
N. Donadell
↑ 46'
27
I. Orrego
7
B. Monroy
↑ 74'
20
A. Abalos
↑ 63'
Union San Felipe 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
L. Canete
34
C. Suarez
↓ 72'
8
N. Palmieri
2
V. Perales
16
D. Fuentes
27
L. Garcia
⚽ 71'
33
B. Gonzalez
↓ 73'
25
V. Sanchez
9
B. Aravena
↓ 89'
18
P. Munoz
↓ 46'
14
B. Riveros
↓ 10'
Substitutes
35
R. Palacios
29
L. Martinez
↑ 72'
5
D. Bravo
17
R. Diaz Orostegui
↑ 73'
7
O. Henriquez
↑ 89'
21
N. Brun
↑ 10'
20
A. Fontana
↑ 46'
Last matches: San Marcos de Arica
22.08.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
1
2
L
16.08.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
1
2
L
08.08.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
1
1
D
06.08.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
01.08.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
2
0
W
06.07.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
4
L
27.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
20.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
3
L
06.06.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
San Luis
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Temuco
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
D. Puerto Montt
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Curico Unido
2
2
D
05.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Recoleta
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
2
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
3
2
W
28.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
2
0
W
23.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
1
1
D
Last matches: Union San Felipe
16.08.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Cobreloa
0
1
L
08.08.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Recoleta
0
0
D
05.08.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Universidad de Chile
0
1
L
01.08.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Antofagasta
1
5
L
25.07.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
0
2
L
04.07.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
1
1
D
28.06.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Universidad de Chile
0
2
L
21.06.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
2
0
W
08.06.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Union Espanola
2
2
D
30.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
D. Puerto Montt
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Temuco
0
5
L
16.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Rangers de Talca
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Copiapo
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
San Luis
0
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Magallanes
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Curico Unido
0
0
D
29.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Cobreloa
0
2
L
23.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
13.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Recoleta
0
2
L
H2H: San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe
13.08.26
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
0
1
L
23.03.26
H2H
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
18.10.25
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
1
0
W
07.06.25
H2H
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
1
2
W
20.10.24
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
1
2
L
04.06.24
H2H
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
0
2
W
22.07.23
H2H
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
3
0
L
04.03.23
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
0
2
L
03.10.21
H2H
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
0
0
D
01.06.21
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
3
1
W
18.12.20
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
2
1
W
05.10.20
H2H
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
1
0
L
11.08.18
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
0
0
D
07.04.18
H2H
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
0
0
D
Last matches: San Marcos de Arica
22.08.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
1
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
2
0
W
27.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
20.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Temuco
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
1
1
D
05.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Recoleta
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
2
1
W
28.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
2
0
W
16.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
1
D
07.02.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
0
D
22.03.25
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
D. La Serena
1
0
W
01.02.25
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Cobresal
2
1
W
28.01.25
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
2
2
D
23.06.24
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
0
1
L
31.05.19
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
2
L
24.03.19
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
3
1
W
H2H at home: San Marcos de Arica
13.08.26
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
0
1
L
18.10.25
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
1
0
W
20.10.24
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
1
2
L
04.03.23
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
0
2
L
01.06.21
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
3
1
W
18.12.20
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
2
1
W
11.08.18
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
0
0
D
Last matches: Union San Felipe
01.08.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Antofagasta
1
5
L
25.07.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
0
2
L
28.06.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Universidad de Chile
0
2
L
21.06.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
2
0
W
08.06.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Union Espanola
2
2
D
24.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Temuco
0
5
L
10.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Copiapo
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
San Luis
0
4
L
19.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Cobreloa
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Recoleta
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Iquique
0
5
L
07.02.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
1
3
L
12.05.25
Cop
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
1
0
W
12.02.25
Cop
Union San Felipe
Colo Colo
0
4
L
04.02.25
Cop
Union San Felipe
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
15.06.24
Cop
Union San Felipe
D. Melipilla
0
1
L
01.07.23
Cop
Union San Felipe
Everton de Vina
1
5
L
25.06.22
Cop
Union San Felipe
U. Catolica
0
3
L
28.03.22
Cop
Union San Felipe
Trasandino
3
1
W
H2H away: Union San Felipe
13.08.26
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
0
1
W
18.10.25
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
1
0
L
20.10.24
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
1
2
W
04.03.23
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
0
2
W
01.06.21
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
3
1
L
18.12.20
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
2
1
L
11.08.18
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
0
0
D

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 10 8 3 38:23 15 38
L W D D D
2 20 9 8 3 36:21 15 35
D D D W W
3 21 10 5 6 37:35 2 35
W W D W W
4 21 10 4 7 29:27 2 34
W W W L L
5 20 8 8 4 31:25 6 32
W D D D W
6 20 8 7 5 33:21 12 31
D D W W L
7 21 9 4 8 22:24 -2 31
L D L D W
8 21 7 9 5 25:18 7 30
L L L D D
9 21 8 6 7 32:31 1 30
W D W D L
10 21 8 6 7 31:31 0 30
L W L D W
11 21 5 10 6 31:26 5 25
W D W D D
12 20 6 7 7 32:29 3 25
D D L L L
13 20 4 8 8 18:32 -14 20
L L D D L
14 20 5 5 10 15:35 -20 20
L W D L L
15 21 3 7 11 24:37 -13 16
L L W D L
16 21 1 6 14 18:37 -19 9
W L L D D