Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
San Marcos de Arica
20 matches
Magallanes
22 matches
| San Marcos de Arica | Statistic | Magallanes |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 8 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 12 |
| 21 | Goals For | 30 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.91 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights San Marcos de Arica's more proactive style and Magallanes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Magallanes having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Magallanes.
San Marcos de Arica arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 25 points after 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, while the 19:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Melivilu Fuentes (9 goals), N. Donadell (3 goals), C. Guerra (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
From their first 15 matches, Magallanes have collected 22 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 24:24 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Peraza (4 goals), C. Jorquera (3 goals), R. Farfan (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, San Marcos de Arica won 5 times, Magallanes won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:9 from San Marcos de Arica's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.09 goals per game.
Lineups
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
San Luis
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Temuco
San Marcos de Arica
D. Puerto Montt
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
San Marcos de Arica
Curico Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Recoleta
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
Magallanes
Deportes Santa Cruz
Magallanes
Rangers de Talca
Magallanes
Cobreloa
Magallanes
Deportes Temuco
Magallanes
Union Espanola
Magallanes
A. Italiano
Magallanes
Palestino
Magallanes
A. Italiano
Magallanes
Palestino
Magallanes
Antofagasta
Magallanes
Deportes Iquique
Magallanes
San Luis
Magallanes
Recoleta
Magallanes
D. Puerto Montt
Magallanes
Deportes Copiapo
Magallanes
Union San Felipe
Magallanes
Santiago Wanderers
Magallanes
Deportes Santa Cruz
Magallanes
Rangers de Talca
Magallanes
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Temuco
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
San Marcos de Arica
Recoleta
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
D. La Serena
San Marcos de Arica
Cobresal
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
Magallanes
Rangers de Talca
Magallanes
Deportes Temuco
Magallanes
A. Italiano
Magallanes
Palestino
Magallanes
Antofagasta
Magallanes
San Luis
Magallanes
D. Puerto Montt
Magallanes
Union San Felipe
Magallanes
Deportes Santa Cruz
Magallanes
Cobreloa
Magallanes
Union Espanola
Magallanes
Curico Unido
Magallanes
Deportes Santa Cruz
Magallanes
O'Higgins
Magallanes
Nublense
Magallanes
Santiago Morning
Magallanes
Recoleta
Magallanes
Universidad de Chile
Magallanes
Nublense
Magallanes
Colo Colo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38:23 | 15 | 38 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 36:21 | 15 | 35 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Magallanes
Away
|
21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 35 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29:27 | 2 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31:25 | 6 | 32 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:21 | 12 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 31 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
San Marcos de Arica
Home
|
21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
| 9 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32:31 | 1 | 30 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 30 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 25 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18:32 | -14 | 20 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 15:35 | -20 | 20 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 16 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18:37 | -19 | 9 |
W
L
L
D
D
|