Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
52.9%
|
3.14 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.44 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.49 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
7.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
11.50 |
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
San Jose Earthquakes
23 matches
St. Louis City
22 matches
| San Jose Earthquakes | Statistic | St. Louis City |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 8 |
| 3 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 44 | Goals For | 28 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.33 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 13.33 | Total Shots | 14.67 |
| 6.61 | Corners | 6.33 |
| 44.9% | Ball Possession | 51.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features San Jose Earthquakes's more proactive style and St. Louis City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward St. Louis City. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Jose Earthquakes expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and St. Louis City in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St. Louis City having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. St. Louis City look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
San Jose Earthquakes sit 3 with 33 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 37:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Preston Judd (9 goals), Timo Werner (4 goals), Ousseni Bouda (3 goals), with creative support from Niko Tsakiris (4 assists), Paul Marie (4 assists), Preston Judd (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
St. Louis City sit 7 with 26 points after 18 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 24:24 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on Marcel Hartel (3 goals), Eduard Löwen (2 goals), Jeong Sang-bin (2 goals), with creative support from Marcel Hartel (3 assists), Simon Becher (3 assists), Tomas Totland (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 2 times, St. Louis City won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:20 from San Jose Earthquakes's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
San Jose Earthquakes
1
7
4
6
1
1
Lineups
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Cincinnati
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
San Jose Earthquakes
Club Tijuana
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
San Jose Earthquakes
Atlanta United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
DC United
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
FC Dallas
St. Louis City
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New England Revolution
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
San Diego
St. Louis City
Charlotte
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis City
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
San Jose Earthquakes
Club Tijuana
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
Atlanta United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
Charlotte
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis City
DC United
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
FC Dallas
St. Louis City
New York City FC
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
San Diego
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40:17 | 23 | 37 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 4 | 35 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 35:20 | 15 | 34 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
Home
|
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 33 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34:26 | 8 | 30 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
St. Louis City
Away
|
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30:26 | 4 | 28 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 29:25 | 4 | 25 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 34:35 | -1 | 24 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 24 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 23:38 | -15 | 17 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 18:48 | -30 | 14 |
L
L
L
W
L
|