🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
PayPal Park
Referee: J. Freemon
San Jose Earthquakes
Match Timeline
St. Louis City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
D. Edelman · Assist: C. Wallem
St. Louis City
27'
S. Becher · Assist: E. Lowen
St. Louis City
🔄
46'
N. Tsakiris ↔ L. Jovanovic
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
46'
B. Kikanovic ↔ J. Jasinski
San Jose Earthquakes
47'
B. Leroux
San Jose Earthquakes
55'
S. Becher · Assist: T. Totland
St. Louis City
🔄
69'
E. Lowen ↔ C. Holse
St. Louis City
🔄
69'
S. Jeong ↔ A. Matan
St. Louis City
🔄
71'
O. Bouda ↔ J. Skahan
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
71'
R. Vieira ↔ I. Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
77'
C. Wallem
St. Louis City
🟨
82'
R. Roberts
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
84'
T. Totland
St. Louis City
🔄
89'
C. Wallem ↔ J. Orozco
St. Louis City
🔄
89'
S. Becher ↔ P. Ault
St. Louis City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.9%
Odds 3.14
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.49
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.9%
3.14
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.49
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.50
Probability Distribution
San Jose Earthquakes Win 33.9%
Draw 13.2%
St. Louis City Win 52.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Jose Earthquakes1.73
St. Louis City1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
WWDLW
44 GF / 30 GA
St. Louis City St. Louis City
WLDWL
28 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
13
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
10
5.33
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 23 matches
St. Louis City St. Louis City 22 matches
San Jose Earthquakes Statistic St. Louis City
13 Wins 8
3 Draws 6
7 Losses 8
44 Goals For 28
30 Goals Against 32
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
13 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 18
13 Over 2.5 10
10 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 5
5.33 Shots On Goal 4.5
13.33 Total Shots 14.67
6.61 Corners 6.33
44.9% Ball Possession 51.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features San Jose Earthquakes's more proactive style and St. Louis City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward St. Louis City. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Jose Earthquakes expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and St. Louis City in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St. Louis City having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. St. Louis City look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

San Jose Earthquakes Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes sit 3 with 33 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 37:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Preston Judd (9 goals), Timo Werner (4 goals), Ousseni Bouda (3 goals), with creative support from Niko Tsakiris (4 assists), Paul Marie (4 assists), Preston Judd (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

St. Louis City Analysis

St. Louis City sit 7 with 26 points after 18 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 24:24 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on Marcel Hartel (3 goals), Eduard Löwen (2 goals), Jeong Sang-bin (2 goals), with creative support from Marcel Hartel (3 assists), Simon Becher (3 assists), Tomas Totland (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 2 times, St. Louis City won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:20 from San Jose Earthquakes's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
Predicted formations: San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1 / St. Louis City 3-4-3
Missing players: San Jose Earthquakes 5, St. Louis City 4
H2H summary: San Jose Earthquakes wins 2, draws 0, St. Louis City wins 7
Stats
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City St. Louis City
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 5
16 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 4
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Goal 7
4 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 1
4 Shots insidebox 12
2 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
448 Total passes 420
380 Passes accurate 329
0.19 expected_goals 2.81
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes
Formation
St. Louis City
A. Gunn
A. Gunn
B. Kikanovic
B. Kikanovic
D. Munie
D. Munie
R. Roberts
R. Roberts
J. Ricketts
J. Ricketts
R. Vieira
R. Vieira
B. Leroux
B. Leroux
O. Bouda
O. Bouda
N. Tsakiris
N. Tsakiris
T. Werner
T. Werner
P. Judd
P. Judd
R. Burki
R. Burki
L. MacNaughton
L. MacNaughton
T. Baumgartl
T. Baumgartl
D. Polvara
D. Polvara
C. Wallem
🎯
C. Wallem
C. Durkin
C. Durkin
D. Edelman
D. Edelman
T. Totland
🎯
T. Totland
S. Jeong
S. Jeong
E. Lowen
🎯
E. Lowen
S. Becher
⚽ 2
S. Becher
San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Gunn
G
28
B. Kikanovic
↓ 46'
D
5
D. Munie
D
18
R. Roberts
🟨 82'
D
2
J. Ricketts
D
14
R. Vieira
↓ 71'
M
34
B. Leroux
⚽ 47'
M
7
O. Bouda
↓ 71'
M
10
N. Tsakiris
↓ 46'
M
11
T. Werner
M
19
P. Judd
F
Substitutes
31
F. Montali
G
4
D. Romney
D
3
P. Marie
D
17
J. Jasinski
↑ 46'
D
25
M. Floriani
D
16
J. Skahan
↑ 71'
M
6
I. Harkes
↑ 71'
M
20
N. Fernandez
M
9
L. Jovanovic
↑ 46'
F
St. Louis City 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
R. Burki
G
5
L. MacNaughton
D
32
T. Baumgartl
D
21
D. Polvara
D
6
C. Wallem
🎯 8' ↓ 89' 🟨 77'
M
8
C. Durkin
M
24
D. Edelman
⚽ 8'
M
14
T. Totland
🎯 55' 🟨 84'
M
77
S. Jeong
↓ 69'
F
10
E. Lowen
🎯 27' ↓ 69'
F
11
S. Becher
⚽ 27' ⚽ 55' ↓ 89'
F
Substitutes
39
B. Lundt
G
20
Rafael Santos
D
99
J. Orozco
↑ 89'
D
27
F. Fall
D
19
C. Holse
↑ 69'
F
7
T. Ostrak
M
59
M. Joyner
M
29
P. Ault
↑ 89'
M
23
A. Matan
↑ 69'
M
Last matches: San Jose Earthquakes
01.08.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Cincinnati
2
4
L
26.07.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
23.07.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
0
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
Club Tijuana
1
2
L
24.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
3
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas
2
3
L
14.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
02.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
3
2
W
23.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
5
1
W
19.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC
4
1
W
12.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
3
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
2
0
W
Last matches: St. Louis City
02.08.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
26.07.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
1
0
W
23.07.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
1
W
17.07.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
3
2
W
23.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Austin
3
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
DC United
1
1
D
14.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
2
1
W
10.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
1
0
W
03.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Austin
0
2
L
26.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
2
3
L
19.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
1
4
L
12.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
FC Dallas
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
New York City FC
1
1
D
22.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
New England Revolution
3
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
0
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
02.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
San Diego
0
2
L
21.02.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Charlotte
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
St. Louis City
Austin
1
0
W
H2H: San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City
16.08.26
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
1
3
L
26.04.26
H2H
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
2
3
W
21.09.25
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
1
3
L
31.05.25
H2H
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
2
1
L
15.02.25
H2H
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
1
2
W
22.09.24
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
1
2
L
04.07.24
H2H
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
2
0
L
25.06.23
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
1
2
L
19.03.23
H2H
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
3
0
L
Last matches: San Jose Earthquakes
26.07.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
23.07.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
0
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
Club Tijuana
1
2
L
17.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
23.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
5
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
3
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
01.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
2
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
Charlotte
1
0
W
H2H at home: San Jose Earthquakes
16.08.26
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
1
3
L
21.09.25
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
1
3
L
22.09.24
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
1
2
L
25.06.23
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
1
2
L
Last matches: St. Louis City
23.07.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
1
W
16.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
DC United
1
1
D
10.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
1
0
W
03.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Austin
0
2
L
19.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
1
4
L
12.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
FC Dallas
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
New York City FC
1
1
D
15.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
0
2
L
02.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
San Diego
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
1
3
L
H2H away: St. Louis City
16.08.26
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
1
3
W
21.09.25
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
1
3
W
22.09.24
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
1
2
W
25.06.23
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
1
2
W
Showing odds from: Bet365
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.14
Draw 3.94
Home 2.14
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.53
Draw 2.60
Home 2.66
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 2.5 1.49
Over 2.75 1.60
Over 3.0 1.75
Over 3.25 1.99
Over 3.5 2.21
Over 3.75 2.53
Over 4.5 3.68
Over 5.5 6.88
Under 1.5 5.73
Under 2.5 2.67
Under 2.75 2.41
Under 3.0 2.14
Under 3.25 1.88
Under 3.5 1.70
Under 3.75 1.55
Under 4.5 1.29
Under 5.5 1.11
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 3.70
Home 2.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.50
Home 2.62
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.75
Home 2.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.48
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.60
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 3.70
Home 2.18
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.45
Home 2.65
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.90
Home 2.43
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.13
Over 2.5 1.49
Over 2.75 1.60
Over 3.0 1.77
Over 3.25 2.00
Over 3.5 2.25
Over 3.75 2.60
Over 4.0 3.20
Over 4.5 3.95
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 13.00
Under 1.5 5.40
Under 2.5 2.55
Under 2.75 2.28
Under 3.0 2.00
Under 3.25 1.77
Under 3.5 1.61
Under 3.75 1.47
Under 4.0 1.32
Under 4.5 1.23
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.5 1.01

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 4 3 40:17 23 37
W D D L W
2 19 11 2 6 28:24 4 35
W W W W D
3 20 10 4 6 35:20 15 34
L D W W W
4 19 10 3 6 38:27 11 33
L L D L W
5 19 8 6 5 34:26 8 30
W D L D W
6 19 8 5 6 27:25 2 29
W D W W W
7 18 8 4 6 30:26 4 28
D D L L D
8 19 8 1 10 29:25 4 25
W W L W L
9 19 6 7 6 21:26 -5 25
D D D L D
10 19 7 3 9 34:35 -1 24
L W W D W
11 18 7 3 8 20:24 -4 24
L L L L L
12 19 6 6 7 33:29 4 24
W D W L L
13 20 5 7 8 24:30 -6 22
L D D L L
14 19 4 5 10 23:38 -15 17
L L L W L
15 19 4 2 13 18:48 -30 14
L L L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

San Jose Earthquakes 5 missing
-
E. Edwards
Questionable Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
D. Jones
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
Questionable Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
N. Tsakiris
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
N. Adimabua
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
St. Louis City 4 missing
-
K. Hiebert
Missing Fixture Hip Injury
OUT
-
Celio Pompeu
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
B. McSorley
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
T. Pearce
Questionable Injury
OUT