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TURKEY › SüPER LIG
10.10.2026 13:00
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu

Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.4%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Samsunspor Win 59.4%
Draw 7.1%
Trabzonspor Win 33.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Samsunspor1.12
Trabzonspor1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Samsunspor Samsunspor
WWDLW
11 GF / 19 GA
Trabzonspor Trabzonspor
WLDWL
15 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
5
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
7
2.67
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Samsunspor Samsunspor 11 matches
Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 13 matches
Samsunspor Statistic Trabzonspor
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
6 Losses 8
11 Goals For 15
19 Goals Against 17
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
5 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 6
2.67 Shots On Goal 5.5
13.17 Total Shots 10.63
3.83 Corners 5.63
56.8% Ball Possession 54.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Trabzonspor's more proactive style and Samsunspor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Samsunspor expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Trabzonspor in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Trabzonspor having the stronger overall control. Samsunspor have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Trabzonspor carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 10 points while Samsunspor sit 16 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Trabzonspor.

Samsunspor Analysis

Samsunspor approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 4 points from 6 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 6:12, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Emre Kılınç (1 goals), Josafat Mendes (1 goals), Fatih Kaya (1 goals), with creative support from Saikuba Jarju (2 assists), Emre Kılınç (1 assists), Josafat Mendes (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Trabzonspor Analysis

Trabzonspor are currently 7 in the standings with 10 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 13:5 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Mohamed Salah (7 goals), Paul Onuachu (2 goals), Noah Saviolo (2 goals), with creative support from Mohamed Salah (2 assists), Ernest Muçi (2 assists), Franculino Djú (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Samsunspor won 3 times, Trabzonspor won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:19 from Samsunspor's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.82 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)
Predicted formations: Samsunspor 4-2-3-1 / Trabzonspor 4-3-3
H2H summary: Samsunspor wins 3, draws 4, Trabzonspor wins 4

Standings

Süper Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 15:7 8 13
W W D W L
2 6 4 1 1 13:10 3 13
L W W W W
3 6 4 0 2 14:7 7 12
L W W W L
4 6 4 0 2 7:4 3 12
W L W W W
5 6 3 2 1 8:6 2 11
W D W L W
6 6 3 1 2 16:6 10 10
W D L W W
7 6 3 1 2 13:5 8 10
W L W L W
8 6 2 4 0 7:5 2 10
D W D D W
9 6 3 1 2 7:6 1 10
D W L W L
10 6 2 2 2 7:7 0 8
L D W L W
11 6 2 1 3 13:12 1 7
L W W L L
12 6 2 1 3 10:11 -1 7
W L L D L
13 6 2 1 3 5:13 -8 7
L L L D W
14 6 2 1 3 3:11 -8 7
W L W D L
15 6 1 1 4 4:8 -4 4
D W L L L
16 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L L W
17 6 0 3 3 11:15 -4 3
D D L L L
18 6 1 0 5 2:16 -14 3
L L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig