ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
26.09.2026 14:00
New York Stadium
Rotherham
Match Timeline
Crewe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Joshua Stephenson
Crewe
⚽
21'
Dominic Iorfa
Crewe
🟨
41'
Tom Bradshaw
Rotherham
⚽
44'
Paul Mullin · Assist: kian spence
Rotherham
🔄
57'
Tom Bradshaw ↔ Joe Rafferty
Rotherham
🔄
58'
kian spence ↔ Jayce Fitzgerald
Rotherham
🔄
58'
Aaron Nemane ↔ Marvin Kaleta
Rotherham
🟨
65'
Kyle Ure
Crewe
🔄
67'
Matúš Holíček ↔ Owen lunt
Crewe
🔄
67'
Jordan Gibson ↔ Jack Lankester
Crewe
🔄
73'
Adrien thibaut ↔ Charlie McNeill
Crewe
🔄
73'
Joe White ↔ Conor Thomas
Crewe
🔄
84'
Joel Tabiner ↔ luca moore
Crewe
🔄
90+1'
Ossama Ashley ↔ H. Douglas
Rotherham

Rotherham vs Crewe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds 3.21
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.4%
3.21 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.75 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.4%
1.14 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Rotherham Win 33.7%
Draw 5%
Crewe Win 61.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rotherham1.06
Crewe1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rotherham Rotherham
WWDLW
17 GF / 15 GA
Crewe Crewe
WLDWL
15 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
8
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
4
4.29
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rotherham Rotherham 14 matches
Crewe Crewe 12 matches
Rotherham Statistic Crewe
5 Wins 4
6 Draws 7
3 Losses 1
17 Goals For 15
15 Goals Against 10
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
8 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 2
4.29 Shots On Goal 3.71
13.43 Total Shots 13.43
4.29 Corners 6
50.4% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Crewe's more proactive style and Rotherham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rotherham expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Crewe in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Crewe having the stronger overall control. Crewe carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 10 points while Rotherham sit 16 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Crewe.

Rotherham Analysis

Rotherham sit 16 with 6 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 9:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on P. Mullin (2 goals), Brandon Ashley Cover (1 goals), Fábio Tavares (1 goals), with creative support from J. Austerfield (1 assists), K. Spence (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Crewe Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Crewe have collected 10 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 6:4 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Offord (1 goals), J. March (1 goals), J. Stephenson (1 goals), with creative support from L. Billington (1 assists), Calum Agius (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Rotherham won 6 times, Crewe won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:14 from Rotherham's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Rotherham 3-4-2-1 / Crewe 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rotherham wins 6, draws 3, Crewe wins 1

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 1 3 13:10 3 16
W W W D W
2 7 4 3 0 17:10 7 15
W W D D D
3
Crewe Away
9 3 6 0 11:7 4 15
W D D D D
4 9 4 3 2 16:14 2 15
L W D W D
5 9 5 0 4 14:14 0 15
L W L L W
6 8 4 2 2 16:10 6 14
W L W D L
7 8 3 5 0 11:5 6 14
D W D D D
8 9 4 2 3 15:12 3 14
W L W W D
9 9 3 4 2 13:10 3 13
L L W W D
10 9 3 4 2 11:9 2 13
D L W W W
11 9 4 1 4 10:11 -1 13
W W W D L
12 9 2 5 2 12:12 0 11
L D D L W
13 9 3 2 4 9:13 -4 11
L D L L W
14 9 3 2 4 9:14 -5 11
W D D W L
15 9 2 4 3 12:12 0 10
D W D D L
16 9 2 4 3 13:14 -1 10
W D D L W
17 9 2 4 3 11:12 -1 10
L D W D L
18 9 2 4 3 9:10 -1 10
L L L D W
19 8 2 4 2 10:12 -2 10
D D D L L
20 9 2 3 4 5:6 -1 9
W L D L D
21 8 2 1 5 9:13 -4 7
L L L L D
22 7 1 3 3 3:6 -3 6
L L W D D
23 7 1 2 4 3:9 -6 5
L W L L D
24 7 1 1 5 6:13 -7 4
L L L D L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League