Rotherham vs Crewe Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
61.4%
|
3.21 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.75 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90.4%
|
1.14 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
8.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
12.00 |
Rotherham
Crewe
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rotherham
14 matches
Crewe
12 matches
| Rotherham | Statistic | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 3 | Losses | 1 |
| 17 | Goals For | 15 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.83 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.29 | Shots On Goal | 3.71 |
| 13.43 | Total Shots | 13.43 |
| 4.29 | Corners | 6 |
| 50.4% | Ball Possession | 50.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Crewe's more proactive style and Rotherham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rotherham expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Crewe in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Crewe having the stronger overall control. Crewe carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 10 points while Rotherham sit 16 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Crewe.
Rotherham sit 16 with 6 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 9:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on P. Mullin (2 goals), Brandon Ashley Cover (1 goals), Fábio Tavares (1 goals), with creative support from J. Austerfield (1 assists), K. Spence (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 6 matches, Crewe have collected 10 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 6:4 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Offord (1 goals), J. March (1 goals), J. Stephenson (1 goals), with creative support from L. Billington (1 assists), Calum Agius (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Rotherham won 6 times, Crewe won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:14 from Rotherham's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
Crewe
Away
|
9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 14 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 |
Rotherham
Home
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
L
|