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GERMANY › 3. LIGA
13.10.2026 17:00
Stadion an der Hafenstrasse

Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rot-Weiß Essen Win 50.6%
Draw 11.9%
Fortuna Köln Win 37.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rot-Weiß Essen1.99
Fortuna Köln1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen
WWDLW
36 GF / 20 GA
Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln
WLDWL
28 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2.57
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
7
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
9
3.71
Shots on Goal
2.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen 14 matches
Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 16 matches
Rot-Weiß Essen Statistic Fortuna Köln
7 Wins 8
3 Draws 5
4 Losses 3
36 Goals For 28
20 Goals Against 18
2.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
7 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 11
10 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 3
3.71 Shots On Goal 2.14
12.43 Total Shots 6.43
3.86 Corners 2.71
40.6% Ball Possession 29%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Rot-Weiß Essen's more proactive style and Fortuna Köln's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Fortuna Köln. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Rot-Weiß Essen arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 14 points compared to Fortuna Köln in 12 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rot-Weiß Essen expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Fortuna Köln in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortuna Köln having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Rot-Weiß Essen Analysis

Rot-Weiß Essen approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 14 points after 7 outings. With 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Fortuna Köln Analysis

So far, Fortuna Köln have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 9 points from 7 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 8:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Rot-Weiß Essen won 3 times, Fortuna Köln won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:6 from Rot-Weiß Essen's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.1%)
Predicted formations: Rot-Weiß Essen 4-2-3-1 / Fortuna Köln 4-5-1
H2H summary: Rot-Weiß Essen wins 3, draws 2, Fortuna Köln wins 1

Standings

3 Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 19:7 12 18
W W L W W
2 7 5 0 2 19:9 10 15
W W W L W
3 7 4 2 1 13:9 4 14
D W W W D
4 7 4 1 2 19:12 7 13
W D L W L
5 7 4 1 2 14:8 6 13
W W D L W
6 7 3 3 1 15:15 0 12
D W L D W
7 7 3 2 2 11:8 3 11
W L D W L
8 7 3 2 2 12:13 -1 11
L D W W L
9 7 3 1 3 11:10 1 10
W L W L L
10 7 3 1 3 6:7 -1 10
L W W D W
11 7 3 1 3 10:13 -3 10
W D W W L
12 7 2 3 2 8:8 0 9
W L D D W
13 7 2 2 3 6:9 -3 8
L D D W L
14 7 2 2 3 7:11 -4 8
L L W L W
15 7 2 1 4 12:15 -3 7
D L L W L
16 7 2 1 4 11:15 -4 7
L W L L L
17 7 2 0 5 8:15 -7 6
L L L L W
18 7 1 2 4 13:17 -4 5
D L D L L
19 7 1 2 4 5:13 -8 5
L W L D D
20 7 1 1 5 10:15 -5 4
L L D L W
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation