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05.10.2026 18:45
Arena Națională
Referee: Elcin Masiyev
Romania
Match Timeline
Sweden
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Nicușor Bancu
Romania
⚽
13'
Viktor Gyökeres
Sweden
🔄
45'
Nicușor Bancu ↔ Lisav Naif Eissat
Romania
🟨
48'
Răzvan Marin
Romania
🟨
53'
Felix Beijmo
Sweden
🔄
54'
Jesper Karlstrom ↔ Hugo Larsson
Sweden
🔄
54'
Gabriel Gudmundsson ↔ Daniel Svensson
Sweden
🟨
62'
Alexander Bernhardsson
Sweden
🔄
69'
Nicolae Stanciu ↔ Ianis Hagi
Romania
🔄
69'
Darius Olaru ↔ Alexandru Cicâldău
Romania
🔄
69'
Răzvan Marin ↔ Valentin Mihăilă
Romania
🔄
75'
Besfort Zeneli ↔ Hugo Bolin
Sweden
🔄
77'
Sebastian Nanasi ↔ Samuel Dahl
Sweden
🟨
82'
Valentin Mihăilă
Romania
🔄
83'
Florin Tănase ↔ Catalin Cirjan
Romania
🔄
89'
Alexander Bernhardsson ↔ Hampus Skoglund
Sweden
🟨
90+3'
Catalin Cirjan
Romania

Romania vs Sweden Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.3%
Odds 4.16
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.59
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.3%
4.16 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.59 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.1%
1.12 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Romania Win 69.3%
Draw 5%
Sweden Win 25.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Romania1.4
Sweden2.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Romania Romania
WWDLW
6 GF / 16 GA
Sweden Sweden
WLDWL
16 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.78
2.67
Average Goals Conceded
2
4
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
7
2.5
Shots on Goal
5.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Romania Romania 6 matches
Sweden Sweden 9 matches
Romania Statistic Sweden
1 Wins 3
1 Draws 3
4 Losses 3
6 Goals For 16
16 Goals Against 18
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
2.67 Avg Goals Conceded 2
4 BTTS Yes 8
6 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 5
0 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
2.5 Shots On Goal 5.22
9.17 Total Shots 11.22
2.5 Corners 3
28.5% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Romania won 1 times, Sweden won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Romania's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Romania 4-2-3-1 / Sweden 4-4-2
H2H summary: Romania wins 1, draws 0, Sweden wins 2

Standings

League B - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 7:3 4 10
W D W W
2 4 2 2 0 6:3 3 8
W D W D
3 4 1 1 2 7:4 3 4
L W L D
4 4 0 0 4 3:13 -10 0
L L L L
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