ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO

05.09.2026 14:00

Rochdale

1 - 4

Gillingham

Spotland

Rochdale

Match Timeline

Gillingham

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

🟨

🔄

⚽

🔄

🟨

⚽

🟨

🟥

🔄

⚽

🔄

⚽

🔄

Rochdale vs Gillingham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away or Draw

Probability 66.9%

Odds 1.70

BTTS

Yes

Probability 67.1%

Odds 1.83

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 77.2%

Odds 1.96

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away or Draw	66.9%	1.70	▥
BTTS	Yes	67.1%	1.83	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.2%	1.96	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	85.1%	1.21	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	7.50	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	12.00	▥

Probability Distribution

Rochdale Win 33.1%

Draw 23.7%

Gillingham Win 43.2%

Expected Goals (xG)

Rochdale1.18

Gillingham1.4

Recent Form (Last 5)

Rochdale

WWDLW

11 GF / 16 GA

Gillingham

WLDWL

8 GF / 7 GA

Key Stats

1.38

Average Goals Scored

Average Goals Conceded

0.88

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

2.5

Shots on Goal

3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rochdale 8 matches

Gillingham 8 matches

Rochdale	Statistic	Gillingham
1	Wins	3
2	Draws	3
5	Losses	2
11	Goals For	8
16	Goals Against	7
1.38	Avg Goals Scored	1
2	Avg Goals Conceded	0.88
4	BTTS Yes	3
7	Over 1.5	5
6	Over 2.5	3
3	Over 3.5	0
1	Clean Sheets	3
3	Failed To Score	3
2.5	Shots On Goal	3.5
7.5	Total Shots	11
3.75	Corners	3.5
59.5%	Ball Possession	43.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rochdale won 3 times, Gillingham won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:23 from Rochdale's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (76.3%)

Predicted formations: Rochdale 4-2-3-1 / Gillingham 3-1-4-2

H2H summary: Rochdale wins 3, draws 4, Gillingham wins 8

Standings

League Two

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Salford City	9	5	1	3	13:10	3	16	W W W D W
2	Barnet	7	4	3	0	17:10	7	15	W W D D D
3	Crewe	9	3	6	0	11:7	4	15	W D D D D
4	Cheltenham	9	4	3	2	16:14	2	15	L W D W D
5	Bristol Rovers	9	5	0	4	14:14	0	15	L W L L W
6	York	8	4	2	2	16:10	6	14	W L W D L
7	Walsall	8	3	5	0	11:5	6	14	D W D D D
8	Chesterfield	9	4	2	3	15:12	3	14	W L W W D
9	Grimsby	9	3	4	2	13:10	3	13	L L W W D
10	Gillingham Away	9	3	4	2	11:9	2	13	D L W W W
11	Rochdale Home	9	4	1	4	10:11	-1	13	W W W D L
12	Tranmere	9	2	5	2	12:12	0	11	L D D L W
13	Swindon Town	9	3	2	4	9:13	-4	11	L D L L W
14	Shrewsbury	9	3	2	4	9:14	-5	11	W D D W L
15	Newport County	9	2	4	3	12:12	0	10	D W D D L
16	Accrington ST	9	2	4	3	13:14	-1	10	W D D L W
17	Rotherham	9	2	4	3	11:12	-1	10	L D W D L
18	Fleetwood Town	9	2	4	3	9:10	-1	10	L L L D W
19	Colchester	8	2	4	2	10:12	-2	10	D D D L L
20	Exeter City	9	2	3	4	5:6	-1	9	W L D L D
21	Oldham	8	2	1	5	9:13	-4	7	L L L L D
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	3:6	-3	6	L L W D D
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	3:9	-6	5	L W L L D
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	6:13	-7	4	L L L D L

Promotion - League One

Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)

Relegation - National League