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10.10.2026 16:00

Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rizespor Win 36.8%
Draw 4.9%
Fenerbahçe Win 58.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rizespor1.14
Fenerbahçe1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rizespor Rizespor
WWDLW
22 GF / 13 GA
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
WLDWL
38 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
2.24
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
0.65
7
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
8
5
Shots on Goal
6.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rizespor Rizespor 15 matches
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 17 matches
Rizespor Statistic Fenerbahçe
8 Wins 11
3 Draws 4
4 Losses 2
22 Goals For 38
13 Goals Against 11
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 2.24
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 0.65
7 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 1
5 Shots On Goal 6.69
15.5 Total Shots 15.85
5 Corners 6
55.8% Ball Possession 55.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Fenerbahçe. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rizespor expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Fenerbahçe in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fenerbahçe having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Rizespor Analysis

Rizespor sit 9 with 10 points after 6 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 7:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Emrecan Bulut (2 goals), Ali Sowe (2 goals), Iustin Doicaru (1 goals), with creative support from Mithat Pala (2 assists), Emrecan Bulut (1 assists), Iustin Doicaru (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Fenerbahçe Analysis

Fenerbahçe are currently 6 in the standings with 10 points from 6 matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 16:6 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Vedat Muriqi (6 goals), Mason Greenwood (4 goals), İrfan Can Kahveci (1 goals), with creative support from İrfan Can Kahveci (3 assists), Mason Greenwood (2 assists), Oğuz Aydın (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rizespor won 1 times, Fenerbahçe won 13 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:46 from Rizespor's perspective. 14 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Rizespor 4-1-4-1 / Fenerbahçe 4-3-3
H2H summary: Rizespor wins 1, draws 1, Fenerbahçe wins 13

Standings

Süper Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 15:7 8 13
W W D W L
2 6 4 1 1 13:10 3 13
L W W W W
3 6 4 0 2 14:7 7 12
L W W W L
4 6 4 0 2 7:4 3 12
W L W W W
5 6 3 2 1 8:6 2 11
W D W L W
6 6 3 1 2 16:6 10 10
W D L W W
7 6 3 1 2 13:5 8 10
W L W L W
8 6 2 4 0 7:5 2 10
D W D D W
9 6 3 1 2 7:6 1 10
D W L W L
10 6 2 2 2 7:7 0 8
L D W L W
11 6 2 1 3 13:12 1 7
L W W L L
12 6 2 1 3 10:11 -1 7
W L L D L
13 6 2 1 3 5:13 -8 7
L L L D W
14 6 2 1 3 3:11 -8 7
W L W D L
15 6 1 1 4 4:8 -4 4
D W L L L
16 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L L W
17 6 0 3 3 11:15 -4 3
D D L L L
18 6 1 0 5 2:16 -14 3
L L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig