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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
06.12.2026 16:00

Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

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Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Rio Ave Win 0%
Draw 0%
Casa Pia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rio Ave1.78
Casa Pia1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rio Ave Rio Ave
WWDLW
15 GF / 19 GA
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WLDWL
7 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
0.7
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
2.4
4
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
5
2.57
Shots on Goal
2.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rio Ave Rio Ave 11 matches
Casa Pia Casa Pia 10 matches
Rio Ave Statistic Casa Pia
4 Wins 2
2 Draws 1
5 Losses 7
15 Goals For 7
19 Goals Against 24
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 0.7
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 2.4
4 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 6
7 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 6
2.57 Shots On Goal 2.71
7.14 Total Shots 10.29
3.14 Corners 4.14
43% Ball Possession 44.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Rio Ave won 5 times, Casa Pia won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:10 from Rio Ave's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Rio Ave 4-2-3-1 / Casa Pia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rio Ave wins 5, draws 4, Casa Pia wins 2

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 7 0 0 18:3 15 21
W W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 22:7 15 16
L W W W W
3 7 4 3 0 17:8 9 15
D D W W W
4 7 4 3 0 11:4 7 15
D W W D W
5 7 3 2 2 10:7 3 11
D L D W L
6 6 3 2 1 7:5 2 11
D W L W W
7 7 3 2 2 9:9 0 11
W W W L D
8 7 2 4 1 14:14 0 10
L D W D W
9 6 2 2 2 5:5 0 8
D L L D W
10 7 2 2 3 9:11 -2 8
W W L D L
11 7 2 2 3 8:12 -4 8
D L L L D
12 7 2 2 3 8:14 -6 8
D W L L W
13 7 1 4 2 9:7 2 7
W D D D L
14 7 1 2 4 5:8 -3 5
D L D L W
15 7 1 1 5 7:15 -8 4
L L L L L
16 7 1 1 5 5:15 -10 4
L D L L W
17 7 1 1 5 3:16 -13 4
W L D L L
18 7 0 2 5 3:10 -7 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2