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FRANCE › LIGUE 2
24.04.2026 18:00
Stade Bauer
Referee: T. Bouille
RED Star FC 93
Match Timeline
Guingamp
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
L. Mafouta · Assist: J. Matumona
Guingamp
⚽
34'
D. Durand
RED Star FC 93
⚽
35'
J. Ikanga · Assist: B. Pierret
RED Star FC 93
🟨
36'
Alpha Sissoko
Guingamp
⚽
43'
R. Hachem · Assist: K. Cabral
RED Star FC 93
🟨
45+2'
Jérémie Matumona
Guingamp
🟨
60'
Kevin Cabral
RED Star FC 93
🔄
63'
S. Kielt ↔ Y. Demoncy
Guingamp
🔄
63'
D. Louiserre ↔ K. Sidibe
Guingamp
🔄
63'
F. Mbemba ↔ A. Samoura
Guingamp
🔄
68'
D. Sylla ↔ T. Magnin
RED Star FC 93
🔄
69'
K. Cabral ↔ H. Benali
RED Star FC 93
⚽
71'
L. Mafouta
Guingamp
🔄
77'
J. Ikanga ↔ A. Hachem
RED Star FC 93
🔄
77'
T. Ahile ↔ T. Matondo
Guingamp
🔄
80'
A. Sagna ↔ I. Diakite
Guingamp
🔄
87'
D. Durand ↔ P. M. Ba
RED Star FC 93
🔄
87'
R. Hachem ↔ J. Escartin
RED Star FC 93
🟨
90+5'
Bradley Danger
RED Star FC 93

RED Star FC 93 vs Guingamp Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
66.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68.6%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
RED Star FC 93 Win 87%
Draw 0%
Guingamp Win 13.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
RED Star FC 931.31
Guingamp1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93
WWDLW
41 GF / 34 GA
Guingamp Guingamp
WLDWL
46 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
14
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
20
3.83
Shots on Goal
3.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 32 matches
Guingamp Guingamp 34 matches
RED Star FC 93 Statistic Guingamp
14 Wins 12
10 Draws 10
8 Losses 12
41 Goals For 46
34 Goals Against 46
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
14 BTTS Yes 17
21 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 20
7 Over 3.5 11
14 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 10
3.83 Shots On Goal 3.94
11.87 Total Shots 12.34
4.77 Corners 5.34
54.9% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights RED Star FC 93's more proactive style and Guingamp's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Guingamp. Guingamp arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with RED Star FC 93 expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Guingamp in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Guingamp having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

RED Star FC 93 Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 51 points from 31 games, RED Star FC 93 bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 14 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 36:30, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by D. Durand (12 goals), Hacene Benali (5 goals), Jovany Ikanga (4 goals), with creative support from S. E. Khaoui (4 assists), K. Cisse (4 assists), D. Sylla (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Guingamp Analysis

Guingamp sit 11 with 40 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 39:42, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Louis Mafouta (13 goals), D. Gomis (4 goals), S. Kielt (4 goals), with creative support from A. Hemia (5 assists), Louis Mafouta (4 assists), G. Ott (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, RED Star FC 93 won 4 times, Guingamp won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:7 from RED Star FC 93's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: RED Star FC 93 3-1-4-2 / Guingamp 4-4-2
H2H summary: RED Star FC 93 wins 4, draws 0, Guingamp wins 1

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 20 7 7 60:33 27 67
L W W W L
2 34 16 14 4 50:31 19 62
W D D W D
3 34 18 6 10 59:38 21 60
W L L L W
4 34 16 10 8 45:37 8 58
D W W L W
5 34 15 13 6 45:39 6 58
W W D W W
6 34 14 14 6 53:35 18 56
W D D W D
7 34 15 7 12 49:39 10 52
L W W W D
8 34 14 9 11 41:31 10 51
D L W W D
9 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
L L L W W
10 34 11 10 13 53:45 8 43
L L W L L
11 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
L L L L D
12 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
W W D L D
13 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
W W D L D
14 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
W W D L D
15 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
L L L L D
16 34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
W D W L D
17 34 5 13 16 23:39 -16 28
L W D W L
18 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24
L L L L L
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