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SPAIN › LA LIGA
17.05.2026 17:00
Anoeta
Referee: I. Galech
Real Sociedad
Match Timeline
Valencia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
A. Munoz · Assist: A. Elustondo
Real Sociedad
⚽
8'
J. Guerra · Assist: D. Lopez
Valencia
⚽
22'
H. Duro · Assist: E. Comert
Valencia
🟨
25'
Arsen Zakharyan
Real Sociedad
🔄
57'
B. Mendez ↔ L. Sucic
Real Sociedad
🔄
57'
A. Zakharyan ↔ M. Oyarzabal
Real Sociedad
🔄
57'
A. Munoz ↔ S. Gomez
Real Sociedad
⚽
60'
C. Tarrega
Real Sociedad
⚽
63'
O. Oskarsson · Assist: M. Oyarzabal
Real Sociedad
🟥
70'
Eray Cömert
Valencia
🔄
73'
H. Duro ↔ U. Sadiq
Valencia
🔄
73'
F. Ugrinic ↔ T. Rendall
Valencia
🔄
74'
D. Lopez ↔ Pepelu
Valencia
🔄
74'
L. Rioja ↔ L. Ramazani
Valencia
🔄
79'
O. Oskarsson ↔ G. Guedes
Real Sociedad
🔄
83'
U. Nunez ↔ A. Almeida
Valencia
🔄
84'
A. Elustondo ↔ J. Aramburu
Real Sociedad
🟨
86'
Beñat Turrientes
Real Sociedad
🟨
88'
Jon Martin
Real Sociedad
🟨
88'
Igor Zubeldia
Real Sociedad
⚽
89'
G. Rodriguez · Assist: A. Almeida
Valencia
⚽
90'
J. Guerra · Assist: T. Rendall
Valencia

Real Sociedad vs Valencia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Real Sociedad Win 53.7%
Draw 12.6%
Valencia Win 33.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Sociedad1.49
Valencia1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
WWDLW
71 GF / 63 GA
Valencia Valencia
WLDWL
51 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
32
BTTS Yes
21
26
Over 2.5
17
4.66
Shots on Goal
3.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 44 matches
Valencia Valencia 41 matches
Real Sociedad Statistic Valencia
17 Wins 15
14 Draws 10
13 Losses 16
71 Goals For 51
63 Goals Against 54
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
32 BTTS Yes 21
35 Over 1.5 33
26 Over 2.5 17
18 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 12
5 Failed To Score 9
4.66 Shots On Goal 3.27
12.41 Total Shots 11.59
5.43 Corners 4.95
49.2% Ball Possession 48.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Valencia. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Sociedad Analysis

Real Sociedad sit 8 with 44 points after 35 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses, while the 54:55 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Oyarzabal (15 goals), G. Guedes (8 goals), O. Oskarsson (7 goals), with creative support from A. Barrenetxea (5 assists), G. Guedes (4 assists), T. Kubo (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Valencia Analysis

Valencia are currently 12 in the standings with 42 points from 35 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 38:50 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Duro (9 goals), L. Ramazani (6 goals), A. Danjuma (3 goals), with creative support from L. Rioja (6 assists), Javier Guerra (5 assists), F. Ugrinic (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Sociedad won 4 times, Valencia won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:12 from Real Sociedad's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.4%)
Predicted formations: Real Sociedad 4-4-2 / Valencia 4-4-2
Missing players: Real Sociedad 5, Valencia 6
H2H summary: Real Sociedad wins 4, draws 7, Valencia wins 4

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2