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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
19.04.2026 01:30
Rio Tinto Stadium
Referee: Ismail Elfath, USA
Real Salt Lake
Match Timeline
San Diego
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
D. Luna
Real Salt Lake
⚽
6'
S. Solans · Assist: D. Luna
Real Salt Lake
⚽
14'
M. Ingvartsen · Assist: L. Morgan
San Diego
⚽
37'
S. Solans · Assist: Z. Gozo
Real Salt Lake
🟨
45+5'
Bryce Duke
San Diego
⚽
45'
M. Guilavogui · Assist: S. Solans
Real Salt Lake
🔄
46'
B. Duke ↔ A. Mighten
San Diego
🔄
46'
A. Godoy ↔ P. Soma
San Diego
🟨
51'
Morgan Guilavogui
Real Salt Lake
🔄
66'
O. Valakari ↔ D. Vazquez
San Diego
🔄
66'
M. Ingvartsen ↔ B. B. Zamble
San Diego
⚽
66'
A. Dreyer
San Diego
🔄
70'
D. Luna ↔ A. Hezarkhani
Real Salt Lake
🔄
70'
D. Yedlin ↔ S. Junqua
Real Salt Lake
🔄
77'
S. Solans ↔ V. Olatunji
Real Salt Lake
🔄
77'
S. Spierings ↔ G. Dillon
Real Salt Lake
🔄
82'
M. Guilavogui ↔ Z. Booth
Real Salt Lake
🔄
84'
L. Morgan ↔ A. Pellegrino
San Diego

Real Salt Lake vs San Diego Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 97.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
97.4%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Real Salt Lake Win 70.8%
Draw 6.4%
San Diego Win 22.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Salt Lake1.8
San Diego1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WWDLW
18 GF / 13 GA
San Diego San Diego
WLDWL
23 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
8
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
8
5.67
Shots on Goal
4.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 9 matches
San Diego San Diego 12 matches
Real Salt Lake Statistic San Diego
5 Wins 6
3 Draws 2
1 Losses 4
18 Goals For 23
13 Goals Against 18
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
8 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
0 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 3
5.67 Shots On Goal 4.45
17.17 Total Shots 10.36
5.67 Corners 4.55
44.8% Ball Possession 57.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Real Salt Lake arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 13 points compared to San Diego in 8 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Salt Lake expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and San Diego in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Diego having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Diego. Real Salt Lake come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Real Salt Lake come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 13 points after 6 matches. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 12:8, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by S. Solans (3 goals), A. Hezarkhani (2 goals), Z. Gozo (2 goals), with creative support from Z. Gozo (2 assists), J. Sanabria (2 assists), M. Guilavogui (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with E. Eneli, A. Piol, J. J. Arias unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

San Diego Analysis

So far, San Diego have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 11 points from 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 14:10 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Ingvartsen (4 goals), A. Dreyer (3 goals), O. Valakari (3 goals), with creative support from A. Dreyer (3 assists), M. Ingvartsen (2 assists), O. Valakari (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with C. McVey, A. Reyes, A. Alvarado Jr unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Real Salt Lake won 2 times, San Diego won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from Real Salt Lake's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1 / San Diego 4-3-3
Missing players: Real Salt Lake 10, San Diego 10
H2H summary: Real Salt Lake wins 2, draws 1, San Diego wins 1

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 6 7 61:30 31 51
D L D W L
2 28 14 8 6 54:38 16 50
W W W W D
3 28 13 8 7 52:45 7 47
L W D W W
4 28 13 7 8 50:40 10 46
D W D W W
5 28 13 6 9 36:34 2 45
D L D L W
6 29 11 9 9 44:31 13 42
D L D L W
7 28 11 8 9 38:35 3 41
W W W W D
8 28 11 4 13 39:39 0 37
D L D W D
9 29 9 9 11 39:50 -11 36
L W W D L
10 28 9 6 13 51:54 -3 33
D L L L D
11 28 9 5 14 41:46 -5 32
L W L L L
12 28 8 8 12 48:51 -3 32
L D D L L
13 28 7 10 11 36:51 -15 31
L D D W D
14 28 7 9 12 42:51 -9 30
D L L L L
15 28 6 4 18 35:68 -33 22
D L W L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)