🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
America First Field
Referee: R. Vazquez
Real Salt Lake
Match Timeline
Minnesota United FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Z. Booth
Real Salt Lake
🔄
15'
Z. Booth ↔ D. Marczuk
Real Salt Lake
🟨
32'
J. Diaz
Minnesota United FC
🔄
46'
K. Duncan ↔ B. Hlongwane
Minnesota United FC
🟨
56'
Lineker Rodrigues
Real Salt Lake
🔄
60'
Lineker Rodrigues ↔ S. Lobjanidze
Real Salt Lake
🟨
68'
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
🔄
71'
J. Diaz ↔ C. Harvey
Minnesota United FC
🔄
71'
M. Dieng ↔ K. Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
🔄
71'
T. Chancalay ↔ M. Gonzalez
Minnesota United FC
82'
S. Solans · Assist: D. Luna
Real Salt Lake
🔄
86'
D. Luna ↔ A. Hezarkhani
Real Salt Lake
🔄
87'
S. Solans ↔ V. Olatunji
Real Salt Lake
🔄
87'
W. Trapp ↔ M. Caldeira
Minnesota United FC
89'
J. Pereyra · Assist: M. Caldeira
Minnesota United FC
🟨
90+4'
S. Spierings
Real Salt Lake

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.72
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.4%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.61
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.3%
1.72
BTTS Yes
82.4%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.61
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.24
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
Real Salt Lake Win 59.3%
Draw 3.8%
Minnesota United FC Win 36.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Salt Lake1.63
Minnesota United FC1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WWDLW
39 GF / 31 GA
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
WLDWL
24 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
17
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
11
5.53
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 21 matches
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 21 matches
Real Salt Lake Statistic Minnesota United FC
10 Wins 7
5 Draws 7
6 Losses 7
39 Goals For 24
31 Goals Against 27
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
17 BTTS Yes 11
20 Over 1.5 14
15 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 6
5.53 Shots On Goal 4.78
15 Total Shots 13.28
4.71 Corners 5.44
49.4% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Real Salt Lake's more proactive style and Minnesota United FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Minnesota United FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Salt Lake expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Minnesota United FC in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Minnesota United FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Real Salt Lake come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 27 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 29:25 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Zavier Gozo (4 goals), Sergi Solans (3 goals), Diego Luna (3 goals), with creative support from Sergi Solans (3 assists), Zavier Gozo (2 assists), Juan Sanabria (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Minnesota United FC are currently 10 in the standings with 24 points from 18 matches. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:25 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Kelvin Yeboah (6 goals), Anthony Markanich (4 goals), Joaquín Pereyra (1 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Pereyra (4 assists), Tomás Chancalay (3 assists), James Rodríguez (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Real Salt Lake won 2 times, Minnesota United FC won 3 times, while 9 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:17 from Real Salt Lake's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Real Salt Lake 3-4-1-2 / Minnesota United FC 3-4-3
Missing players: Real Salt Lake 4, Minnesota United FC 4
H2H summary: Real Salt Lake wins 2, draws 9, Minnesota United FC wins 3
Stats
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
7 Corner Kicks 10
7 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 1
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 9
1 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 11
5 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 7
573 Total passes 423
495 Passes accurate 328
2.24 expected_goals 1.73
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Real Salt Lake
Formation
Minnesota United FC
Rafael Cabral
Rafael Cabral
Zach Booth
Zach Booth
Philip Quinton
Philip Quinton
Juan Jose Arias
Juan Jose Arias
Lukas Engel
Lukas Engel
Juan Sanabria
Juan Sanabria
Lineker Rodrigues
Lineker Rodrigues
Stijn Spierings
Stijn Spierings
Noel Caliskan
Noel Caliskan
Diego Luna
🎯
Diego Luna
Sergi Solans
Sergi Solans
Drake Callender
Drake Callender
Jefferson Díaz
Jefferson Díaz
Michael Boxall
Michael Boxall
Morris Duggan
Morris Duggan
Anthony Markanich
Anthony Markanich
Kyle Duncan
Kyle Duncan
Wil Trapp
Wil Trapp
Owen Gene
Owen Gene
Tomás Chancalay
Tomás Chancalay
Joaquín Pereyra
Joaquín Pereyra
Mamadou  Dieng
Mamadou Dieng
Real Salt Lake 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
Rafael Cabral
G
23
Zach Booth
↓ 15' 🟨 12'
D
26
Philip Quinton
D
21
Juan Jose Arias
D
4
Lukas Engel
D
8
Juan Sanabria
D
70
Lineker Rodrigues
↓ 60' 🟨 56'
M
6
Stijn Spierings
🟨 90+4'
M
92
Noel Caliskan
M
10
Diego Luna
🎯 82' ↓ 86'
M
22
Sergi Solans
⚽ 82' ↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
11
Dominik Marczuk
↑ 15'
F
12
Saba Lobzhanidze
↑ 60'
M
39
Aiden Hezarkhani
↑ 86'
F
17
Victor Olatunji
↑ 87'
F
31
Mason Stajduhar
G
3
Kobi Henry
D
29
Sam Junqua
D
98
Alexandros Katranis
D
7
Pablo Ruíz
M
Minnesota United FC 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
12
Drake Callender
G
28
Jefferson Díaz
↓ 71' 🟨 32'
D
15
Michael Boxall
D
23
Morris Duggan
D
13
Anthony Markanich
D
3
Kyle Duncan
↓ 46'
M
20
Wil Trapp
↓ 87'
M
30
Owen Gene
M
8
Tomás Chancalay
↓ 71'
M
26
Joaquín Pereyra
⚽ 89'
F
29
Mamadou Dieng
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
↑ 46'
F
18
Mauricio González
↑ 71'
F
67
Carlos Harvey
↑ 71'
M
9
Kelvin Yeboah
↑ 71'
F
22
Marcus Caldeira
🎯 89' ↑ 87'
F
1
Alec Smir
G
2
Devin Padelford
D
24
Julian Gressel
M
7
Dominik Fitz
M
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
02.08.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
1
1
D
26.07.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
23.07.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC
1
3
L
16.07.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Burnley
4
1
W
23.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
14.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
1
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
0
2
L
19.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
4
2
W
04.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
2
2
D
15.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Austin
2
1
W
08.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United FC
3
2
W
01.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
22.02.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
3
D
06.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Orange County SC
1
1
D
Last matches: Minnesota United FC
02.08.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
1
1
D
26.07.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
0
D
23.07.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
23.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
16.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
New England Revolution
1
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
10.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
02.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
25.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
23.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas
1
0
W
19.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
2
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
6
L
08.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Nashville SC
1
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
Charlotte
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
DC United
0
0
D
H2H: Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC
23.05.26
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
24.08.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
3
L
30.03.25
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
2
0
L
28.01.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
09.11.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
03.11.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
30.10.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
03.10.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
07.04.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
25.06.23
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
28.05.23
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
01.09.22
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
3
0
W
04.07.22
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
3
2
L
30.05.21
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
25.04.21
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
2
W
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
16.07.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Burnley
4
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
14.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
23.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
0
2
L
19.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
4
2
W
04.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Austin
2
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
06.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Orange County SC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Real Salt Lake
24.08.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
3
L
28.01.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
09.11.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
30.10.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
03.10.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
25.06.23
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
01.09.22
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
3
0
W
30.05.21
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Minnesota United FC
23.07.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
16.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
New England Revolution
1
2
L
02.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
23.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas
1
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
2
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
6
L
08.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Nashville SC
1
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
Charlotte
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
DC United
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
H2H away: Minnesota United FC
24.08.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
3
W
28.01.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
09.11.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
30.10.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
03.10.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
25.06.23
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
01.09.22
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
3
0
L
30.05.21
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
Showing odds from: Bet365
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.90
Draw 3.90
Home 1.72
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.95
Draw 2.58
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.61
Over 2.75 1.75
Over 3.0 1.97
Over 3.25 2.23
Over 3.5 2.48
Over 4.5 4.46
Under 1.5 5.01
Under 2.5 2.39
Under 2.75 2.14
Under 3.0 1.89
Under 3.25 1.69
Under 3.5 1.57
Under 4.5 1.22
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 4.00
Home 1.73
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.50
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.75
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 3.5 2.38
Over 4.5 4.33
Over 5.5 9.00
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 34.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 2.5 2.35
Under 3.5 1.53
Under 4.5 1.20
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 3.95
Home 1.67
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 2.38
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 2.88
Home 1.98
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.25 1.42
Over 2.5 1.58
Over 2.75 1.74
Over 3.0 1.97
Over 3.25 2.25
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 3.75 2.95
Over 4.0 3.85
Over 4.5 4.60
Over 5.5 8.50
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.75
Under 2.25 2.75
Under 2.5 2.28
Under 2.75 2.02
Under 3.0 1.78
Under 3.25 1.61
Under 3.5 1.49
Under 3.75 1.37
Under 4.0 1.23
Under 4.5 1.18
Under 5.5 1.06

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 4 3 40:17 23 37
W D D L W
2 19 11 2 6 28:24 4 35
W W W W D
3 20 10 4 6 35:20 15 34
L D W W W
4 19 10 3 6 38:27 11 33
L L D L W
5 19 8 6 5 34:26 8 30
W D L D W
6 19 8 5 6 27:25 2 29
W D W W W
7 18 8 4 6 30:26 4 28
D D L L D
8 19 8 1 10 29:25 4 25
W W L W L
9 19 6 7 6 21:26 -5 25
D D D L D
10 19 7 3 9 34:35 -1 24
L W W D W
11 18 7 3 8 20:24 -4 24
L L L L L
12 19 6 6 7 33:29 4 24
W D W L L
13 20 5 7 8 24:30 -6 22
L D D L L
14 19 4 5 10 23:38 -15 17
L L L W L
15 19 4 2 13 18:48 -30 14
L L L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Real Salt Lake 4 missing
-
J. Glad
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT
-
D. Yedlin
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
G. Dillon
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
A. Piol
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
Minnesota United FC 4 missing
-
N. Triantis
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
A. Jackson
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
N. Romero
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
P. Stroud
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT