🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
America First Field
Referee: J. Marrufo
Real Salt Lake
Match Timeline
Houston Dynamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+4'
Agustín Bouzat
Houston Dynamo
🔄
46'
M. Guilavogui ↔ D. Luna
Real Salt Lake
🔄
46'
A. Resch ↔ Antonio Carlos
Houston Dynamo
🔄
46'
J. McGlynn ↔ M. Bogusz
Houston Dynamo
49'
D. Holmes
Real Salt Lake
🔄
55'
N. Markanich ↔ Guilherme
Houston Dynamo
🔄
57'
V. Olatunji ↔ S. Solans
Real Salt Lake
57'
Z. Gozo · Assist: D. Yedlin
Real Salt Lake
64'
Z. Gozo · Assist: S. Spierings
Real Salt Lake
🔄
75'
S. Spierings ↔ N. Caliskan
Real Salt Lake
🔄
75'
D. Marczuk ↔ Z. Booth
Real Salt Lake
🔄
79'
D. Holmes ↔ L. Ennali
Houston Dynamo
🔄
81'
Z. Gozo ↔ A. Hezarkhani
Real Salt Lake
🔄
86'
O. Lingr ↔ E. Ponce
Houston Dynamo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
63.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Salt Lake Win 62.2%
Draw 9.6%
Houston Dynamo Win 28.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Salt Lake1.74
Houston Dynamo1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WWDLW
26 GF / 22 GA
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
WLDWL
33 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
11
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
9
6.55
Shots on Goal
4.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 14 matches
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 18 matches
Real Salt Lake Statistic Houston Dynamo
7 Wins 11
3 Draws 2
4 Losses 5
26 Goals For 33
22 Goals Against 28
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
11 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 3
6.55 Shots On Goal 4.73
16.27 Total Shots 13.18
4.55 Corners 5.09
50.3% Ball Possession 41.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Real Salt Lake's more proactive style and Houston Dynamo's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Real Salt Lake appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Houston Dynamo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Houston Dynamo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Houston Dynamo look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Salt Lake expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Houston Dynamo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Houston Dynamo having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

With 19 points from 11 games and a place of 6, Real Salt Lake still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 20:17 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Solans (5 goals), D. Luna (4 goals), Z. Gozo (3 goals), with creative support from Z. Gozo (3 assists), M. Guilavogui (3 assists), J. Sanabria (3 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with E. Eneli, A. Piol, J. Barea unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Houston Dynamo Analysis

So far, Houston Dynamo have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 18 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 17:19 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by Guilherme (6 goals), L. Ennali (3 goals), Felipe Andrade (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (4 assists), J. McGlynn (2 assists), L. Ennali (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with E. Sviatchenko, Lucas Halter, J. Maurer unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Salt Lake won 6 times, Houston Dynamo won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:21 from Real Salt Lake's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.4%)
Predicted formations: Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1 / Houston Dynamo 4-4-2
Missing players: Real Salt Lake 6, Houston Dynamo 4
H2H summary: Real Salt Lake wins 6, draws 4, Houston Dynamo wins 5
Stats
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 1
8 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 2
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 9
2 Blocked Shots 2
3 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 9
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
525 Total passes 471
471 Passes accurate 416
0.95 expected_goals 1.39
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Real Salt Lake
Formation
Houston Dynamo
Rafael Cabral
Rafael Cabral
D. Yedlin
🎯
D. Yedlin
P. Quinton
P. Quinton
S. Junqua
S. Junqua
D. Marczuk
D. Marczuk
G. Dillon
G. Dillon
S. Spierings
🎯
S. Spierings
J. Sanabria
J. Sanabria
Z. Gozo
⚽ 2
Z. Gozo
V. Olatunji
V. Olatunji
M. Guilavogui
M. Guilavogui
J. Bond
J. Bond
E. Sviatchenko
E. Sviatchenko
A. Resch
A. Resch
F. Negri
F. Negri
D. Holmes
D. Holmes
H. Herrera
H. Herrera
A. Bouzat
A. Bouzat
I. Aliyu
I. Aliyu
J. McGlynn
J. McGlynn
O. Lingr
O. Lingr
N. Markanich
N. Markanich
Real Salt Lake 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
Rafael Cabral
G
2
D. Yedlin
🎯 57'
D
26
P. Quinton
D
29
S. Junqua
D
11
D. Marczuk
↓ 75'
M
27
G. Dillon
M
6
S. Spierings
🎯 64' ↓ 75'
M
8
J. Sanabria
M
72
Z. Gozo
⚽ 57' ⚽ 64' ↓ 81'
F
17
V. Olatunji
↓ 57'
F
9
M. Guilavogui
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
24
M. Kerkvliet
G
98
A. Katranis
D
7
P. Ruiz
M
92
N. Caliskan
↑ 75'
M
10
D. Luna
↑ 46'
M
22
S. Solans
↑ 57'
F
39
A. Hezarkhani
↑ 81'
F
4
L. Engel
D
23
Z. Booth
↑ 75'
M
Houston Dynamo 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
31
J. Bond
G
28
E. Sviatchenko
D
34
A. Resch
↓ 46'
D
21
F. Negri
D
14
D. Holmes
⚽ 49' ↓ 79'
M
16
H. Herrera
M
30
A. Bouzat
🟨 45+4'
M
24
I. Aliyu
M
8
J. McGlynn
↓ 46'
F
9
O. Lingr
↓ 86'
F
17
N. Markanich
↓ 55'
F
Substitutes
26
B. Gillingham
G
10
E. Ponce
↑ 86'
F
18
D. Samassekou
M
6
Artur
M
3
Antonio Carlos
↑ 46'
D
20
Guilherme
↑ 55'
F
19
M. Bogusz
↑ 46'
M
11
L. Ennali
↑ 79'
F
33
V. Silva
D
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
23.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
10.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
1
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
0
2
L
19.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
4
2
W
04.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
2
2
D
15.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Austin
2
1
W
08.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United FC
3
2
W
01.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
22.02.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
3
D
06.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Orange County SC
1
1
D
22.01.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Randers FC
2
1
W
Last matches: Houston Dynamo
24.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
17.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
0
W
11.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
4
1
W
03.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
1
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Austin
0
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
San Diego
1
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Orlando City SC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
2
6
L
05.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
22.03.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas
3
4
L
15.03.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Portland Timbers
3
2
W
01.03.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
0
2
L
22.02.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Chicago Fire
2
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
New York Red Bulls
3
2
W
11.02.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas
2
1
W
08.02.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
Atlanta United FC
1
1
D
04.02.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
San Antonio
2
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
New England Revolution
3
2
W
28.01.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
Louisville City
4
2
W
H2H: Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo
14.05.26
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
0
W
13.07.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
1
0
W
16.03.25
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake
1
2
W
15.09.24
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake
4
1
L
06.08.24
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake
3
0
L
04.07.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
2
W
11.11.23
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
07.11.23
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
29.10.23
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake
2
1
L
27.08.23
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
0
3
L
24.08.23
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake
3
1
L
07.05.23
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake
0
0
D
29.05.22
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
0
W
28.02.22
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake
0
0
D
19.08.21
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
2
1
W
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
17.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
02.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
23.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
0
2
L
19.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
4
2
W
04.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Austin
2
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
06.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Orange County SC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Real Salt Lake
14.05.26
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
0
W
13.07.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
1
0
W
04.07.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
2
W
07.11.23
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
27.08.23
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
0
3
L
29.05.22
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
0
W
19.08.21
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
2
1
W
Last matches: Houston Dynamo
24.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
11.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
4
1
W
26.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Austin
0
2
L
18.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Orlando City SC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
2
6
L
22.03.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas
3
4
L
11.02.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
New England Revolution
3
2
W
H2H away: Houston Dynamo
14.05.26
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
0
L
13.07.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
1
0
L
04.07.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
2
L
07.11.23
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
27.08.23
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
0
3
W
29.05.22
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
0
L
19.08.21
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
2
1
L

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 2 2 34:12 22 32
W L W D D
2 15 10 2 3 34:15 19 32
W L L D D
3 14 8 2 4 26:19 7 26
D W W L W
4 15 7 4 4 30:22 8 25
W W L W W
5 15 7 3 5 24:17 7 24
W L L L D
6 13 7 3 3 17:11 6 24
L L W D D
7 14 7 1 6 19:23 -4 22
D W L W W
8 15 6 4 5 18:22 -4 22
D L L D W
9 15 5 5 5 22:22 0 20
D W L W D
10 15 4 5 6 30:27 3 17
L D W D D
11 15 5 1 9 25:24 1 16
L L W L L
12 14 4 4 6 16:20 -4 16
W D W W L
13 14 4 2 8 22:28 -6 14
L L D W L
14 15 3 5 7 19:31 -12 14
L L L D W
15 14 3 2 9 14:36 -22 11
L W W L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Real Salt Lake 6 missing
-
E. Eneli
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Piol
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
J. J. Arias
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT
-
J. Barea
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
L. Engel
Questionable Hip Injury
OUT
-
J. Glad
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT
Houston Dynamo 4 missing
-
E. Sviatchenko
Questionable Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
Lucas Halter
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
Felipe Andrade
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
J. Maurer
Missing Fixture Concussion
OUT