🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
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America First Field

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.91
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.54
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.6%
1.91
BTTS Yes
86%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.54
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.23
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Real Salt Lake Win 55.6%
Draw 8.9%
FC Dallas Win 35.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Salt Lake1.58
FC Dallas1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WWDLW
40 GF / 32 GA
FC Dallas FC Dallas
WLDWL
42 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
18
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
15
5.61
Shots on Goal
4.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 22 matches
FC Dallas FC Dallas 23 matches
Real Salt Lake Statistic FC Dallas
10 Wins 10
6 Draws 7
6 Losses 6
40 Goals For 42
32 Goals Against 28
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
18 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 17
15 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 6
5.61 Shots On Goal 4.47
14.89 Total Shots 12.16
4.83 Corners 4.42
49.8% Ball Possession 41.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FC Dallas. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Salt Lake expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and FC Dallas in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Dallas having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Placed 5 with 27 points from 17 outings, Real Salt Lake continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 29:25 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Zavier Gozo (4 goals), Sergi Solans (3 goals), Diego Luna (3 goals), with creative support from Sergi Solans (3 assists), Zavier Gozo (2 assists), Juan Sanabria (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

FC Dallas Analysis

FC Dallas are currently 6 in the standings with 27 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 32:25 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Petar Musa (6 goals), Sam Sarver (3 goals), Santiago Moreno (2 goals), with creative support from Petar Musa (2 assists), Ran Binyamin (2 assists), Santiago Moreno (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Salt Lake won 3 times, FC Dallas won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:24 from Real Salt Lake's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Real Salt Lake 3-4-1-2 / FC Dallas 4-4-1-1
Missing players: Real Salt Lake 4, FC Dallas 5
H2H summary: Real Salt Lake wins 3, draws 6, FC Dallas wins 6
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
16.08.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
02.08.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
1
1
D
26.07.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
23.07.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC
1
3
L
16.07.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Burnley
4
1
W
23.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
14.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
1
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
0
2
L
19.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
4
2
W
04.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
2
2
D
15.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Austin
2
1
W
08.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United FC
3
2
W
01.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
22.02.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
3
D
Last matches: FC Dallas
17.08.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Austin
2
1
W
02.08.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
0
D
26.07.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Diego
0
1
L
23.07.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
24.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
14.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
3
1
W
02.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Minnesota United FC
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
2
D
12.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
St. Louis City
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
DC United
4
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo
4
3
W
15.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Diego
3
3
D
08.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
01.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Nashville SC
0
0
D
22.02.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Toronto FC
3
2
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
H2H: Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas
10.05.26
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
3
1
L
30.01.26
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
0
2
L
11.05.25
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
23.03.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
0
1
L
19.09.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
3
2
W
26.05.24
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
3
3
D
21.09.23
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
1
3
L
16.04.23
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
2
1
L
28.08.22
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
24.07.22
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
0
1
L
28.10.21
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
1
2
W
05.09.21
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
3
2
W
23.05.21
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
2
2
D
25.10.20
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
0
0
D
28.07.19
H2H
FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake
0
0
D
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
16.08.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
16.07.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Burnley
4
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
14.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
23.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
0
2
L
19.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
4
2
W
04.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Austin
2
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
06.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Orange County SC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Real Salt Lake
30.01.26
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
0
2
L
23.03.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
0
1
L
19.09.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
3
2
W
21.09.23
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
1
3
L
24.07.22
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
0
1
L
05.09.21
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
3
2
W
25.10.20
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
0
0
D
Last matches: FC Dallas
17.08.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Austin
2
1
W
02.08.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
0
D
26.07.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Diego
0
1
L
23.07.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
24.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
02.05.26
Maj
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
FC Dallas
DC United
4
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
FC Dallas
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
FC Dallas
New York Red Bulls
3
0
W
21.01.26
Fri
FC Dallas
Portimonense
4
0
W
H2H away: FC Dallas
30.01.26
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
0
2
W
23.03.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
0
1
W
19.09.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
3
2
L
21.09.23
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
1
3
W
24.07.22
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
0
1
W
05.09.21
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
3
2
L
25.10.20
H2H
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
0
0
D
Showing odds from: Bet365
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.98
Draw 3.62
Home 1.91
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.16
Draw 2.57
Home 2.35
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.54
Over 2.75 1.66
Over 3.0 1.84
Over 3.25 2.07
Over 3.5 2.29
Over 4.5 3.95
Under 1.5 5.37
Under 2.5 2.52
Under 2.75 2.27
Under 3.0 2.02
Under 3.25 1.79
Under 3.5 1.64
Under 4.5 1.25
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 3.90
Home 1.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.50
Home 2.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.75
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.53
Over 3.5 2.25
Over 4.5 4.00
Over 5.5 8.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Over 7.5 29.00
Under 0.5 17.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.40
Under 3.5 1.57
Under 4.5 1.22
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.90
Draw 3.90
Home 1.79
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 2.45
Home 2.17
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.65
Draw 3.00
Home 2.07
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.46
Over 2.75 1.56
Over 3.0 1.70
Over 3.25 1.93
Over 3.5 2.16
Over 3.75 2.45
Over 4.0 3.05
Over 4.25 3.40
Over 4.5 3.70
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 12.50
Under 1.5 5.75
Under 2.5 2.63
Under 2.75 2.35
Under 3.0 2.08
Under 3.25 1.83
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 3.75 1.50
Under 4.0 1.35
Under 4.25 1.29
Under 4.5 1.26
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.01

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 4 3 40:17 23 37
W D D L W
2 19 11 2 6 28:24 4 35
W W W W D
3 20 10 4 6 35:20 15 34
L D W W W
4 19 10 3 6 38:27 11 33
L L D L W
5 19 8 6 5 34:26 8 30
W D L D W
6 19 8 5 6 27:25 2 29
W D W W W
7 18 8 4 6 30:26 4 28
D D L L D
8 19 8 1 10 29:25 4 25
W W L W L
9 19 6 7 6 21:26 -5 25
D D D L D
10 19 7 3 9 34:35 -1 24
L W W D W
11 18 7 3 8 20:24 -4 24
L L L L L
12 19 6 6 7 33:29 4 24
W D W L L
13 20 5 7 8 24:30 -6 22
L D D L L
14 19 4 5 10 23:38 -15 17
L L L W L
15 19 4 2 13 18:48 -30 14
L L L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Real Salt Lake 4 missing
-
J. Glad
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT
-
G. Dillon
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
Z. Booth
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
A. Piol
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
FC Dallas 5 missing
-
Daniel
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
O. Urhoghide
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
P. Delgado
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT
-
A. A. Julio Santos
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Geovane Jesus
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT