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BRAZIL › SERIE A
07.10.2026 22:30
Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques
Referee: Raphael Claus
RB Bragantino
Match Timeline
Mirassol
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
28'
João Victor Carroll Santana
Mirassol
🔄
30'
Bruno Santos de Oliveira ↔ Lucas Oliveira
Mirassol
🔄
45'
Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos ↔ Isidro Pitta
RB Bragantino
🔄
45'
Juninho Capixaba ↔ Jose Herrera
RB Bragantino
⚽
51'
Eduardo Sasha · Assist: Wallace Yan
RB Bragantino
🔄
57'
Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve ↔ Alesson dos Santos Batista
Mirassol
🔄
57'
Chico Kim ↔ Gabriel Knesowitsch
Mirassol
🔄
57'
Edson Carioca ↔ André Luis
Mirassol
⚽
70'
André Luis · Assist: Alesson dos Santos Batista
Mirassol
🔄
72'
Wallace Yan ↔ Bruno Gonçalves de Jesus
RB Bragantino
🔄
82'
Eduardo Sasha ↔ Vinicius
RB Bragantino
🔄
82'
Denilson Alves Borges ↔ Wallisson
Mirassol

RB Bragantino vs Mirassol Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 41.2%
Odds 1.77
BTTS
Yes
Probability 77.3%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
41.2%
1.77 ▥
BTTS Yes
77.3%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
1.75 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
RB Bragantino Win 41.2%
Draw 17.8%
Mirassol Win 41%
Expected Goals (xG)
RB Bragantino1.23
Mirassol1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
WWDLW
35 GF / 33 GA
Mirassol Mirassol
WLDWL
45 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
15
BTTS Yes
21
12
Over 2.5
17
5.14
Shots on Goal
4.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 29 matches
Mirassol Mirassol 37 matches
RB Bragantino Statistic Mirassol
11 Wins 13
6 Draws 10
12 Losses 14
35 Goals For 45
33 Goals Against 47
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
15 BTTS Yes 21
22 Over 1.5 27
12 Over 2.5 17
3 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 10
5.14 Shots On Goal 4.31
16.32 Total Shots 13.08
5.82 Corners 5.25
49.8% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features RB Bragantino's more proactive style and Mirassol's more cautious structure. RB Bragantino appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Mirassol. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mirassol. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. RB Bragantino have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

RB Bragantino Analysis

With 36 points from 28 games and a place of 11, RB Bragantino still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 33:32, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through I. Pitta (6 goals), Lucas Barbosa (5 goals), Fernando (3 goals), with creative support from Henry Mosquera (4 assists), I. Pitta (2 assists), Lucas Barbosa (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with Alix Vinicius, Davi Gomes, Rodriguinho, I. Sosa unavailable.

Mirassol Analysis

With 32 points from 28 games and a place of 15, Mirassol still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats with a 33:42 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Eduardo (5 goals), Igor Formiga (4 goals), Edson (3 goals), with creative support from Igor Formiga (5 assists), Reinaldo (4 assists), Alesson (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Jose Aldo, Negueba unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, RB Bragantino won 5 times, Mirassol won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:12 from RB Bragantino's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.2%)
Predicted formations: RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1 / Mirassol 4-2-3-1
Missing players: RB Bragantino 5, Mirassol 2
H2H summary: RB Bragantino wins 5, draws 4, Mirassol wins 3

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5 28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 28 12 7 9 37:32 5 43
W D W L W
8 28 11 8 9 43:41 2 41
W W W W W
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 29 10 7 12 34:33 1 37
D L L D L
11 28 10 6 12 33:32 1 36
L W L W W
12 29 10 6 13 32:42 -10 36
W L D W L
13 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
14 29 8 9 12 34:43 -9 33
D W D W L
15 29 8 8 13 30:34 -4 32
L L L L L
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 29 7 10 12 32:37 -5 31
W L W L L
18 29 7 9 13 31:39 -8 30
D D L L L
19 29 5 9 15 33:48 -15 24
D L L L L
20 28 3 9 16 29:57 -28 18
L D L W L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B