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BRAZIL › SERIE A
26.07.2026 21:30
Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques
Referee: Felipe Fernandes de Lima, Brazil
RB Bragantino
Match Timeline
Coritiba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Guzmán Rodríguez
RB Bragantino
🟨
20'
Lucas Barbosa
RB Bragantino
🔄
29'
Gustavo Marques ↔ Pedro Henrique
RB Bragantino
🟨
58'
Vini Paulista
Coritiba
🔄
62'
Vini Paulista ↔ Vitor Gonçalves Tissi
Coritiba
🔄
65'
Lucas Barbosa ↔ Isidro Pitta
RB Bragantino
🔄
65'
José Herrera ↔ Henry Mosquera
RB Bragantino
🔄
72'
Lucas Ronier ↔ Joaquín Lavega
Coritiba
🔄
72'
Breno Lopes ↔ Keno
Coritiba
🔄
83'
Bruno Melo ↔ Felipe Jonatan
Coritiba
🔄
83'
Pedro Rocha ↔ Paulo Roberto
Coritiba
🔄
84'
Eduardo Sasha ↔ Vinicinho
RB Bragantino
🔄
84'
Fernando ↔ Ignacio Sosa
RB Bragantino
🟨
86'
Ignacio Sosa
RB Bragantino
🟨
90+1'
Paulo Roberto
Coritiba

RB Bragantino vs Coritiba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
RB Bragantino Win 72.7%
Draw 4.9%
Coritiba Win 22.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
RB Bragantino1.41
Coritiba1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
WWDLW
28 GF / 21 GA
Coritiba Coritiba
WLDWL
25 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
10
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
9
5.11
Shots on Goal
3.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 20 matches
Coritiba Coritiba 19 matches
RB Bragantino Statistic Coritiba
10 Wins 7
3 Draws 5
7 Losses 7
28 Goals For 25
21 Goals Against 27
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
10 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 5
5.11 Shots On Goal 3.42
15.79 Total Shots 10.53
5.47 Corners 3.47
49.7% Ball Possession 39.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and RB Bragantino's more proactive style and Coritiba's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Coritiba. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

RB Bragantino Analysis

RB Bragantino come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 30 points after 19 matches. With 9 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 26:20, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Isidro Pitta (6 goals), Lucas Barbosa (4 goals), Juninho Capixaba (2 goals), with creative support from Henry Mosquera (3 assists), Isidro Pitta (2 assists), Lucas Barbosa (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Coritiba Analysis

Coritiba sit 7 with 26 points after 18 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 24:24 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Breno Lopes (8 goals), Joaquín Lavega (5 goals), Pedro Rocha (4 goals), with creative support from Josué (7 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Tinga (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, RB Bragantino won 4 times, Coritiba won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from RB Bragantino's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1 / Coritiba 4-2-3-1
Missing players: RB Bragantino 6, Coritiba 2
H2H summary: RB Bragantino wins 4, draws 3, Coritiba wins 3

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5 28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 28 12 7 9 37:32 5 43
W D W L W
8 28 11 8 9 43:41 2 41
W W W W W
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 28 10 6 12 33:32 1 36
L W L W W
11 28 10 6 12 33:32 1 36
L L D L L
12 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
13 28 9 6 13 28:42 -14 33
L D W L L
14 28 8 8 12 29:32 -3 32
L L L L L
15 28 8 8 12 33:42 -9 32
W D W L D
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 28 7 8 13 30:38 -8 29
D L L L W
18 28 6 10 12 30:36 -6 28
L W L L D
19 28 5 8 15 32:47 -15 23
L L L L L
20 27 3 9 15 29:53 -24 18
D L W L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B