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BRAZIL › SERIE A
09.08.2026 21:30
Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques
Referee: Raphael Claus, Brazil
RB Bragantino
Match Timeline
Corinthians
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Rodrigo Garro
Corinthians
🟨
17'
Eric Ramires
RB Bragantino
🔄
46'
Henry Mosquera ↔ Vinicinho
RB Bragantino
⚽
59'
Rodrigo Garro
Corinthians
🔄
66'
Eduardo Sasha ↔ Marcelinho Braz
RB Bragantino
🔄
66'
Raniele ↔ André Carrillo
Corinthians
🔄
72'
Eric Ramires ↔ Matheus Fernandes
RB Bragantino
🔄
72'
Rodriguinho ↔ Gustavo Neves
RB Bragantino
🟨
74'
André Carrillo
Corinthians
🔄
76'
Kaio César ↔ Jesse Lingard
Corinthians
🟨
80'
Gabriel Paulista
Corinthians
⚽
87'
Pedro Raul · Assist: Matheuzinho
Corinthians
🔄
88'
José Andrés Hurtado ↔ Yuri Alves de Aquino
RB Bragantino

RB Bragantino vs Corinthians Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
RB Bragantino Win 57.8%
Draw 8.7%
Corinthians Win 33.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
RB Bragantino1.15
Corinthians1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
WWDLW
28 GF / 21 GA
Corinthians Corinthians
WLDWL
31 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
10
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
7
5
Shots on Goal
3.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 21 matches
Corinthians Corinthians 28 matches
RB Bragantino Statistic Corinthians
10 Wins 10
4 Draws 11
7 Losses 7
28 Goals For 31
21 Goals Against 25
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
10 BTTS Yes 13
16 Over 1.5 20
9 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 12
5 Failed To Score 7
5 Shots On Goal 3.93
16.1 Total Shots 11.85
5.6 Corners 4.7
49.8% Ball Possession 56.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Corinthians. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

RB Bragantino Analysis

So far, RB Bragantino have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 31 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 26:20 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Isidro Pitta (6 goals), Lucas Barbosa (4 goals), Juninho Capixaba (2 goals), with creative support from Henry Mosquera (3 assists), Isidro Pitta (2 assists), Lucas Barbosa (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Corinthians Analysis

Corinthians are currently 9 in the standings with 29 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 22:20 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Yuri Alberto (3 goals), André Luiz (3 goals), Rodrigo Garro (2 goals), with creative support from Rodrigo Garro (6 assists), Yuri Alberto (2 assists), André Luiz (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, RB Bragantino won 8 times, Corinthians won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from RB Bragantino's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.3%)
Predicted formations: RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1 / Corinthians 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: RB Bragantino wins 8, draws 1, Corinthians wins 6

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 7 4 58:25 33 64
W D W W W
2 30 18 9 3 52:22 30 63
W W D W D
3 30 15 8 7 49:35 14 53
W D W D L
4 30 14 9 7 48:37 11 51
L W W L W
5 30 13 10 7 44:36 8 49
W L L W W
6 29 14 6 9 44:40 4 48
W W L W L
7 30 13 8 9 41:35 6 47
W D W D W
8 30 11 9 10 46:45 1 42
L D W W W
9 30 11 6 13 35:35 0 39
W L L W L
10 30 10 9 11 38:48 -10 39
D L L D L
11 29 10 7 12 34:33 1 37
D L L D L
12 30 10 6 14 33:44 -11 36
L W L D W
13 30 9 9 12 43:48 -5 36
D L L W D
14 29 9 8 12 36:42 -6 35
D W W W L
15 30 8 9 13 34:44 -10 33
L D W D W
16 30 8 8 14 31:38 -7 32
L L L L L
17 30 7 11 12 33:38 -5 32
D W L W L
18 30 7 10 13 32:40 -8 31
D D D L L
19 30 5 10 15 33:48 -15 25
D D L L L
20 29 3 9 17 30:61 -31 18
L L D L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B