Rayo Vallecano
Match Timeline
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
1 agree /
0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
95.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Rayo Vallecano Win 49.1%
Draw 4.2%
Alaves Win 46.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rayo Vallecano0.88
Alaves1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rayo Vallecano
WWDLW
6 GF / 11 GA
Alaves
WLDWL
9 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.8
2.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.4
4
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
2
3
Shots on Goal
8
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rayo Vallecano
5 matches
Alaves
5 matches
| Rayo Vallecano | Statistic | Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 0 |
| 6 | Goals For | 9 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 2 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.8 |
| 2.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.4 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 8 |
| 6 | Total Shots | 18 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 51% | Ball Possession | 52% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 7 times, Alaves won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:11 from Rayo Vallecano's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Rayo Vallecano 4-1-4-1 / Alaves 5-3-2
Missing players: Rayo Vallecano 2, Alaves 2
H2H summary: Rayo Vallecano wins 7, draws 1, Alaves wins 4
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34:7 | 27 | 24 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:8 | 11 | 18 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 |
Alaves
Away
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 8 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 |
Rayo Vallecano
Home
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 8 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | -10 | 7 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 6 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
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