NORWAY 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
NAMMO Stadion
Referee: M. Berg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.1%
Odds 2.59
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.49
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.1%
2.59
BTTS Yes
75%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.49
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.09
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Raufoss Win 82.1%
Draw 8.3%
Strommen Win 9.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Raufoss1.85
Strommen1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Raufoss Raufoss
WWDLW
35 GF / 42 GA
Strommen Strommen
WLDWL
32 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.91
Average Goals Conceded
2.23
13
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Raufoss Raufoss 22 matches
Strommen Strommen 22 matches
Raufoss Statistic Strommen
8 Wins 8
4 Draws 2
10 Losses 12
35 Goals For 32
42 Goals Against 49
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.91 Avg Goals Conceded 2.23
13 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 19
16 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Strommen. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Strommen having the stronger overall control.

Raufoss Analysis

Raufoss sit 13 with 10 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 16:28, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Strommen Analysis

Strommen sit 16 with 8 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats with a 15:33 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Raufoss won 4 times, Strommen won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:21 from Raufoss's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Raufoss 3-4-3 / Strommen 3-5-2
H2H summary: Raufoss wins 4, draws 3, Strommen wins 5
Last matches: Raufoss
27.06.26
1.
Raufoss
Sandnes ULF
0
3
L
21.06.26
1.
Raufoss
Sogndal
3
1
W
14.06.26
1.
Raufoss
Stromsgodset
1
6
L
31.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Haugesund
3
4
L
25.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Asane
0
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Bryne
3
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Stabaek
2
1
W
10.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Lyn
0
1
L
06.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Egersund
1
2
L
01.05.26
1.
Raufoss
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
26.04.26
1.
Raufoss
hodd
1
1
D
17.04.26
1.
Raufoss
Ranheim
1
5
L
13.04.26
1.
Raufoss
Kongsvinger
1
3
L
29.03.26
Fri
Raufoss
Mjondalen
3
2
W
21.03.26
Fri
Raufoss
Sogndal
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Raufoss
Kjelsås
1
4
L
07.03.26
Fri
Raufoss
Strommen
3
0
W
27.02.26
Fri
Raufoss
Moss
3
3
D
15.02.26
Fri
Raufoss
Sandnes ULF
0
0
D
06.02.26
Fri
Raufoss
Lyn
2
1
W
Last matches: Strommen
27.06.26
1.
Strommen
Moss
3
2
W
21.06.26
1.
Strommen
Stabaek
1
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Strommen
Sandnes ULF
0
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Strommen
Ranheim
2
2
D
31.05.26
1.
Strommen
Sogndal
2
3
L
25.05.26
1.
Strommen
Lyn
0
1
L
20.05.26
1.
Strommen
Haugesund
0
7
L
16.05.26
1.
Strommen
Bryne
2
4
L
10.05.26
1.
Strommen
hodd
1
2
L
01.05.26
1.
Strommen
Stromsgodset
0
3
L
25.04.26
1.
Strommen
Kongsvinger
2
2
D
19.04.26
1.
Strommen
Asane
5
4
W
11.04.26
1.
Strommen
Egersund
0
3
L
29.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Grorud
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Strommen
ODD Ballklubb
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Kongsvinger
3
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Raufoss
0
3
L
01.03.26
Fri
Strommen
KA Akureyri
1
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
Strommen
Skeid
3
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Strommen
Kjelsås
3
2
W
H2H: Raufoss vs Strommen
07.03.26
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
3
0
W
24.04.25
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
2
1
L
25.01.25
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
0
0
D
06.11.21
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
4
2
W
15.05.21
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
1
1
D
24.10.20
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
3
2
L
03.08.20
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
1
1
D
18.06.20
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
3
1
W
20.10.19
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
2
1
L
22.04.19
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
1
0
W
28.08.16
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
4
5
L
29.06.16
H2H
Strommen
Raufoss
4
0
L
Last matches: Raufoss
21.06.26
1.
Raufoss
Sogndal
3
1
W
31.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Haugesund
3
4
L
20.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Bryne
3
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Raufoss
Lyn
0
1
L
26.04.26
1.
Raufoss
hodd
1
1
D
13.04.26
1.
Raufoss
Kongsvinger
1
3
L
29.03.26
Fri
Raufoss
Mjondalen
3
2
W
14.03.26
Fri
Raufoss
Kjelsås
1
4
L
07.03.26
Fri
Raufoss
Strommen
3
0
W
27.02.26
Fri
Raufoss
Moss
3
3
D
15.02.26
Fri
Raufoss
Sandnes ULF
0
0
D
06.02.26
Fri
Raufoss
Lyn
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Raufoss
Elverum
4
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Raufoss
Gjøvik-Lyn
2
0
W
H2H at home: Raufoss
07.03.26
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
3
0
W
25.01.25
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
0
0
D
06.11.21
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
4
2
W
03.08.20
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
1
1
D
18.06.20
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
3
1
W
22.04.19
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
1
0
W
28.08.16
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
4
5
L
Last matches: Strommen
14.06.26
1.
Strommen
Sandnes ULF
0
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Strommen
Ranheim
2
2
D
25.05.26
1.
Strommen
Lyn
0
1
L
16.05.26
1.
Strommen
Bryne
2
4
L
01.05.26
1.
Strommen
Stromsgodset
0
3
L
19.04.26
1.
Strommen
Asane
5
4
W
21.03.26
Fri
Strommen
ODD Ballklubb
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Kongsvinger
3
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Raufoss
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Strommen
Moss
0
2
L
24.01.26
Fri
Strommen
Lyn
2
1
W
H2H away: Strommen
07.03.26
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
3
0
L
25.01.25
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
0
0
D
06.11.21
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
4
2
L
03.08.20
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
1
1
D
18.06.20
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
3
1
L
22.04.19
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
1
0
L
28.08.16
H2H
Raufoss
Strommen
4
5
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.39
Draw 3.85
Home 2.59
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.52
Home 3.12
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.49
Over 2.75 1.60
Over 3.0 1.76
Over 3.25 2.00
Over 3.5 2.23
Over 3.75 2.55
Over 4.5 3.72
Under 1.5 5.46
Under 2.5 2.58
Under 2.75 2.32
Under 3.0 2.05
Under 3.25 1.81
Under 3.5 1.65
Under 3.75 1.50
Under 4.5 1.26
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 3.50
Home 2.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.50
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.62
Draw 2.75
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.20
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 29.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.40
Draw 3.72
Home 2.54
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.81
Draw 2.36
Home 3.02
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.62
Draw 2.74
Home 2.73
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 1.75 1.13
Over 2.0 1.15
Over 2.25 1.32
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 2.75 1.57
Over 3.0 1.71
Over 3.25 1.97
Over 3.5 2.21
Over 3.75 2.49
Over 4.0 3.02
Over 4.25 3.26
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 4.75 4.41
Over 5.0 5.85
Over 5.25 6.15
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 29.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.0 11.00
Under 1.5 5.10
Under 1.75 4.66
Under 2.0 4.20
Under 2.25 3.00
Under 2.5 2.43
Under 2.75 2.25
Under 3.0 1.96
Under 3.25 1.79
Under 3.5 1.63
Under 3.75 1.47
Under 4.0 1.31
Under 4.25 1.27
Under 4.5 1.22
Under 4.75 1.14
Under 5.0 1.07
Under 5.25 1.06
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.48
Draw 3.50
Home 2.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.95
Draw 2.45
Home 2.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.70
Draw 2.80
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.0 1.20
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.0 1.80
Over 3.5 2.28
Over 4.0 3.30
Over 4.25 3.60
Over 4.5 3.85
Over 5.0 6.25
Over 5.25 6.50
Over 5.5 6.75
Under 1.5 4.75
Under 2.0 3.95
Under 2.5 2.38
Under 3.0 1.88
Under 3.5 1.55
Under 4.0 1.28
Under 4.25 1.24
Under 4.5 1.21
Under 5.0 1.08
Under 5.25 1.07
Under 5.5 1.05

Standings

OBOS-ligaen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 4 1 38:18 20 28
D D W W W
2 13 9 1 3 40:25 15 28
W L W W W
3 13 8 3 2 31:20 11 27
L D W W L
4 13 7 3 3 27:14 13 24
W L W D W
5 13 7 3 3 26:16 10 24
D D L W W
6 13 6 2 5 32:29 3 20
L W L D W
7 13 6 1 6 21:19 2 19
W W W L W
8 13 5 3 5 18:16 2 18
W D L L W
9 13 5 2 6 23:29 -6 17
L L W D L
10 13 5 1 7 21:25 -4 16
L W L L L
11 13 5 1 7 18:22 -4 16
L W W W L
12 13 4 3 6 24:31 -7 15
W L L W L
13 14 4 1 9 17:30 -13 13
W L L L L
14 14 4 1 9 20:30 -10 12
L W L W L
15 13 3 2 8 18:35 -17 11
W W L D L
16 13 3 1 9 16:31 -15 10
L W L L L
Promotion - Eliteserien
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)
Relegation