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AUSTRIA › BUNDESLIGA
26.04.2026 12:30
Allianz Stadion
Referee: P. Ciochirca
Rapid Vienna
Match Timeline
Red Bull Salzburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Nenad Cvetković
Rapid Vienna
🔄
51'
N. Cvetkovic ↔ N. Wurmbrand
Rapid Vienna
🔄
57'
K. Konate ↔ K. Onisiwo
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
57'
K. Alajbegovic ↔ M. K. Yeo
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
69'
J. Antiste ↔ Y. Demir
Rapid Vienna
🔄
69'
A. Weimann ↔ E. Kara
Rapid Vienna
🟨
78'
Stefan Lainer
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
79'
J. M. Scholler ↔ T. Borkeeiet
Rapid Vienna
🔄
79'
P. Dahl ↔ L. Grgic
Rapid Vienna
🔄
84'
Y. Vertessen ↔ D. Redzic
Red Bull Salzburg
⚽
88'
E. Kara · Assist: Y. Demir
Rapid Vienna
🟨
89'
Ercan Kara
Rapid Vienna
🔄
90'
F. Kratzig ↔ A. Terzic
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
90'
M. Bidstrup ↔ E. Aguilar
Red Bull Salzburg

Rapid Vienna vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 80%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
80%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rapid Vienna Win 41.5%
Draw 8.5%
Red Bull Salzburg Win 50%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rapid Vienna1.25
Red Bull Salzburg1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
WWDLW
54 GF / 60 GA
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
WLDWL
81 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
24
BTTS Yes
28
20
Over 2.5
27
3.85
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 44 matches
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 45 matches
Rapid Vienna Statistic Red Bull Salzburg
17 Wins 20
11 Draws 9
16 Losses 16
54 Goals For 81
60 Goals Against 58
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
24 BTTS Yes 28
35 Over 1.5 37
20 Over 2.5 27
9 Over 3.5 20
11 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 10
3.85 Shots On Goal 5.5
12.3 Total Shots 15.4
5.45 Corners 4.6
52.4% Ball Possession 55.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Red Bull Salzburg. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rapid Vienna expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Red Bull Salzburg in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Red Bull Salzburg having the stronger overall control.

Rapid Vienna Analysis

Rapid Vienna come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 33 points from 22 matches. The record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 26:25 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Kara (5 goals), Bendegúz Bolla (4 goals), Matthias Seidl (4 goals), with creative support from Matthias Seidl (6 assists), P. Dahl (4 assists), C. M'Buyi (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Red Bull Salzburg Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 37 points after 22 outings. With 10 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 42:26, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by P. Ratkov (9 goals), K. Alajbegovic (8 goals), Y. Vertessen (7 goals), with creative support from Frans Krätzig (6 assists), M. Kjaergaard (5 assists), S. Kitano (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rapid Vienna won 5 times, Red Bull Salzburg won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:23 from Rapid Vienna's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
Predicted formations: Rapid Vienna 3-4-2-1 / Red Bull Salzburg 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Rapid Vienna wins 5, draws 3, Red Bull Salzburg wins 7

Standings

Bundesliga: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 2 8 33:26 7 38
?
2 22 10 7 5 42:26 16 37
?
3 22 11 4 7 32:30 2 37
?
4 22 11 3 8 34:30 4 36
?
5 22 9 6 7 26:25 1 33
?
6 22 8 9 5 29:24 5 33
?
7 22 8 7 7 31:30 1 31
?
8 22 7 8 7 22:23 -1 29
?
9 22 8 4 10 26:30 -4 28
?
10 22 7 5 10 31:32 -1 26
?
11 22 4 8 10 22:36 -14 20
?
12 22 4 3 15 20:36 -16 15
?
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)