Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
72.3%
|
3.61 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
1.53 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.56 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.5%
|
1.51 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
9.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
13.00 |
Raków Częstochowa
Motor Lublin
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Raków Częstochowa
24 matches
Motor Lublin
13 matches
| Raków Częstochowa | Statistic | Motor Lublin |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 2 |
| 10 | Losses | 4 |
| 43 | Goals For | 29 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.23 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3.17 | Shots On Goal | 4.29 |
| 8.5 | Total Shots | 14.57 |
| 3.42 | Corners | 4.29 |
| 39.2% | Ball Possession | 45.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Motor Lublin. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Raków Częstochowa expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Motor Lublin in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Motor Lublin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Motor Lublin carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 15 with 5 points while Raków Częstochowa sit 18 on 0, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Raków Częstochowa sit 18 with 0 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 6:13, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Mahir Emreli (2 goals), Patryk Makuch (2 goals), Jakub Jendryka (1 goals), with creative support from Mahir Emreli (1 assists), Jean Carlos Silva (1 assists), Wladyslaw Kocherhin (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 5 points from 6 games and a place of 15, Motor Lublin still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 6:10 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Karol Czubak (3 goals), with creative support from Mbaye Ndiaye (2 assists), Ivo Rodrigues (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Raków Częstochowa won 3 times, Motor Lublin won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:3 from Raków Częstochowa's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 22 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 11 | 19 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 15 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 11 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 11 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 8 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | -13 | 8 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 6 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 |
Motor Lublin
Away
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 6 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 |
Raków Częstochowa
Home
|
10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:25 | -12 | 3 |
L
L
L
W
L
|