Login Register
POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA
09.10.2026 18:30
Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow

Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.4%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.52
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.4%
1.25 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.44 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.52 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Raków Częstochowa Win 48.7%
Draw 6.6%
GKS Katowice Win 44.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Raków Częstochowa1.65
GKS Katowice1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
WWDLW
53 GF / 45 GA
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
WLDWL
46 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
22
BTTS Yes
13
20
Over 2.5
16
3.87
Shots on Goal
3.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 28 matches
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 24 matches
Raków Częstochowa Statistic GKS Katowice
10 Wins 13
6 Draws 2
12 Losses 9
53 Goals For 46
45 Goals Against 31
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
22 BTTS Yes 13
25 Over 1.5 22
20 Over 2.5 16
13 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 5
3.87 Shots On Goal 3.69
10.47 Total Shots 10.31
3.93 Corners 3.62
43.1% Ball Possession 36.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around GKS Katowice's more proactive style and Raków Częstochowa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Raków Częstochowa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. GKS Katowice carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 12 points while Raków Częstochowa sit 18 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward GKS Katowice. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Raków Częstochowa Analysis

Raków Częstochowa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 3 points from 9 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 12:21, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through P. Makuch (5 goals), M. Emreli (2 goals), M. Bulat (1 goals), with creative support from V. Kochergin (2 assists), M. Emreli (1 assists), M. Bulat (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

GKS Katowice Analysis

GKS Katowice sit 9 with 12 points after 8 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:13 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Shkurin (6 goals), B. Nowak (2 goals), A. Jędrych (2 goals), with creative support from B. Nowak (3 assists), Borja Galán (2 assists), I. Shkurin (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Raków Częstochowa won 5 times, GKS Katowice won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:6 from Raków Częstochowa's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3 / GKS Katowice 3-4-3
H2H summary: Raków Częstochowa wins 5, draws 2, GKS Katowice wins 1

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 16:8 8 22
D W W W W
2 9 5 4 0 19:8 11 19
W D W D D
3 8 6 1 1 17:7 10 19
W L W W W
4 9 5 2 2 17:12 5 17
W W D W D
5 8 4 3 1 12:6 6 15
W W D D D
6 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
W L W D W
7 9 4 3 2 11:10 1 15
L W W D D
8 9 4 1 4 16:15 1 13
L W W W D
9 8 4 0 4 16:13 3 12
W L L W W
10 8 4 0 4 12:13 -1 12
L L W L W
11 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
W W D L L
12 9 1 6 2 13:13 0 9
D D D L D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L L L L W
14 9 2 2 5 7:20 -13 8
L L D W D
15 9 1 3 5 11:15 -4 6
L L L D D
16 9 1 3 5 9:15 -6 6
D L L L D
17 8 1 2 5 11:17 -6 5
D L D L L
18 9 1 0 8 12:21 -9 3
L L W L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation