POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
zondacrypto Arena
Referee: S. Marciniak
Raków Częstochowa
Match Timeline
Cracovia Krakow
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
39'
P. Makuch · Assist: B. Racovitan
Raków Częstochowa
🟨
43'
Boško Šutalo
Cracovia Krakow
VAR
44'
Amir Al-Ammari
Cracovia Krakow
🟥
45'
Amir Al-Ammari
Cracovia Krakow
45'
J. Brunes
Raków Częstochowa
🔄
46'
P. Dawidowicz ↔ A. Mosor
Raków Częstochowa
50'
D. Kameri
Cracovia Krakow
🟨
57'
Isak Brusberg
Raków Częstochowa
60'
P. Makuch · Assist: J. C. Silva
Raków Częstochowa
🔄
62'
I. Brusberg ↔ T. Pienko
Raków Częstochowa
🔄
62'
F. Tudor ↔ Adriano
Raków Częstochowa
🔄
62'
D. Kameri ↔ M. Praszelik
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
71'
P. Sans ↔ K. Knap
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
71'
O. Wojcik ↔ B. Traore
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
72'
M. Klich ↔ J. Batoum
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
82'
J. Brunes ↔ L. Rocha
Raków Częstochowa
🔄
82'
M. Bulat ↔ O. Abraham
Raków Częstochowa
🔄
82'
D. Pila ↔ M. Tabisz
Cracovia Krakow
🟨
90'
Gustav Henriksson
Cracovia Krakow
90'
L. Rocha
Raków Częstochowa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 67.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
67.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Raków Częstochowa Win 62%
Draw 6.9%
Cracovia Krakow Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Raków Częstochowa1.31
Cracovia Krakow1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
WWDLW
59 GF / 44 GA
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
WLDWL
33 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
22
BTTS Yes
13
18
Over 2.5
14
4.62
Shots on Goal
3.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 42 matches
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 28 matches
Raków Częstochowa Statistic Cracovia Krakow
20 Wins 9
9 Draws 10
13 Losses 9
59 Goals For 33
44 Goals Against 33
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
22 BTTS Yes 13
29 Over 1.5 18
18 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 6
15 Clean Sheets 12
8 Failed To Score 8
4.62 Shots On Goal 3.61
12.95 Total Shots 12.07
4.14 Corners 4.39
50.2% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Raków Częstochowa's more proactive style and Cracovia Krakow's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cracovia Krakow. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cracovia Krakow arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Raków Częstochowa expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Cracovia Krakow in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cracovia Krakow having the stronger overall control.

Raków Częstochowa Analysis

Raków Częstochowa sit 7 with 40 points after 28 league matches. The record of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 37:35 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Brunes (13 goals), L. Rocha (9 goals), L. Diaby-Fadiga (6 goals), with creative support from M. Ameyaw (5 assists), L. Diaby-Fadiga (3 assists), Oskar Repka (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Cracovia Krakow Analysis

Cracovia Krakow approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 37 points from 28 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats with a 33:33 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Hasic (7 goals), F. Stojilkovic (7 goals), M. Minchev (4 goals), with creative support from A. Al Ammari (4 assists), A. Hasic (3 assists), F. Stojilkovic (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Raków Częstochowa won 5 times, Cracovia Krakow won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Raków Częstochowa's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
Predicted formations: Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3 / Cracovia Krakow 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Raków Częstochowa wins 5, draws 5, Cracovia Krakow wins 5
Stats
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
9
2 Corner Kicks 7
10 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 1
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Goal 6
1 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 9
7 Shots insidebox 9
2 Shots outsidebox 10
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
558 Total passes 345
491 Passes accurate 265
1.96 expected_goals 1.70
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Raków Częstochowa
Formation
Cracovia Krakow
O. Zych
O. Zych
P. Dawidowicz
P. Dawidowicz
B. Racovitan
🎯
B. Racovitan
S. Svarnas
S. Svarnas
F. Tudor
F. Tudor
O. Repka
O. Repka
M. Bulat
M. Bulat
J. C. Silva
🎯
J. C. Silva
I. Brusberg
I. Brusberg
J. Brunes
J. Brunes
P. Makuch
⚽ 2
P. Makuch
S. Madejski
S. Madejski
D. Pila
D. Pila
O. Wojcik
O. Wojcik
G. Henriksson
G. Henriksson
B. Sutalo
B. Sutalo
M. Perkovic
M. Perkovic
A. Hasic
A. Hasic
M. Klich
M. Klich
A. Al Ammari
A. Al Ammari
P. Sans
P. Sans
D. Kameri
D. Kameri
Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3
Starting XI
48
O. Zych
G
27
P. Dawidowicz
↓ 46'
D
25
B. Racovitan
🎯 39'
D
4
S. Svarnas
D
7
F. Tudor
↓ 62'
M
6
O. Repka
M
5
M. Bulat
↓ 82'
M
20
J. C. Silva
🎯 60'
M
39
I. Brusberg
↓ 62' 🟨 57'
F
18
J. Brunes
⚽ 45' ↓ 82'
F
9
P. Makuch
⚽ 39' ⚽ 60'
F
Substitutes
1
K. Trelowski
G
29
W. Zolneczko
G
17
L. Rocha
⚽ 90' ↑ 82'
F
8
T. Pienko
↑ 62'
M
11
Adriano
↑ 62'
M
44
B. Mircetic
M
22
O. Abraham
↑ 82'
24
Z. Arsenic
D
2
A. Mosor
↑ 46'
D
35
M. Ilenic
D
Cracovia Krakow 5-4-1
Starting XI
13
S. Madejski
G
79
D. Pila
↓ 82'
D
66
O. Wojcik
↓ 71'
D
4
G. Henriksson
🟨 90'
D
21
B. Sutalo
🟨 43'
D
39
M. Perkovic
D
14
A. Hasic
M
43
M. Klich
↓ 72'
M
6
A. Al Ammari
🟥 45'
M
11
P. Sans
↓ 71'
M
70
D. Kameri
⚽ 50' ↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
27
H. Ravas
G
7
M. Praszelik
↑ 62'
M
20
K. Knap
↑ 71'
M
61
B. Traore
↑ 71'
D
29
J. Batoum
↑ 72'
F
15
K. Glik
D
10
M. Dominguez
M
19
M. Tabisz
↑ 82'
M
Last matches: Raków Częstochowa
23.05.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
17.05.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Piast Gliwice
3
1
W
13.05.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia
0
2
L
08.05.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
2
0
W
25.04.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Lechia Gdansk
2
1
W
12.04.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Motor Lublin
1
1
D
04.04.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D
29.03.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Stal Rzeszów
5
1
W
22.03.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa
1
1
D
19.03.26
UEF
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
1
2
L
15.03.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Gornik Zabrze
1
3
L
12.03.26
UEF
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
1
2
L
08.03.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
01.03.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Lech Poznan
3
4
L
21.02.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Nieciecza
1
0
W
14.02.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Zaglebie Lubin
0
0
D
08.02.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Radomiak Radom
0
0
D
01.02.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Wisla Plock
1
2
L
28.01.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
SKRA Częstochowa
2
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Vojvodina
3
1
W
Last matches: Cracovia Krakow
23.05.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Motor Lublin
3
3
D
11.05.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Radomiak Radom
0
0
D
03.05.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Zaglebie Lubin
0
0
D
25.04.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Pogon Szczecin
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Arka Gdynia
2
2
D
04.04.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Gornik Zabrze
0
3
L
21.03.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
GKS Katowice
1
0
W
14.03.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Wisla Plock
1
2
L
08.03.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
27.02.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Piast Gliwice
2
3
L
20.02.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Widzew Łódź
0
0
D
14.02.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
06.02.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Lechia Gdansk
1
1
D
02.02.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Nieciecza
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Cracovia Krakow
Artis
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Cracovia Krakow
Veres Rivne
1
1
D
14.01.26
Fri
Cracovia Krakow
Cukaricki
1
1
D
07.12.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Lech Poznan
2
2
D
04.12.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Wisla Plock
0
0
D
H2H: Raków Częstochowa vs Cracovia Krakow
19.04.26
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
4
1
W
29.10.25
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
3
0
W
18.10.25
H2H
Cracovia Krakow
Raków Częstochowa
2
0
L
01.02.25
H2H
Cracovia Krakow
Raków Częstochowa
0
0
D
29.07.24
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
0
1
L
19.05.24
H2H
Cracovia Krakow
Raków Częstochowa
2
0
L
06.12.23
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
1
0
W
25.11.23
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
18.03.23
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
4
1
W
03.09.22
H2H
Cracovia Krakow
Raków Częstochowa
3
0
L
08.05.22
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
22.11.21
H2H
Cracovia Krakow
Raków Częstochowa
1
0
L
14.04.21
H2H
Cracovia Krakow
Raków Częstochowa
1
2
W
06.03.21
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
26.09.20
H2H
Cracovia Krakow
Raków Częstochowa
2
2
D
Last matches: Raków Częstochowa
23.05.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
13.05.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia
0
2
L
08.05.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
2
0
W
04.04.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D
29.03.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Stal Rzeszów
5
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
1
2
L
08.03.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
21.02.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Nieciecza
1
0
W
08.02.26
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Radomiak Radom
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
SKRA Częstochowa
2
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Vojvodina
3
1
W
18.01.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
FK Partizan
1
1
D
14.01.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Ludogorets
2
2
D
10.01.26
Fri
Raków Częstochowa
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
14.12.25
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Zaglebie Lubin
0
1
L
11.12.25
UEF
Raków Częstochowa
Zrinjski
1
0
W
07.12.25
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
GKS Katowice
1
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
Raków Częstochowa
Rapid Vienna
4
1
W
22.11.25
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Piast Gliwice
1
3
L
26.10.25
Eks
Raków Częstochowa
Lechia Gdansk
2
1
W
H2H at home: Raków Częstochowa
19.04.26
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
4
1
W
29.10.25
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
3
0
W
29.07.24
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
0
1
L
06.12.23
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
1
0
W
25.11.23
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
18.03.23
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
4
1
W
08.05.22
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
06.03.21
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
Last matches: Cracovia Krakow
16.05.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Motor Lublin
3
3
D
03.05.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Zaglebie Lubin
0
0
D
04.04.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Gornik Zabrze
0
3
L
08.03.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
20.02.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Widzew Łódź
0
0
D
06.02.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Lechia Gdansk
1
1
D
02.02.26
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Nieciecza
1
0
W
04.12.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Wisla Plock
0
0
D
29.11.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Korona Kielce
1
0
W
07.11.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Radomiak Radom
0
3
L
25.10.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Pogon Szczecin
1
2
L
04.10.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Arka Gdynia
1
2
L
19.09.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
GKS Katowice
3
0
W
24.08.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Piast Gliwice
0
0
D
10.08.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Jagiellonia
2
5
L
18.07.25
Eks
Cracovia Krakow
Lech Poznan
4
1
W
H2H away: Cracovia Krakow
19.04.26
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
4
1
L
29.10.25
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
3
0
L
29.07.24
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
0
1
W
06.12.23
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
1
0
L
25.11.23
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
18.03.23
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
4
1
L
08.05.22
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
06.03.21
H2H
Raków Częstochowa
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation