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MOROCCO › BOTOLA PRO
03.05.2026 18:00
Stade Mohamed V
Referee: A. Berrada
Raja Casablanca
Match Timeline
Difaa EL Jadida
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
A. El Amloud
Raja Casablanca
🟨
37'
Romuald Dacosta
Difaa EL Jadida
🟨
39'
Badr Benoun
Raja Casablanca
🟨
49'
Zakaria Oubraim
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
59'
A. El Amloud ↔ A. Baadi
Raja Casablanca
🔄
59'
A. Ennaffati ↔ B. Halimi
Raja Casablanca
🔄
63'
R. Da Costa ↔ Y. Lamine
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
64'
S. Abaaziz ↔ O. Benchchaoui
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
65'
A. El Khafi ↔ B. El Idrissi Bouzidi
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
72'
Z. Oubraim ↔ I. Sabik
Difaa EL Jadida
🟨
75'
Achraf El Idrissi
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
77'
Shararh ↔ I. Mokadem
Raja Casablanca
🔄
77'
A. Barkok ↔ H. Ferdaoussi
Raja Casablanca
🔄
86'
M. El Hacen ↔ M. Hilali
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
88'
A. Khafifi ↔ M. Mchakhchekh
Raja Casablanca
🟨
90+3'
Achraf El Idrissi
Difaa EL Jadida
🟥
90+3'
Achraf El Idrissi
Difaa EL Jadida

Raja Casablanca vs Difaa EL Jadida Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
40%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Raja Casablanca Win 69.8%
Draw 0%
Difaa EL Jadida Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Raja Casablanca1.15
Difaa EL Jadida0.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca
WWDLW
22 GF / 7 GA
Difaa EL Jadida Difaa EL Jadida
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
0.88
0.41
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
5
BTTS Yes
7
3
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 17 matches
Difaa EL Jadida Difaa EL Jadida 17 matches
Raja Casablanca Statistic Difaa EL Jadida
9 Wins 7
6 Draws 6
2 Losses 4
22 Goals For 15
7 Goals Against 16
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
0.41 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
5 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 9
3 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 2
11 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Raja Casablanca's more proactive style and Difaa EL Jadida's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Raja Casablanca arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 33 points compared to Difaa EL Jadida in 7 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Difaa EL Jadida. Raja Casablanca come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Raja Casablanca expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Difaa EL Jadida in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Difaa EL Jadida having the stronger overall control.

Raja Casablanca Analysis

Raja Casablanca come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 33 points after 16 matches. With 9 wins, 6 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:5, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Ennaffati (5 goals), A. Khafifi (3 goals), I. Khafi (3 goals), with creative support from M. Al Makahasi (3 assists), Shararh (2 assists), A. Ennaffati (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Difaa EL Jadida Analysis

Difaa EL Jadida sit 7 with 24 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 13:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Ziani (3 goals), R. Da Costa (3 goals), M. Mouchtanim (2 goals), with creative support from A. Ziani (2 assists), Khalid Baba (2 assists), B. El Idrissi Bouzidi (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Raja Casablanca won 10 times, Difaa EL Jadida won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:11 from Raja Casablanca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Raja Casablanca 4-2-3-1 / Difaa EL Jadida 4-3-3
H2H summary: Raja Casablanca wins 10, draws 3, Difaa EL Jadida wins 2

Standings

Botola Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 11 3 40:17 23 59
W D W W L
2 30 16 9 5 44:27 17 57
W W L D W
3 30 16 8 6 39:19 20 56
W W D L W
4 30 13 16 1 45:22 23 55
D L D D W
5 30 13 4 13 39:33 6 43
L L L L L
6 30 9 13 8 30:34 -4 40
L D D W W
7 30 9 12 9 27:31 -4 39
W L D L W
8 30 9 10 11 31:36 -5 37
L D W L L
9 30 8 12 10 27:26 1 36
D D D W L
10 30 9 9 12 24:33 -9 36
L W D D L
11 30 8 9 13 28:37 -9 33
D D D D L
12 30 8 9 13 27:39 -12 33
D L D D W
13 30 6 13 11 32:40 -8 31
W D W W D
14 30 7 9 14 34:44 -10 30
W D L W W
15 30 7 9 14 29:40 -11 30
D D L D W
16 30 3 13 14 24:42 -18 22
L D D D L
CAF CL group stage
CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation